If I have to assume some figures for future MII. It can be simplified in a lucid manner.
Suppose assume it's 10 more squadrons each with say 20 crafts just for ease of computation
If I assume a similar with escalation and milestone loaded with weapons as well than its approx Euro 110Mn even though I should see a general reduction and targeted cost under Make in india is assumed in the range of 520-580cr with median of 540 crs. But still leta consider based on present deal numbers only for our sake.
So 200 air crafts is Euro 22Bn including g all weapons
10squad means. 5 bases so around Euro 0.7x5 = Euro 3.5 Bn
Even if suppose it's either 1Bn or even say full 10 bases it will be Euro 10Bn
Engg support in all other forms and if you consider all other packages add another 40 Mn per bird or Euro 8Bn
So ballpark figure does comes out to Euro 33.5Bn to Euro 40Bn
So
@jha you have thought a descent figure.
In case suppose it's Su30MKI super config it will be say approx 10-20% cheaper owing to most costs already sunk and weapons and infra which would be more or less only in high economy of scales point of view. But what it actually negates is
- CPFH cost where Rafale cost is$ 9.7K versus MKI according to IAF $12k and most generally it's more bcz some points are not added for MKI as per IAF differentiation of cost under different heads. Mirage as per IAF was just $3k. And all that are pasted here in this thread by me and by folks like @Vergennes and @Picdelamirand-oil . That's basically a straight forward saying of 20-40% saving over lifetime.
- The engine durability and maintenance free nature and ease of repair due to modules actually help a lot in improving downtime issues.
- Number of engines required over lifetime is much lesser in Rafales as compared to MKI
- 200MKI need straight forward 400pilots and 100 spare bcz requirement is 1.25. imagining 100single and 100double seater its basically 125 and 250 pilots so total375 pilots. Training and reassigning additional 125pilots is a big challenge
- The mission capabilities and especially AD ridden and EW environment based SEAD DEAD in low altitude ingress is very tough for MKI but not impossible whereas Rafale is designed for this from the very beginning.
In a way it's the additional abilities it brings in and how they help multiply the capabilities for our forces. Thus the whole thing.
Of course its IAF and IN who has to decide if what I just said has merits enough to look at this solution or not. And MOD to see if budgets creates issue's or this is a no problem owing to say Euro 3Bn average per year for 10-11 years.
@jha pls feel free to post here.. I do love all folks comments and views.. so pls don't ever hesitate.