how can you compare it with Baluch problem bro, overwhelming majority of Baloch despite having grievances with central govt want to remain part of Pakistan and Iran. While majority Kurds despite having some kind of autonomy want to create their new homeland..
No two situations can be same in all aspects.
But there are many similarities that you are missing. Both are an ethnic group ( more so in Baluch case) that is dispersed in different modern states. They are a minority in their respective countries and can never actually get decisive power in that country, with 4% of the population you don't see any major political party of Pakistan giving much significance to Baluchistan. In case of Iran there is a sectarian angle to it as well.
When you say majority wants to stay within the federation, what can be the possible reasons for that. In my understanding there can be three reasons.
1. They believe in the state of Pakistan
2. They feel their interests will be looked after in a better way while staying within the federation.
3. They feel with such a large state security apparatus in place, a free Baluchistan will not be possible and such a movement will only result in bloodshed and will not yield results.
Yes there are many who believe in Pakistan, I have met quite a few of them who have their grievances but are ready to keep them aside for the sake of the unity of the Islamic republic.
There would be only a few who would feel that federation has their best interests at heart, not a single Baluch in my social circle believes that.
But there are many who feel a movement for the freedom of Baluchistan will only result in chaos and misery for their people. The state of Pakistan or Iran is too strong to take head on, so they feel staying within the system and working to improve the lives of their ethnic group makes more sense.
A free Kurdistan, against all odds, will inspire that third kind of people and give a new hope to the people aspiring for secession. Whether you like it or not, but not all the people that want an independent Baluchistan are Indian agents. There is a segment of Baluchs, although they are in minority, but they actually believe in a free Baluchistan.
Plus as I said it will be template that can be followed by the global powers. And when the global powers are hell bent on destroying you, a minority voice can easily be portrayed as a majority. A vocal minority will always take the center stage instead of a silent majority. In 71, majority of Bengalis did not want a complete secession from Pakistan, they wanted rights and they thought Mujib and AL will deliver them that after 70's election. But we know how that turned out.
Although we are not as weak as we were in 71, but we need to be careful. Such developments in the region needs to be closely monitored by the people that are at helm of things.
Trump will resettle them some place in mid USA
