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Iranian Economy.....news and discussions

Some aspects to ponder:

* The Supreme Leader spoke of transferring ownership of various but not every means of production from the government to the people. He employed this particular term multiple times, in fact he used it in place of "private sector". Which implies more than privatization per se, because economies dominated by the private sector usually feature strong concentration of capital in the hands of a token number of individuals. Case in point, the Leader highlighted how privatization did not always play out to the benefit of Iranians.

In terms of proportion of the workforce, generally a minority of less than 15% is self-employed in market economies. Examples: the highest rate in the EU belongs to Greece, where some 30% are self-employed. In Italy, Romania, Portugal and the Czech Republic however the figure's between 17% and 23% and those are upper tier countries. In Germany, which along with Italy has traditionally been renown for the dynamism of its small companies, a mere 10,5% of the workforce is self-employed. 10,7% in France and even fewer in Sweden, Denmark and the Baltic states. Everybody else in the private sector is employed by and working on behalf of some business entity.

When it comes to business owners, percentages are lower still. 9% of the adult population in the USA and 6% in Canada as of 2022.


Looking at the share of the GDP, it turns out that very few companies generate the bulk of the GDP, and passage of time has only aggravated this tendency. In the USA for instance, the revenues of the top 500 companies stood at 58% of the GDP in 1994, which after nineteen years rose to a staggering 73% in 2013.

Now here's the thing: the term people tends to refer to the broad masses, rather than to special minority groups. In other terms, the Leader's guideline in this regard will not be served if Iran merely emulates the typical market economy.

Stock markets do not offer the solution. In 2013 the top 10% of American households owned 84% to 94% of stocks, bonds, trust funds, and business equity as well as almost 80% of non-home real estate.


Cooperatives on the other hand may fit the criterion set forth in the Leader's speech. That is, shared ownership of businesses by workers and employees. This was practiced especially in the agricultural sector by former Yugoslavia.

The idea that the people (not a restricted set of capitalists) ought to be in control of production is reminiscent of Proudhonian socialism. Pierre-Joseph Proudhon, a 19th century French thinker who also delved into politics, initiated a brand of socialism distinct from Marx's theories. In fact Proudhon and Marx engaged in a well publicized dispute, reflective of the fact that socialism as early as the 19th century was subdivided into different currents - Marxians, anarcho-syndicalism, etc.

The following quote summarizes relatively well the economic model outlined by Proudhon: "Proudhon adopted the term mutualism for his brand of anarchism and socialism which involved control of the means of production by the workers. In his vision, self-employed artisans, peasants and cooperatives would trade their products on the market." De facto private ownership is thus combined with empowerment of the people, popular control over production. Something which common market economic practice does not enable, given how it systematically leads to a small minority rather than the people in general owning most of the means of production.

* The Leader reminded us of the fact that certain sectors of activity must not be removed from government control no matter what. Those who'd like to see Iranians spend the rest of their lives reimbursing debts and interests because the schools or universities they studied at are privately owned, should not feel emboldened by his eminence's speech.

* Far from resembling a manifesto of unfettered capitalism, the Supreme Leader's address clearly stresses the need for strong governmental regulation of the private sector. This is evident in the part where his eminence advocates additional regulation by the government, suggesting current levels are not enough.

Mind you, the monetarist brand of neo-classical economics dominant in Iran since the presidency of Hashemi Rafsanjani and even more so since the former Islamic left morphed into the reformist faction, represented by the likes of the Niavaran school or the Kian circle and also prevalent at institutions such as the IMF and the World Bank, does not subscribe to significant state regulation of the economy. On the contrary, they press for maximally deregulated markets. That this would lead to a further increase in economic inequalities and more hardships can be observed across the world, including in the west.

To put things into perspective:

- Does the Leader's speech preclude welfare measures such as social housing, unemployment benefits, universal healthcare etc? No, it doesn't.
- Does it preclude increased taxation of the wealthy? No.
- Does it preclude subsidies on or rationing of basic consumer goods? No.
- Does it preclude de-dollarization of the Iranian economy through state control of the exchange rate? No.

