asaad-ul-islam
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bro, S-400 would be one of our wildest fantasies coming true! it all depends on our relations with Russia which, unfortunately, have not been fully realized. We could go a lot more further with the Russians, but unfortunately, our leaders have been utterly incapable of understanding the complex geo-political tuggle war going on in the region.asaad-ul-islam
We'll see bro. At the end of the day we will most certainly get HQ-9 for the land-based air defence, just not sure about naval. If we get it with ToT, then we can apply further improvements as years go by, especially in terms of range, speed and G-maneuvers. Presently the PLA is fielding a lot of HQ-9A systems alongside their existing S-300PMU. Preferably I would like to see Pakistan acquire the S-400, perhaps a joint-order with Turkey.
I personally think we may see a parallel SAM for surface ships for the ease of physical logistics (transport at sea), weight and development of universal-VLS like Mk.41. Theoretically speaking, the development of a long-range SAM is very much possible using even the Umkhonto-series...but it will mostly depend on our solid-propellant rocket technology. Even if we accomplish a range of 100km and altitude of 20km, that is good for the naval-arena; and this system can be applied on land as a medium to long-range system.
Come to think of it...if PN does acquire MEKO, then for its short to medium-range it may be able to get the IRIS-T SL-naval presently under development. An export-centric system, we may be able to acquire ToT or use it as a basis for a long-range system in the future.
Forget about Russia, they've made an 'extremely' bad first impression on the Chinese. I mean, what happened when it was time for the Beijing Olympics? As Musharraf was about to travel to China, as an invited guest, they decide to impeach him and brought up their political bickering about democracy and the 'judges'. Instead of honoring the Chinese on their most important day in recent history, some of jahel ghadars decide to shower themselves with attention. I can still see Zardari spewing venom through his teeth, when he announced the impeachment of Musharraf. er.. back to the point, we can do more to improve relations with Russia.
currently, we have normalized ties with them and they have offered to enhance economic cooperation. If you can recall, initially they were only willing to approve Pakistan's full entry into the SCO, if india joined as well. depending on how indo-american relations play out, I see good weather for Pakistan with Russian approval. Only then can we see the beginning of steady supply of military equipment, hopefully moving up to the availability of the best they have to offer.
what I know so far is that Russia has only offered Turkey the most recent version of the S-300. although it's hinted that they may be willing to offer the S-400, I don't see them selling such an advance system to Turkey, a NATO member, anytime soon. perhaps in the next 5-7 years, when Turkey distances itself from the NATO and the US-which it will do-Russia would have developed an export version and may be willing to offer that instead. if that can happen, hell, I don't see why Pakistan wouldn't be able to acquire the system, especially when it is a full-fledged SCO member and wants payback for incursions into its territory accross the Durand line.
However, keep in mind, india will most likely go for the Mig-35, and if that happens we will have to wait longer and see what plays out. I can assure you, india is not going to get the superhornet or the falcons. I'm predicting the recent missile deal between the US and india will enrage Russia quite a bit, especially in recent light of the european BMD bases.
as for acquiring western equipment on terms of technology transfer, I can only see that happening through germany. they have sold us submarines on terms of technology transfer and are 'more than willing' to grab a share of Pakistani defense imports. therefore, I do see the possibility of acquiring the IRIS-T SL. I'm sure German engineering can fit such a weapon into VLS cells, and possibly be willing to cooperate with us on VLS cells. that said, we have to know when to put our foot down, and communicate very clearly that our main requirement is technology transfer. unfortunately, knowing how much of our establishment lacks the visionary foresight and are only mindful of how much commission they are going to make during the next deal, I'm afraid we will loose out on such opportunities. india now knows how to put its foot down and has only recently started the requirement of significant technology transfers from the west.
Mark, I know we are far ahead in solid propellant, or should I say 'solid-fuel' technology, at least ahead of anyone in our region. most of our ballistic missiles run on solid fuel, and the liquid fuel missiles such as Ghauri will be phased out as soon as we develop Ghauri III and Shaheen III. I know we are going to arrive at the state soon, and instead we will use the liquid-fuel missiles like Ghauri II for our space launch vehicles, since most vehicles run on liquid fuel because of their higher thrust. For SAMs, we need to seeker technology, some sort of vectoring for high maneuverability, powerful radars and tracking technology. All of which we can acquire pretty easily, if we have already gone with the Chinese on their HQ-9 offer.