I am going to keep it simple. The Middle East will bein turmoils for decades to come, if not centuries. Too many ethnic and religious division, and not a single entity can unite them.
Let's look at the region by ethnicity, you've got Arabs, Persians, Turks and Kurds that have age old rivalries against each other. All the handshakes and photo ops can't mask the apparent hate amongst them. Now you might say Islam is the factor that unites them all, but you have Sunni, Shi'te, Sufi and other minor sects clashing against one another. Your religion isn't even united. I'm not even going to begin mentioning that tribal identify mess on top of these problems.
China as a civilization used to be the same, until one emperor forcefully united the entire land and brutally enforced new standards (language, ruling system, measurement standards). He's considered a tyrant by many even today, but without his brutal tactics, there would be no Chinese identity. Instead, we'd probably still bicker amongst tribal and ethnic lines today. Doing the same in Middle East is next to impossible today.
First, there's no country with the military might that could conquer the entire Middle East. Second, the West will crush any attempts at uniting the Middle East, since a fractured region helps them to suck the life out of you people and defend Israel. Third, the region has no proper industrial capability on par with China, Europe or US to speak of. No superpower can ever risen by depending on resource export. If you pay attention to history, strongest world powers are all industrial powerhouses.
I hate to be a pessimist, but the ME is pretty f*cked.
thanks for your comment anyway......
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