Basically the Leader's request is to lower the share of government-owned enterprises while ensuring that the people (rather than a select few capitalists) will take over. Since some 60% of companies in Iran are government-owned if I'm not mistaken - which should be about twice as much as in China, this could be reduced to around 25% or so. But, this is not synonymous with introducing an Anglo-Saxon style capitalist economy as market extremists in Iran would like to do.
one very important part of leader speech was when he talked about a very serious disease that is crippling our economy and it was when he admonished government for calling governmental institute as private institute to escape restriction and regulation put on governmental institute to fight corruption .
 
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one very important part of leader speech was when he talked about a very serious disease that is crippling our economy and it was when he admonished government for calling governmental institute as private institute to escape restriction and regulation put on governmental institute to fight corruption .

Considering the fact that in practice numerous public companies are behaving like private ones would do in a vastly deregulated market environment, it works the other way around as well. After all, it's atypical (to put it mildly) for a government-owned company to be relying on contractors (peymānkār) for workforce recruitment, and subject said workforce to overly liberal labor laws which grant workers the fewest amount of rights. Chances are this is not the social justice the Leader has in mind.
 
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Considering the fact that in practice numerous public companies are behaving like private ones would in a vastly deregulated market environment, it works the other way around as well. After all, it's atypical (to put it mildly) for a government-owned company to be relying on a workforce which essentially consists of contractors (peymānkār) subjected to overly liberal labor laws ie granting workers the fewest amount of rights. Chances are this is not the social justice the Leader has in mind.
i worked in IRIB and it relayed on contractors
contractors are everywhere and they are not rare at all and they are another problem for workforce as they are not regulated enough. a great example for them are municipalies , on other hand they are rare in private sectors as the regulation and work law made it less profitable for them to relay on them
 
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i worked in IRIB and it relayed on contractors
contractors are everywhere and they are not rare at all and they are another problem for workforce as they are not regulated enough.

And this represents an anomaly. State-owned companies are supposed to offer better protection to workers and employees. This said, Iran's revised labor law in general (modified under the Hashemi administration) is strongly on the deregulated, liberal side. It is favoring employers massively.
 
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And this represents an anomaly. State-owned companies are supposed to offer better protection to workers and employees. This said, Iran's revised labor law in general (modified under the Hashemi administration) is strongly on the deregulated, liberal side. It is favoring employers massively.
its still like our constitution is one of the best in the world , the problem is like the rest of our laws , it won't be implemented as it should . another problem is our people don't knew their rights under the law so it open the way for these nonsense like how the contractors treat their employee and how they made the workers sign contracts that clearly at best are illegal and void if not outright criminal.
 
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Basically the Leader's request is to lower the share of government-owned enterprises while ensuring that the people (rather than a select few capitalists) will take over. Since some 60% of companies in Iran are government-owned if I'm not mistaken - which should be about twice as much as in China, this could be reduced to around 25% or so. But, this is not synonymous with introducing an Anglo-Saxon style capitalist economy as market extremists in Iran would like to do.
Similar mix pf Government/private entities also do exist outside of Iran..In Canada those enterprises are named "crown corporations"..Canada post for example is a crown corporation..Co-ops are great ideas also but their size stays limited.

MAPNA corporation in Iran is a great example of how you can have world class private enterprise with some government participation..Fixing that privatization plan of government owned corporations ( amendment 44) is a priority , this was great ideas that failed during implementation.
 
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its still like our constitution is one of the best in the world , the problem is like the rest of our laws , it won't be implemented as it should . another problem is our people don't knew their rights under the law so it open the way for these nonsense like how the contractors treat their employee and how they made the workers sign contracts that clearly at best are illegal and void if not outright criminal.

