Pakistans telecom sector: a lost potential?
Sunday, July 13, 2008
The Hidden Hands of Government can play a critical role to spawn socioeconomic growth through ICT. This role has been played out successfully in many countries, including neighbouring China and India. Sadly, it still remains absent from every facet of government policy in Pakistan.
In India, the Hidden Hands of Government has managed to generate and sustain annual increases in its GDP that are the envy of developing nations around the world. Through (1) procurement policy (percentage local development & production, relevant technology transfer, relevant knowledge transfer, local R&D),
(2) relevant policy on human resource development (relevant educational institutions, relevant education, relevant training, relevant research), (3) relevant policy on employment generation (local manufacturing to satisfy local demand, excess capacity for export, value added services), and (4) a policy of championing domestic companies through allocating domestic projects to generate relevant domestic experience before developing them into international stars (national-turned-international enterprises).
In the telecommunication sector, we all know how proud our outgoing government was of the way the tele-density, particularly the mobile density, increased in the country. Unfortunately, the primary impact has been to help Pakistan grow as a consumer market. The development of sophisticated indigenous capacity for manufacturing handsets and network equipment and the development of applications for value-added services have been completely ignored. Whereas in India, the public sector operators have enforced that 30 per cent value addition of equipment which they purchase takes place within India. As a result, Nokia set up its plant in India to produce two million phones per month. By January 2009, Motorola will start producing about 1.4 million phones per month. Samsung and LG are already setting up their plants while Sony Ericsson is also on the verge of finalising a deal.
Through this policy, indigenous production substitutes the import of telecom equipment and India progresses from being a consumer to becoming a manufacturer and exporter. The policy is enabling large Indian mobile service providers to target the rural market with aggressive tariffs and low-cost handsets and at the same time helping the Indian government deliver e-health, e-education, e-agriculture, e-government and e-commerce to rural areas. Thus, despite being years ahead of India in terms of attracting FDI in the telecommunication sector and achieving a higher tele-density, Pakistan remains a pure consumer market with zero local manufacturing of handsets and network equipment. One would like to know why not a single equipment manufacturer has established manufacturing facilities in Pakistan?
One would like to know why there is still no government policy to remedy the situation even when the market presents a perfect business case for attracting local manufacturing. According to the Pakistan Telecommunication Authoritys (PTA) 2007 Annual Report, Around 20 per cent of mobile users in Pakistan change their handset thrice a year which indicates that Pakistan is a lucrative market for manufacturers of mobile handsets and other telecom equipment. A similar percentage of mobile users change the mobile handset once a year and this could be a successful business model, and spent about $1.347 billion on import of cellular mobile handsets and other telecom apparatus in 2006-07. Attracting foreign companies to invest in this area of telecom equipment in the country would decrease the burden on foreign exchange, encourage technology and knowledge transfer and create further employment; the recent levy of Rs1,000 customs duty on mobile handsets will not even remotely address the issue.
While technology buzzwords like 3G, Wi-Fi and WiMAX continue to be whispered in the corridors of our Ministry for IT&T and most broadband and mobile network operators in Pakistan, Indias Telecom Factories, the in-house production units of BSNL have already begun manufacturing the latest generation Wi-Fi and WiMAX equipment under joint ventures with Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs). After meeting BSNL requirements at disruptive price points, the JV companies are free to sell these items in the open market or export. One would like to know why not a single broadband or telecom operator has established equipment manufacturing or latest next generation equipment facility in Pakistan?
The Internet kiosks at airports make Pakistan look very primitive. We need to exploit WiMAX technology to provide citywide seamless wireless connectivity in all major cities. Mobile Network Operators Universal Services Fund (USF) currently looks at providing services to under-served and un-served regions. Part of the USF should be better utilised to encourage the take-up of ICT by professional groups in cities (government, lawyers, doctors, engineers, teachers, etc)
Consortiums will offer up to, for example, 34 kbps of bandwidth free to subscribers and any additional consumption of bandwidth for higher use will be charged on a pay-per-use basis.
Part of the USF should be better utilised to encourage the take-up of IT by professional groups in cities (government, lawyers, doctors, engineers, teachers, etc).
Start with the airports, government, government institutions, five-start hotels, etc.
Our Ministry of IT&T is currently considering the auction of 3G licences. Whether they are 3G or 4G or technology neutral, new licences will generate very limited one-off revenue in the form of licence fees. However, a licence policy that mandates a request for proposal from all bidders that includes the socio-economic benefits in the form of local R&D facilities, percentage local manufacture/purchase of equipment, local development of value-added services, etc would deliver far greater socioeconomic benefit than licence fees alone. One would like to know why our IT&T policy is still not considering such incentives. One would like to know why our IT&T policy continues to focus on fees alone at the expense of more extensive and longer term socioeconomic benefits.
Telenor recently opened its regional R&I centre in Kuala Lumpur prior to auction of 3G licences by the Malaysian government. With the right policy and government intervention, such R&I centres could be easily attracted to Pakistani shores to conduct local development, local research, local innovation, to ensure knowledge & technology transfer, to generate meaningful employment and create network externalities.
Governments have the unique catalytic ability to push collaboration among public, private, academic, and foreign agencies. Pakistan can achieve these ends through a licensing and procurement policy that encourages local procurement. Our new IT& T policy must consider such incentives.
The implementation of government initiatives at different levels is urgently required in Pakistan. The alternative is to live with Pakistan as a consumer market and not a manufacturer and exporter unlike our neighbours India and China who enjoy the fruits in the form of double-digit contributions to GDP and a massive reduction in imports and burden of the foreign exchange.
The writer, an advocate, is a PML (N) MNA and ex-corporate legal counsel, Telenor.
Pakistans telecom sector: a lost potential?