CPI inflation jumps to 8.67pc
Soaring prices of food items hit low-income families hard
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
ISLAMABAD: The Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation in November 2007 went up to 8.67 per cent from 8.07 per cent during the same month last year.
For five months (July to November 2007), the inflation fell to 7.85 per cent over the corresponding period of last year (8.29 per cent), but it was still above the target of 6.5 per cent for fiscal 2007-08, the Federal Bureau of Statistics (FBS) reported on Tuesday.
Though average general inflation is coming down, rising prices of food, fuel and lighting, education, healthcare and house rent are still snatching the purchasing power of the low-income group, which is a challenge for the economic managers.
The crushing blow to millions of low and fixed income families came from rising food prices, which during Nov 2007 went into double digit at 12.45 per cent over the corresponding month of last fiscal.
That hit the low-income families hard by further scuttling their purchasing power. It is interesting to note that high inflation in food has been noticed since the start of the last fiscal 2006-07. In that year, food inflation had been in double-digit, averaging more than 10 per cent.
During July 2006, it stood at 7.44 per cent, August 11.08 per cent, September 11.26 per cent, October 10.54 per cent, November 8.07 per cent, December 12.71 per cent, January 2007, 8.70 per cent, February 9.99 per cent, March 10.74 per cent, April 9.41 per cent, May 11.31 per cent and June 9.68 per cent.
Likewise, at the start of the new financial year 2007-08, it kept the same trajectory and during July 2007 food inflation stood at 8.47 per cent, August 8.62 per cent, September 12.97 per cent, October 14.67 per cent and during the month under review (November 2007) 12.47 per cent.
Despite their adverse impact on the low-income group, no effective steps have been taken by the government to reverse the trend. The authorities seem to be indifferent to the plight of the poor and the lower middle class who find it increasingly difficult to make ends meet with soaring prices of foodstuff and medical expenses.
In CPI basket, during the month under review, the cost of cleaning, laundry and personal appearance increased by 8.77 per cent, apparel, textile and footwear 8.67 per cent, house rent 8.27 per cent, healthcare 7.94 per cent, household, furniture and equipment 5.91 per cent and education 4.27 per cent over the corresponding month of the last fiscal.
More interestingly, the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) during the month also jacked up to 12.64 per cent from 7.46 per cent in same month of the last fiscal, which signifies further increase in general prices in the coming months.
While, main concern is that in the basket of WPI, food prices in November 2007 are costlier by 15.25 per cent, materials 15.09 per cent, fuel lighting and lubricants 14.44 per cent, building materials 9.15 per cent and manufactures up by 5.25 per cent over the corresponding month of the last fiscal.
In the span of one month, cotton seed prices went up by 10.59 per cent, cotton 8.55 per cent and mustard/rapeseed prices up by 4.78 per cent over October 2007.
Raw materials are also costlier by 5.38 per cent and fuel, lighting and lubricants prices also up by 2.98 per cent over October 2007. Detailed analysis of the CPI data revealed that under food and beverages, the items, which became dearer in November 2007, were mustard oil 15.26 per cent, eggs 12.94 per cent, vegetable ghee 7.36 per cent, masoor pulse 6.69 per cent, spices 4.8 per cent, wheat 4.79 per cent, corn flour 4.62 per cent, beverages 3.77 per cent, wheat flour 3.49 per cent and cooking oil prices up by 3.37 per cent in a span of one month over October 2007.
Though the government has tightened its monetary policy in July, the State Bank of Pakistan tightened its stance by raising its policy rate (the 3-day repo rate, which is its rediscount rate) from nine per cent to 9.5 per cent, and adjusted upward both the banks cash-reserve requirement ratio and their statutory liquidity requirement ratio, yet the accommodative monetary policy prevailed for the last few years would have a boosting effect on the inflation.
CPI inflation jumps to 8.67pc