The labor law is no good either. It used to be amongst the world's most valuable ones, then in its revised form under the administration of Hashemi, whose economic policies were influenced mostly by monetarists, it introduced crass deregulation favoring employers in an unbalanced way. The issues you cite come on top of it, aggravating an already questionable basis.
 
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The labor law is no good either. It used to be amongst the world's most valuable ones, then in its revised form under the administration of Hashemi whose economic policies were influence for the most part by monetarists, it introduced crass deregulation favoring employers. The issues you cite come on top of it, aggravating an already questionable basis.
what rafsanjani did affected the small companies , i think the one with less than 5 or 10 worker and if i recall correctly parliament , patched part of it several year later . but even that is not honored and we see companies with hundered of employee use these contractors that ......

Similar mix pf Government/private entities also do exist outside of Iran..In Canada those enterprises are named "crown corporations"..Canada post for example is a crown corporation..Co-ops are great ideas also but their size stays limited.

MAPNA corporation in Iran is a great example of how you can have world class private enterprise with some government participation..Fixing that privatization plan of government owned corporations ( amendment 44) is a priority , this was great ideas that failed during implementation.
it failed mainly because it was not actually implemented and as supereme leader in his speech said its very bad to see government company in guise of private companies . they just sold those companies to entities controlled by government or the one that are just a name for a governmental institution
 
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this could be reduced to around 25% or so.
25% ? aren't you too humble dear salar ?
popcorn-eating-popcorn.gif


Armed , intelligence and police forces => Mr Khamenei ( leader )
Judiciary => Mr Khamenei (leader )
Parts of intelligence => government
Parts of healthcare and education ( places where people wont go ) => government
Man power required for regulation and building necessities of country( again where people don't go and it's damn necessary) => government

I don't think you need 25% of country's resources for above needs.
 
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25% ? aren't you too humble dear salar ?
View attachment 922020

Armed , intelligence and police forces => Mr Khamenei ( leader )
Judiciary => Mr Khamenei (leader )
Parts of intelligence => government
Parts of healthcare and education ( places where people wont go ) => government
Man power required for regulation and building necessities of country( again where people don't go and it's damn necessary) => government

I don't think you need 25% of country's resources for above needs.

The bulk of healthcare and education actually.

For the rest, we discussed this before, didn't we my friend? There are other sectors at risk of generating insufficient interest on the part of private actors due to the time it takes for investment to become profitable. Moreover the market entry cost in such sectors is usually prohibitive, making it impossible for the people at large to take control of production. Finally there's the challenge of potential geographical discrimination, which may arise if private companies focused on profit making consider that certain localities (distant villages, small provincial towns etc) are not worthy of being served because it'd be too costly and not beneficial enough (in a country like France, some rural corners have meanwhile been deserted and suffer from an absence of basic services).

I'm mostly referring to heavy nationwide transportation, energy and communication infrastructures. Even if privately owned businesses do play a role in said domains of activity, state-owned companies will remain more adapted to the task in various instances. Parallel to privately run companies, the country needs state-owned flag carriers (one airliner and one shipping company). Government should also have either a presence or a monopoly in postal services, telecommunications, railways (ground infrastructure i.e. tracks at least), power plants, nuclear installations (for additional reasons of national security), the space agency as well as the strategic oil and gas sectors.

There's furthermore a chronic issue in Iran with "mafia"-like private banks and how their corrupt practices have boosted social inequalities. Either this is fixed by regulatory legislation (but these banks are extremely apt at circumventing laws and bribing their way out), or they ought to be confiscated by the government as a punitive measure.

For everything else, I do not see particular hurdles on the way to establishing private ownership. 25/75 should be an adequate distribution (I mean number of firms, not share of resources). Since companies working in the sectors enumerated above are often more sizeable than average, their overall percentage may end up being beneath 25, granted, however in terms of GDP they'll weigh more than this figure. On condition that the Leader's guideline is heeded to transfer ownership to the people, a concept distinct from a small and closed group of privileged entrepreneurs.

