Did you thought and said that of the Ukrainians before Russia invaded?
Two critical items the world miscalculated of the Russia-Ukraine war: The technical capabilities of both Russia and Ukraine, and the morale factor of the Ukrainians.
That your skin is not at risk of course moves you towards China. Consider the probability, no longer possibility, that you et al miscalculated again.
China is many times more powerful conventionally than Russia is now and it is getting relatively more powerful vis a vis Taiwan and other developed countries as time goes by.
Within 10-15 years the idea that Taiwan can hope to break away from a superpower(China) just 90 miles away will be considered absurd.
US + Japan + Taiwan can defeat Chinese invasion attempt in 2022 but maybe not in 2032 and certainly not by 2040.
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