On no level does this sale make sense- political,financial, strategic etc NONE.
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DrSomnath999 @
sancho @
arp2041 @
KRAIT what do you think?
First of all, the reports / rumors about this deals are still not confirmed from any government source of any side. Secondly, from finacial point of view it does make sense to sell the Su 35 to China, since it's better to have some sales with the risk that they will try to copy it, than to have no sales at all. Russia is offering the Su 35 and 34 for exports for several years and couldn't fix a single deal so far. Only the Su 30s attract interests, partially thanks to the good PR from our side, but imo also because it might be cheaper and more suitable to most operational policies of foreign countries. Another point is, that the Su 35 might be the most capable Flanker version, but compared to the possible competitors of western countries, that offer better avionics, AESA radar, better weapons and far lower operational costs, it will be difficult to find other operators. Not to mention that many countries are looking beyond 4.5 gen fighters, a problem that even the EF or Rafale are facing today.
When you think about all this and look around which countries are left for the Russians, you will understand the problem for Russia, since no exports for that version means upgrades for BARS, or the S117 engine would remain on Russian funds only, while most of the Su 30 operators can rely on Indias upgrade path for the MKI and the fact that we will have a huge number of them for a very long time.
Wasn't it surprising for you that Russian went with the Su 30SM suddenly, instead of the Su 35 recently? They are inducting many Su 34s for the strike and maritime attack role and has developed the 35 extra for the A2A and still opting for the cheaper version now?
I think the Su 35 is a burden for them now, since they are looking beyond to the Pak Fa anyway, which makes the Su 30SM to a more cost-effective stopgap solution, while the Russians will fit some of the Su35 techs and capabilities into their first Pak Fas anyway.
So when you don't need this version anymore and have even better techs and capabilities in sight, why shouldn't they sell it to China then? They know China needs the radar and engine techs and all that is left now might be to find the right compromise between numbers, costs and ToT they might provide.
Btw, the Mig 29K denial might have been a decision to not risk a sale to us. If China would have the same fighter, with the same techs and capabilities, we would never have gone with such a big order and that was crucial for Mikoyan, just like for Russian Navy! Thanks to our order, we secure spare and upgrades for Russian navy as well and will keep the Mig 29 productionline open for longer.
Personally I would have prefered Mig 29Ks on a Chinese carrier, than J15s and Rafales on our carrier, but that would have been the worst choice for Russia of course.