Otherwise top level business elites in Iran tend to lack economic nationalism - this is the case everywhere but in Iran the issue appears to be somewhat compounded, in no small part because of the enemy's intensive cultural aggression. Which in turn becomes a question of national security. This can readily be observed today by how said elites are perpetuating the economy's dependence on the US dollar, how they engage in speculative and rent-based activities whilst neglecting productive investment, or how they cause capital flight, more often than not depositing in western banks or in tax havens linked to the west, that is to enemy states.
 
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Screenshot(2).png

This year's minimum wage according to government :

1.76 million rial for daily workers ( per day)

53 million rial for monthly wages ( 30 days)
11 million rial coupon for families of workers ( monthly )
5 million rial for every kid of family of workers ( monthly )
6.5 million rial aid for workers without home ( monthly )
increased baseline of worker volume to 70.000 rial per day ( it will slightly increases wages )


So minimum wage guy with no kid and house will get (53 + 11 + 6.5 = 70.5 million rial + increased baseline ) which by today's exchange rate (~420.000 rial per 1 USD ) is close to $167 +X( min X could be extra 5 dollar per month) per month .

Family of 4 with working mom or dad will get extra 10 million for 2 kids so an increase of ~ $24.
they will get ~ $191 + ( X or at least 5 extra dollars per month ).


Source :
Screenshot(3).png
 
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View attachment 922357
This year's minimum wage according to government :

1.76 million rial for daily workers ( per day)

53 million rial for monthly wages ( 30 days)
11 million rial coupon for families of workers ( monthly )
5 million rial for every kid of family of workers ( monthly )
6.5 million rial aid for workers without home ( monthly )
increased baseline of worker volume to 70.000 rial per day ( it will slightly increases wages )


So minimum wage guy with no kid and house will get (53 + 11 + 6.5 = 70.5 million rial + increased baseline ) which by today's exchange rate (~420.000 rial per 1 USD ) is close to $167 +X( min X could be extra 5 dollar per month) per month .

Family of 4 with working mom or dad will get extra 10 million for 2 kids so an increase of ~ $24.
they will get ~ $191 + ( X or at least 5 extra dollars per month ).


Source :
View attachment 922363

Does the increase of the minimum wage equal or surpass inflation?
 
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Does the increase of the minimum wage equal or surpass inflation?
No :)

In dollar terms last year min wage was close to $170 and this year is almost the same. ( don't forget that 2 weeks before new year somehow value of rial vs USD became stronger with 450,000-500,000 rial per 1 USD it would be a different story)

In rial term last year it was close to ~62-64 million rial(with all benefits) and this year it's close to 70.5 million rial.

Official rate of inflation for last year was close to 45% (-2 or +2)
 
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Comparison of the share of the number of papers in each field in major countries and the share of the number of papers in the Top 10% corrected papers (Japanese government survey)
KsblBnl.png

The recent increase in the level of scientific research in Iran, especially in the number of papers, is well known, but some may be skeptical.
Are these statistics just for the convenience of the Iranian government? Isn't the quality of research low?
So, I decided to translate the survey results compiled by the Japanese government into English and introduce them to everyone.

The number of papers published in the public domain does not reflect the actual situation because only the names of the researchers are counted if they are listed in the joint research,
For example, pro-U.S. countries can take advantage of Western papers to make up the numbers.
Therefore, this survey by the Japanese government counts the number of papers according to the level of contribution of each country, so that it better reflects the actual situation.

The top row shows the total number of papers, the second row shows the top 10% of papers in terms of attention, and the third row shows the top 1%.
Iran is almost even with my home country, Japan, in the top 10% of the papers in the 2018-2020 figures!

It is impressive that the number of papers and the quality of the papers have increased remarkably compared to 10 years ago, and Iran is far ahead of Turkey.
It's a shame that my country, acting like a slave to the US, is only declining!
 
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