ziaulislam
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wrong for china India is too important..it values its economical relations with india.The issue is will there be the same LAC once China fights and wins over the lands? It will all depend on where the Chinese will feel comfortable they would occupy. It is exactly like the Usraeli occupied teritories that are still in their control.
this is a calculated move for india to back down from already settled boundaries(askai chin & pakistan-china border, india naming it a union territory this year)..it was a response to Indian aggression ..china doest want escalation ..
China wants India to keep the status quo.
things have changed we need to be cautious in reading Chinese hand..you don't want another 1971 situation
USA-west has no energy to go to war for india....or even pressurize china..we saw what happened in ukraine...@Mangus Ortus Novem
A few developments have occurred since the time you started this thread.
CFL was made hot by India since attacks from inside Afghanistan on Pakistan had declined. However, Ladakh is an area which has parts claimed by India, Pakistan and also China. Since China has come in the picture, two more nations can be seen in the equation also - Nepal and Bhutan. On the other hand, since China has come in picture, the case of independent Tibet will be highlighted, since Tibet area gives access to China to reach India.
The Indian forces in Leh are considered as immediate back up and reinforcements for Indian Army at Srinagar and Jammu. This is why engaging Indian forces in this region is important which cannot be done directly by Pakistan. This is where China comes in, as China and India locks horns in the area of Ladakh, it doesnt stop here, Chinese showed presence in Sikkim area too. So India has managed to create unrest on other parts of its borders too. Nepal has made few deals with China a few years ago, while China will look to access from Nepal to reach Siliguri area of "Chicken neck" in the eastern sector.
So to sum it up, following new prospects have been opened militarily through China -India border skirmish:
1. Ladakh area
2. Sikkim area
3. Possible chinese access to Siliguri through Nepal
and this all started after exchange of constant fire on CFL between Pakistan and India. This shows that Indian border problems tripled.
Coming to Nepal side of story, The Kalapani territory is a disputed area between India and Nepal, which gives access to Tibet area too. Nepal has a small standing army of 7-8 Infantry Divisions. If China starts reinforcing Nepal by building roads and rails into Nepal, especially to reach Siliguri, then Nepal might ask for Chinese assistance to settle the issue of disputed kalapani area with India. The sentiments of Nepalese have become anti-indian and Nepal may look towards China in future for assistance instead of India.
Bhutan is another country which sits Adjacent to Nepal, its 3 times smaller than nepal and Bhutanese Military is assisted by India, especially the Air component. This is where China has to ingress and get Bhutan away from the Indian Sphere of influence with much more lucrative deals, just like it did with Nepal.
To counter China, India now could raise Tibet issue in Washington so that China will have to back off from Sikkim, Nepal etc. India was better off just engaging Pakistan on CFL, but now India has soured its enmity with three different countries (Pakistan-China-Nepal), all having different religions and background. One has to see how things unfold - whether India under Modi has done the correct thing through playing fire with article 370, whether USA will provide cover to India since China has stepped in and whether Nepal will further tilt towards China or come back towards India.
Kashmir terrain now has three active armies standing on its disputed lands.
china just wants status quo back which has been compromised by indian aggressive movements recently..
one aspect is domestic audience..
how is Modi going to satisfy them..
this Indian being superpower notion has layed out flat...
the ridiculous claim that India has been making that it can counter china militarily..forget about that Modi even upped the claim to "two-front war"..which surprises everyone..India cant decisively won a front war with Pakistan and its talking about two-front war