Indian Political Corner | All Updates & Discussions.

[skyisthelimit]

http://5forty3.in/implement/stateMAPm_MAPiUP1.php

In last week some secular opinion poll company guys have trolled him, going to extent to labeling his data loopsided and favoring BJP.
Secular brigade attack.

SP is collapsing, esp after the recent rape issue with SP mla.

BJP should make it a big issue...ask question to UP CM on women security via newspaper adverts.

 

[Josef K]

https://thewire.in/107973/dainik-jagran-exit-poll-uttar-pradesh-ec-defiance/

Secular whining aside, how trustworthy is Dainik Jagran?

 

[noksss]

SP is collapsing, esp after the recent rape issue with SP mla.

In last week some secular opinion poll company guys have trolled him, going to extent to labeling his data loopsided and favoring BJP.
Secular brigade attack.



BJP should make it a big issue...ask question to UP CM on women security via newspaper adverts.

The girl is killed by this goon and look at the audacity of this moron he killed the girl when his constituency Sultanpur is going to the polls in the fifth phase on February 27. And as usual Media is behaving like a loyal dog to Congress-SP


http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/...nd-dead-in-sultanpur/articleshow/57135618.cms

 

[Nilgiri]

HUGE NEWS:

SC upholds Sasikala's conviction in disproportionate assets case.
Sasikala to be taken into custody to serve out the remaining quantum of her 4-year jail term.

===========

Phew!

BJP please make inroads into AIADMK please with OPS help. Whole structure is rotten and needs to be cleaned.

 

[Kathin_Singh]

SP is collapsing, esp after the recent rape issue with SP mla.

Yeah SP is collapsing and BSP is collapsing .Everything is collapsing expect BJP.

Uttar Pradesh elections 2017: Editor of Jagran.com arrested for violating EC guidelines


Read it

http://m.indiatoday.in/story/uttar-...ection-who-is-winning-10-points/1/881093.html

BJP is losing and SP is a big winner in 1st phase .

 

[noksss]

FINAL TALLY of Odisha's Zila Panchayat elections in phase 1:

BJP - 75
BJD - 94
Congress -11
Others 14

http://postcard.news/massive-victory-bjp-odisha-panchayat-polls-congress-decimated-completely/

 

[temujin]

Rohith Vemula not a Dalit, says collector; Andhra govt to cancel SC certificate

It’s now official. The Andhra Pradesh government has decided to declare Rohith Vemula, the research scholar of University of Hyderabad whose suicide in January 2016 triggered a nationwide uproar, as belonging to the Other Backward Classes (OBC) and that he was not a Dalit.

The government has also decided to cancel the Scheduled Caste certificate “fraudulently” obtained by Rohith and his mother Radhika Vemula.

Before doing so, the government on Monday served a show cause notice on Radhika as to why she cannot be declared as belonging to the Vaddera community, which falls under the OBC category.

If she still claims she is a Dalit, she should prove her claim with valid documents to that effect within two weeks.

Guntur district collector Kantilal Dande told HT that the District-Level Scrutiny Committee (DLSC), which had gone into a review petition challenging the Dalit status of Rohith Vemula, made a detailed inquiry at the field level and submitted a report stating that neither he nor his mother were Dalits and that they had obtained the SC certificate by fraudulent means.

“Based on the DLSC report, we have decided to cancel the Dalit certificate fraudulently obtained by Rohith and his mother and declare them as belonging to OBC community. As part of the procedure, we have served a notice on Radhika to prove her claim of Dalit within 15 days. Otherwise, she and Rohith would be declared as OBCs,” Dande said.

Apparently, the notice was served on Radhika in an apparent move to avoid any possible legal hassles in future.

Radhika’s other son, Raja Vemula, confirmed that she had received the notice from the Guntur administration.

“They gave her two weeks’ time to prove that she indeed belonged to SC community and not an OBC. We are consulting our lawyers to study the notice and give a proper reply,” Raja told HT.

http://www.hindustantimes.com/india...d-as-an-obc/story-kflGppKb0Exg5pEPc9qW3K.html

Why is the sickular brigade quiet about this?

 

[Eminent Mainstream Media]

Yeah SP is collapsing and BSP is collapsing .Everything is collapsing expect BJP.

Uttar Pradesh elections 2017: Editor of Jagran.com arrested for violating EC guidelines


Read it

http://m.indiatoday.in/story/uttar-...ection-who-is-winning-10-points/1/881093.html

BJP is losing and SP is a big winner in 1st phase .

SP cannot win 1st Phase- at best It can damage BSP's chances there- two things have happened-

1-RLD has cut in to BJP's vote chunk(51%) in 2014- It many not be winning many seats but It has damaged BJP's chances in key seats of the Jat belt districts-

2-SP has cut into BSP's Muslim vote share- however they don't have much support besides Muslims(only 7% Yadav that too concentrated in few areas)-

3-Dalits are consolidating behind BSP-

4- Non-Yadav OBC united under Lodhs and voted overwhelmingly for BJP some reports indicate more than 2014-

BJP in spite of loosing Jat votes would be still around 33-34% which means a loss of about 16-17% from what it got in 2014 and be the single largest party from phase 1-

SP would win 2nd phase- But it is facing major problem in Its Mainpuri-Kannauj-Etawa belt where Shivpal and rebels are making life difficult- adding to all this are highly unpopular sitting MLAs from his party-

Early trends suggest following keypoints-

1-Muslims are consolidating behind SP+Congress(however they vote for BSP wherever it has greater chance of beating BJP)-

2-Mayavati is rising from what all people thought- you may have noticed her soft corner for Shivpal in various speeches- She may gain the most from infighting in the Mainpuri-Kannauj-Etawa Belt- Even Modi is rushing to Kannauj out of scheduled plan because every one sees a chance there which should have been a clean sweep for SP-

3- Non-Yadav OBCs are strongly uniting behind BJP-

PS: Interesting trends coming from 4th and 5th phase too- This is not as clear as 2014 as of now no one can claim victory-

Interesting observation by Barkha Dutt's website-

https://www.thequint.com/uttar-prad...st-up-will-bjp-repeat-2014-election-landslide

. “Total polarisation” is how the SP candidate from Thana Bhawan, Sudhip Panwar, described the election-day mood.

