TheImmortal
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I wonder if threats of executing hostages has prevented the abundance of airstrikes that we saw in last 48 hours. Airstrikes have dropped significantly.
Tons of airstrikes today. Plus when you do 2000+ strikes in a 350km2 area. For comparison all of Gaza Strip is less than half the size of Tehran. There isn’t much [of notable value] left to hit as time goes on.
Gaza is gonna look like Aleppo, Homs, or Mariupol soon if it hasn’t already.
Hamas and PIJ aren't under threat of extinction yet.
Israeli establishment has boxed themselves in with mission creep by setting the terms of success as “every Hamas militant killed”. Publicly stating such lofty goals is a mistake.
It is still active.I'm curious, if the Negev center is struck in Dimona, whether the heavy water reactor is active or not would that cause massive radioactive exposure? If I am not mistaken they used to make plutonium there. Is that Iran's counter nuclear card?
These findings suggest that a successful strike on an operating Dimona reactor that breached containment and generated an explosion and fire involving the core would present effects similar to a substantial radiological weapon or dirty bomb. Although consequences would represent only a small fraction of the Chernobyl release, for Israel, a country the size of New Jersey with a population of some six million, the relative economic dislocation, population relocation, and immediate and lingering psychological trauma could be significant
While it’s possible to create a nuclear fallout it would be much smaller scale then Chernobyl and also due to reactors location in the desert the immediate surrounding would be most city of Diomona
Furthermore, Israel has taken some steps to fortify certain key parts of the plan underground. It would be tough for a BMs to do underground damage as their warheads aren’t designed for bunker buster type damage. Same goes for a swarm of S-136 that would likely come in coordination with the attack.
I think as soon as soon Israel attacks Iran or Iran attacks Israel (whichever comes first) Israel would begin a controlled emergency shutdown of the reactor to prevent a meltdown. This would reduce chances of nuclear dispersion further.