melb4aust said:
:disappointed: 2012 you're kidding right!!!
i am not kidding dude..
2008 man, and i can bet on that,
2008 is when paksitan will start getting JF17's and that too is quite optimistic( the engine issue is still not solved.. new engine integration hasnt started..and theres only a single plane for testing).. a half of production will go to PLAAF. 15-20 planes a year would be the max as
1. its a new plane so a lot has to be changed after the first lot..post production problems .. production 30 planes a year of new plane itself is quite a heavy no for a new plane.
2.even F16s are getting procured..( i doubt the F16 procurement will finish by then..)
it takes 2-3 years to learn about the plane.. i.e. train the pilots ... develop tactics based on JF17 etc..you just cannot send a pilot who isnt trained on a plane to war.. can you..
its a lot of time before JF17 will be really usable.. after it starts getting produced
and one more thing exclude LCA for the next 3 on-coming decades, alright.
oh ya.. why not paksitan can get all it wants but india with much more money cannot get a plane..
FYI.. LCA project is at a much more advanced stage than JF17 project..
If you wanna talk about, then yeah by the end of 2010, i would be looking around 50odd mki's and 126 MRCA's if india dont late their decision again.
we already have more than 50 MKIs rite now.. what do you expect we are stopping our production lines.. or hundred of MKI's were destroyed by pakistan on ground..
end of production cycle of mki is 2012.. i.e we will have at least some 150 odd MKI's by 2010.. for MRCA's we will no have 126 MRCA's by that time..
what we will have is some 20 more M2k-5s as a stop gap measure..and a few new MRCA's some 40-50 max..
From pakistan side it will 50 JF-17 thunders, around 40 J-10's and a mixture of new and old 60-70 F-16's.
Now go ahead...........
lets look at the cost of all these planes..
JF17 15 mn * 50 = 750 mn..
J10's (of course it should cost at least 25mn$-30mn$ + or else buying JF17 is senseless. )
i.e. 1000mn
F16( 30 mn $ each)
2100mn
3850mn $
all the missiles bombs etc etc..( usually known to double the cost of the plane)..
so cost is 7.7 B$.. and all this is without cost escalation..
this will mean an annual outlay of 1.5-2 B$ each for next 5 years just to buy the planes.. and induct them.. do you think pakistan can affort to spend that much of money from their 4 B$ budget( and its not growing cosiderably up)... most of it goes in maintaining hundreds of thousands of soldiers they have.. in PA.
then buying tanks.. and artillary weapons.. missiles.. nuclear bombs.. frigades and destroyers and subs for navy.. anti air defence systems.. they all cost a lot of money..
a no of them will be above these planes in paksitans priority list ...
furthermore you are talking about induction 3 new planes(even F16 blk50 is kinda new to PAF.. as its too different from current F16 in PAF).. in 4 years time.. i'll see it when it happens..
oh yes .. what about the cost of manufacturing facilities for JF17 its avionics.. SD10 etc etc..
you are talking about inducting 30 - 40 new planes every year in PAF... and that too technologically much more advanced planes..as PAF doenst have any BVR capability.. thats a pretty big number for peace time.