 

[Soumitra]

Good article about the rise of BJP and the move by the regional parties

http://www.opindia.com/2017/02/victory-vs-growth-the-dilemma-bjp-has-to-solve-in-the-run-up-to-2019/

 

[Crixus]

If BJP against BSP + SP + Congress + RLD .... thats will be David vs Goliath in 2019 in UP ........ 2019 will be more interesting then 2014 ...I still think Pannerselvan will be with BJP in 2019 that will more then 20 seats from TN ..finally they will have some cabinet ministry in next govt.

Good article about the rise of BJP and the move by the regional parties

http://www.opindia.com/2017/02/victory-vs-growth-the-dilemma-bjp-has-to-solve-in-the-run-up-to-2019/

 

[Kathin_Singh]

SP cannot win 1st Phase- at best It can damage BSP's chances there- two things have happened-

1-RLD has cut in to BJP's vote chunk(51%) in 2014- It many not be winning many seats but It has damaged BJP's chances in key seats of the Jat belt districts-

2-SP has cut into BSP's Muslim vote share- however they don't have much support besides Muslims(only 7% Yadav that too concentrated in few areas)-

3-Dalits are consolidating behind BSP-

4- Non-Yadav OBC united under Lodhs and voted overwhelmingly for BJP some reports indicate more than 2014-

BJP in spite of loosing Jat votes would be still around 33-34% which means a loss of about 16-17% from what it got in 2014 and be the single largest party from phase 1-

SP would win 2nd phase- But it is facing major problem in Its Mainpuri-Kannauj-Etawa belt where Shivpal and rebels are making life difficult- adding to all this are highly unpopular sitting MLAs from his party-

Early trends suggest following keypoints-

1-Muslims are consolidating behind SP+Congress(however they vote for BSP wherever it has greater chance of beating BJP)-

2-Mayavati is rising from what all people thought- you may have noticed her soft corner for Shivpal in various speeches- She may gain the most from infighting in the Mainpuri-Kannauj-Etawa Belt- Even Modi is rushing to Kannauj out of scheduled plan because every one sees a chance there which should have been a clean sweep for SP-

3- Non-Yadav OBCs are strongly uniting behind BJP-

PS: Interesting trends coming from 4th and 5th phase too- This is not as clear as 2014 as of now no one can claim victory-

Interesting observation by Barkha Dutt's website-

https://www.thequint.com/uttar-prad...st-up-will-bjp-repeat-2014-election-landslide

SP was the weakest in the western UP belt.When 2012 anti Maya wave was present,then also BSP able to win 23 seats just one behind SP 24.

But Phase 2 is the fort of SP. SP was able to win 34 seats and BSP just 18 and BJP with 8. Rampur Sambhal belt has strong population of Muslims and Yadavs and miniscule number of Jats.

All is fair expect observation about Etawa and kannauj belt.There is no rebels left in SP. Shivpal is fighting a lone seat .Make no mistake Mulayam is with Akhilesh.

 

[Josef K]

BJP is losing and SP is a big winner in 1st phase .

http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/uttar-pradesh-polls-polarisation/1/881720.html

India Today changing the narrative after waiting for a couple of days. And whining about polarization now.

 

[Eminent Mainstream Media]

SP was the weakest in the western UP belt.When 2012 anti Maya wave was present,then also BSP able to win 23 seats just one behind SP 24.

But Phase 2 is the fort of SP. SP was able to win 34 seats and BSP just 18 and BJP with 8. Rampur Sambhal belt has strong population of Muslims and Yadavs and miniscule number of Jats.

All is fair expect observation about Etawa and kannauj belt.There is no rebels left in SP. Shivpal is fighting a lone seat .Make no mistake Mulayam is with Akhilesh.

In 2012 Mulayam Singh allied with Kalyan Singh- Which helped SP to get 24 seats- Kalyan Singh holds the floating vote(lodh and other non-yadav OBC) in this region which is spread all through combined with some Muslim votes It gave a good score despite the margins being low-

There is anger among Yadavs in Etawa-Mainpuri-Kannauj belt- the sitting MLAs are highly unpopular- Mulayam and Shivpal have supported Lok dal candidates in this region who are mainly rebels from Shivpal's camp(about 15 strong candidates who may alter the balance)-

Also something which MSM is hiding is the very high anger among people WRT Law and Order- It is a big issue this time-

 

[Kathin_Singh]

In 2012 Mulayam Singh allied with Kalyan Singh- Which helped SP to get 24 seats- Kalyan Singh holds the floating vote(lodh and other non-yadav OBC) in this region which is spread all through combined with some Muslim votes It gave a good score despite the margins being low-

There is anger among Yadavs in Etawa-Mainpuri-Kannauj belt- the sitting MLAs are highly unpopular- Mulayam and Shivpal have supported Lok dal candidates in this region who are mainly rebels from Shivpal's camp(about 15 strong candidates who may alter the balance)-

Also something which MSM is hiding is the very high anger among people WRT Law and Order- It is a big issue this time-

In 2012 Mulayam did not allied with Kalyan singh. Wrong facts.Period.

 

[noksss]

No wonder Congress accused BJP of trying to make Arunachal as Hindu state and no wonder Kiren Rijju talked about conversion .As usual media picks up Rijju's statement and rant about intolerance