Carlosa
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I agree we must prioritize. first and foremost, more subs are necessary so we can better play cat and mouse with the chinese.
here is a interesting article quoting the accessment of Vasily Kashin of Moscow-based Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies, a think tank: Vietnam 6 Kilo are superior than 12 Kilo of China. Besides, our purchase of Kilo-class submarines could have serious political consequences for its relationship with China and other Southeast Asian states, whatever it means.
Vietnam's new Kilo-class submarines to affect China ties|Politics|News|WantChinaTimes.com
yes, you are right. and the most important thing is, due to imbalance of power at sea, we have no choice but return to the classical tactics: ambush, hit and run so basically transfering the guerilla warfare from the jungle to the south china sea.
in doing so, we had been very successful in defeating the naval forces of the Han, Mongol, Champa and Siam, some success against the French and America superior naval forces. We are master of guerilla warfare, so there is no reason why we don´t return to the old classical ways.
Vietnam is doing the right steps and in the right direction, slowly but surely. The game will be long (most likely) and is an international dispute with many actors and the way things will go is unpredictable. China can easily push too far and that can result in a new dynamic and a new balance of power in the region. The cautious and risk averse Obama will probably be replaced by Hillary Clinton which is considered a hawk and no friend of China; if that happens, the chinese better stop encroaching or they'll end up in war with USA. The chinese are overconfident and are very likely to overplay their hand and put themselves into a corner.
Also, most countries in the region are steadily rearming and slowly moving towards some sort of military alliance or cooperation against China. The chinese are being very successful in uniting everybody against them and in moving everybody towards Uncle Sam. The party that has the upper hand now might not be the one that has it in the future.
Have to see how things play out, have to stay cool, play the cat and mouse game with a cool head like VN did with the oil rig. The oil rig was a disaster for China in many ways. They showed their true colors and now everybody is very clear about them. VN got a lot of sympathy and support, we only need to see the big change in how USA approached VN as a consequence of the oil rig and all the visits from high US officials right after that. I think the tide is turning against China, but more will be revealed as time goes on. Right now VN needs to play for time.
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