Friday, March 20, 2009
KARACHI: Pakistan expects to get $700 million in foreign inflows this month and that will further support its economy which had entered a safe territory, the countrys top economic official said on Thursday.
Pakistan is expected to receive $500 million from the World Bank and about $200 million from the Asian Development Bank this month, Finance Ministry chief Shaukat Tarin told Reuters.
In addition, Pakistan is also expected to get $840 million from the International Monetary Fund when its board meets later this month.
That would be the second tranche of the IMFs $7.6 billion 23-month emergency loan programme which was agreed in November to avert a balance of payments crisis. A first tranche of $3.1 billion was released that month.
Tarin said the Pakistani economy had entered safe territory as inflation was declining and the current account balance in February recorded a surplus.
Analysts attributed the surprise current account surplus of $146 million in February to lower global commodity prices.
The current account was last in surplus in June 2007.
Tarin said the currency was stabilising, inflation declining and the Karachi interbank rate had fallen by almost 320 basis points this year, allowing the government to focus on a nine-point agenda of priorities.
In the upcoming budget we will start the nine-point agenda which includes providing a safety net for poor people, focusing on agriculture and manufacturing, human resource development and an integrated energy plan, Tarin said.
Tarin said Pakistan may float a bond but it is still too early to say and that it was monitoring credit default swaps.
Once the CDS narrows then we will (issue a bond), Tarin said in response to reports that Pakistan would raise $500 million through bonds by December.
Five-year credit default swaps have fallen to about 2,600 basis points from 3,000 basis points in January but analysts said the spread are still at elevated levels.
Under current levels, it costs at least $2.6 million to insure $10 million worth of debt against default.
Tarin said the United States was trying its best to help Pakistan, an important ally seen as vital to US efforts to stabilise Afghanistan and defeat Al Qaeda.