Realistic Change
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@PakSword ; @Farah Sohail ; @Realistic Change
I have deliberating and reflecting on what has come out of SC in the last 72-hours - and more importantly - why it has come out, and what impact is intended:
- The Hudaibya paper mill case decision is to create a divide within the house of Shareefs (and this is very important for the events to come in the next 6 to 12 months). With this decision, a message has been given to Shahbaz Shareef (SS), if he does not meddle himself into more non-sense then can have a political future (which is extremely important for him). If he creates more mischief, a review petition can be filed in the SC; and this time all the evidences will be presented as well (which have been withheld for now).
- PMLn is imploding and party stalwarts are either resigning or distancing themselves from it.
- Nawaz Shareef has no chance of starting a nationwide movement, contrary to what he has said today.
- A new Muslim League is likely to emerge. Ch. is not "POLITICALLY DEAD" - contrary to what many people had thought.
- IK has been given a relief and the powerful circles have now agreed to accommodate him.
Thanks @Dil Pakistan for the tag.
Let me share with you the following based on my firsthand info that I became privy to in last one month or so during my visit to Islamabad, Lahore, Multan and Rahim Yar Khan.
1. Actions of Sharif’s in Hudaibiya will come out - no stopping here. Having said this, Shahbaz does hold good relations with power players including judiciary but I am hoping this will not taint their view in his favor.
2. I donot see PMLN stalwarts (Khawaja Asif, Ahsan Iqbal, Saad Rafique, Khaqan Abbasi, Iqbal Jhagra, Mushahidullah, Parvez Rashid, even Nisar) leaving PMLN - I have shared over here several months ago and still stand by it reconfirming with my latest info. There are several types of leaders in PMLN - above ones have aligned themselves far too right - Pro Nawaz. Their exit / fleeing is their political death or at the least stigmatizing them to a pygmy’s level in the next new or splinter party.
3. Nawaz is a dreamer - he cannot start pull crowd no matter what - his voter is not Jalsa type voter- in short you are spot on his politics is not of street power so he can’t do protests like his opponents are capable of - so knowing this fact he will be fool of utter degree to jump into a field that totally belongs to his opponents.
4. You are right here too - many people including @PakSword over here stated Ch Nisar as spent force - I had been repeatedly over here saying exactly what you are saying again because of first hand info re his plans. He never ever intended to leave the party - he wants to have the cake when the baker of the cake is totally out. Refer to #2 above.
5. IK is not given relief - decision was on merit. PMLN and Jang / Geo did usual Disinformation campaign to equate his simple inflow of £ vs outflow of $ case. Kudos to them for doing this successfully.
Let’s say, IK is still considered “least” favorite in Power Brokering circles - again this info is from as higher ups in Army & Bureaucracy as it could be.
Though, situation is favouring him and the wind is perfect
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Another thing I wanted to share was Nawaz’s worst days are yet to come - abhi tou sirf ghaseeta gaya hai, ragdra abhi baaqi hai.
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