Yasser76
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For the sake of gloating for 5-7 years, I hope the PAF signed a huge multi-billion-dollar deal with Leonardo (i.e., Italy and the UK) for: 18~24 Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 3s, Aster 30 SAMP/T, CAMM-ER, M-346 LIFT, and various high-level and low-level / gap-filler radars.
Let's pull an Egypt.
It sounds reckless, but the "perception" of such a deal carries exponentially more weight than anything we'd get from China (not including SSBNs, ICBMs, HGVs, etc). The media in both India and Pakistan will be fixated on the flashiness and, perhaps, that might in a weird way work as a deterrence. The enemy that fears you a bit too much is as valuable as one that recklessly underestimates you.
The cost is high from a fiscal standpoint, but with smart negotiating and vision, the economics can still work out.
One can drive a $10 B package with a 50% offset -- i.e., $5 B -- that involves the OEMs setting-up MRO in Pakistan and sourcing work from the Pakistani private sector. That latter component may keep our talent in Pakistan (by giving them great STEM jobs) while boosting our domestic R&D base (in support of Project AZM). Those entities could end up exporting other products and services, thereby resulting in an overall net-positive economic effect.
You had me up until "
For the sake of gloating for 5-7 years, I hope the PAF signed a huge multi-billion-dollar deal with Leonardo (i.e., Italy and the UK) for: 18~24 Eurofighter Typhoon Tranche 3s, Aster 30 SAMP/T, CAMM-ER, M-346 LIFT, and various high-level and low-level / gap-filler radars.
Let's pull an Egypt.
It sounds reckless, but the "perception" of such a deal carries exponentially more weight than anything we'd get from China (not including SSBNs, ICBMs, HGVs, etc). The media in both India and Pakistan will be fixated on the flashiness and, perhaps, that might in a weird way work as a deterrence. The enemy that fears you a bit too much is as valuable as one that recklessly underestimates you.
The cost is high from a fiscal standpoint, but with smart negotiating and vision, the economics can still work out.
One can drive a $10 B package with a 50% offset -- i.e., $5 B -- that involves the OEMs setting-up MRO in Pakistan and sourcing work from the Pakistani private sector. That latter component may keep our talent in Pakistan (by giving them great STEM jobs) while boosting our domestic R&D base (in support of Project AZM). Those entities could end up exporting other products and services, thereby resulting in an overall net-positive economic effect.
This seems a very expensive way to divert resources away from AZM.
I do appreciate what you say about the PR/Psychological effect this may have on India, but that will just increase Indian domestic pressure to reply with a countermeasure, and they have more cash then us. What you are suggesting is a typical arms race. We simply cannot win that.
It was made pretty clear 7-8 years ago, when PAF saw the writing on the wall with regards to MMRCA/Rafales in IAF that PAF was going to skip a generation and not go for Typhoon/J-10/Gripen or what ever and the bet was on JF-17 Block III and F-16 holding the fort till AZM arrived.
Unsure if this strategy has changed taking into account all these J-10 rumours.