And that's what I asked you to explain; what makes you say the course correction has begun? This is not a rhetorical question; I am genuinely curious and I hope you're right.
I am a firm believer in economics being a significant factor in influencing/shaping politics and society. In blunt terms the sources/processes that places your food on the table will end up have significant
leverage over your
views on politics and culture. Or he who pays calls the shots.
Pakistan has always been [even before 1947] a crude "parasite economy". Income is generated by simply tendering out a commodity. I can sum up Pakistan's economy thus-
1947-1970 ~ Aid from USA/West in exchange for renting Pakistan in anti USSR alliance.
1970-Present ~ Migrant labour export GCC. Renting Pakistan to GCC.
1980-1990 ~ Aid from USA/West in exchange for renting Pakistan in Afghan Jihad.
2001-2011 ~ Aid from USA/West in exchange for renting Pakistan in US project in Afghanistan
As you can see from 1947-1970 the Pakistani economy remained entirely dependant on US/Western aid. During this period our governments remained entirely beholden to the West and Ayub's administration that covered most of this period was either explicity secular or implicitly secular. The traditional reactionery mullahs were used against the left but were kept muzzled. This period is today seen as the golden years of Pakistan - a country that was tolerant and accepting of diversity.
However from 1970s onwards the political economy went through profound change. Increasing numbers of migrant workers went to the emerging GCC. Our educated class were bought out by petrodollars. Increasining our political economy became dependant on GCC money. That introduced GCC influence via wahabism. Bhutto kowtowing to Arab sheikhs in Lahore was manifestation of this change. The "Islamic ummah" songs began to take root. Underneath all this was the massive amount of GCC petrodollars flooding into Pakistan and buying out influence and our elite.
This process was consolidated during the Afghan jihad under General Zia. Although Pakistan got two shots of Western economic transfusion [1980/1990 under Zia and 2001/2011 under Musharaf] the renting of services to GCC has continued unabated from 1970. This has created a political economy that is dependant GCC. This has introduced massive amount of GCC influence as society has become radical; Most of our preachers are sponsored or see GCC as the inspiration. Even our political class are beholden to GCC rulers.
However the era of being able to live off by renting out to GCC is changing. As we move forward less of the income will come from GCC. Pakistan will be forced to become a normal trading nation to survive. Pakistan cannot survive on GCC alone. First because that source will begin to reduce and secondly because of our increasing population.
That will force Pakistan to develop a normal trading economy - not a rentier economy. And this will happen under Chinese influence. CPEC is the pointer to the future of Pakistan's emerging political economy. However this new political climate will entail Pakistanis to behave like businessmen. That means trade before ideaology.
As CPEC takes off more and more parts of the Pakistan's economy will become dependant on China. This will create interest groups within Pakistan who will eschew religious dogma and radicalism. The more CPEC takes off. The larger the size of the political economy that depends on it. The larger iot is means more influence that gopes against the mullah class.
Fine exampe of this is Bangladesh. The huge garment industry in that country that practically feeds mozst of the Banglas directly or indirectly depends on Western markets. That has built up a huge political economy in Bangladesh that depends on the Western order. It indirecty underwrites the secular forces in Bangladesh. If mullah parties win more influence Bangladesh would lose the garment industry. This has created linkages within Bangladesh that have vested interests to move toward secularism to curry favour with Western markets.
This is exactly what will happen in Pakistan. Over the next 20 years a huge part of Pakistan's political economy will become dependant on CPEC and the Chinese economy. This will create a huge vested group inside Pakistan which will act as a lobby for Chinese.
And we know Chinese are not exactly fond of religious obscurantism or mullahs. You won't see jamatis parties or mullah parties catching flights to Beijing. A new and entirely differant type of Pakistani will be seen catching flights to China.
The days of the West or GCC keeping Pakistan alive are numbered.
And if anybody has bothered to read the full
CPEC policy document that lays out the thinking behind the $100 billion CPEC projects not one dollar is going on building a mosque or employing a mullah. Compare this with GCC money - much of that goes into Islamic schools, madaris or building mosques - Shah Faisel Mosque in Islamabad being a good example.
The CPEC policy document prepared by Chinese and Pakistani partners covers industry, roads, electricity generating stations, ports, beach hotels, tourist resorts on the coast etc. That is decidely a secular investment with secular goals and zero investment in religious fervour.