Wednesday, August 27, 2008
ISLAMABAD: Pakistan requires Rs3,061 billion to achieve Millennium Development Goals (MDGs) related targets in education, health, environment, clean drinking water and sanitation during the next seven years till 2015, The News has learnt.
None of the governments have ever done this exercise to ascertain the exact financing requirements for achieving MDGs. Now this has been done by UN consultants to give the exact cost of achieving MDG targets envisaged by the UNO and agreed by Pakistan for improving basic necessities of life till 2015.
The much-awaited crucial document, Poverty Reduction and Strategy Paper (PRSP-II), on the basis of which Islamabad would get billions of dollars over the next three to five years would incorporate the MDG cost in its fold.
The MDGs, agreed by Pakistan under the aegis of UNO for scaling up provision of basic necessities of life, can only be achieved if the government spends a major chunk of its resources for achieving the targets in education, health and environment over the next seven years (2009-2015).
The total cost of Millennium Development Goals in sectors like education, health and environment would come to Rs3,061 billion till 2015, out of which the governments financing available to education would be Rs860 billion, health Rs850 billion, environment Rs550 billion and clean drinking water and sanitation Rs130 billion.
Total financing gap stands at Rs844 billion as the education sectors requirement is Rs350 billion, health Rs310 billion, drinking water and sanitation Rs43 billion and environment Rs141 billion, the cost estimated by the government and available with The News showed. Islamabad would have to approach multilateral and bilateral creditors in order to meet its financing requirements.
The total cost for achieving MDGs targets in education stood at Rs1210 billion, out of which Rs953 billion would be required for universal primary education, Rs209bn for promoting literacy and Rs48bn for early childhood education over the next seven years.
The cost for achieving health-related MDGs would require Rs1160 billion over the next seven years, out of which Rs5bn would be required for nutrition, Rs48bn for population welfare and Rs1107bn for mother and child healthcare.
The water and sanitation sector would require Rs173 billion, out of which Rs130bn would be for provision of clean drinking water and Rs43 billion for sanitation.
The cost of achieving environment related MDGs would be Rs691 billion, out of which Rs650 billion would be required for housing, Rs18bn for green environment and Rs23bn for brown environment in the next seven years.
According to an analysis done by former chief economist of Planning Commission, Dr Pervez Tahir, which he tabled during the recently held workshop titled Decentralisation - A Vehicle for Achieving MDGs, a copy of which is available with The News, states that out of a total of 34 indicators for achieving MDG targets, Pakistan is lagging behind on 25 indicators and is on track on six indicators, while it is ahead on three indicators.
Out of the three indicators related to eradicating extreme poverty and hunger, Pakistan is lagging behind on all of them. There are three indicators related to universal primary education, Pakistan is lagging behind on two indicators, while it is on track related to one indicator.
To promote gender equality and women empowerment, there are four indicators out of which Pakistan is lagging behind on one and is on track on two indicators, while it is ahead on one indicator.
There are six indicators on reducing child mortality and Pakistan is lagging behind on three indicators, is on track on two indicators, while ahead on one indicator. To improve maternal health, there are five indicators for achieving MDGs and Pakistan is lagging behind on all of them.
There are five indicators on combating HIV/AIDS, malaria and other diseases and Pakistan is lagging behind on all of them. To ensure environment sustainability, there are eight indicators for achieving MDGs, Pakistan is lagging behind on six indicators, is on track on one indicator while it is ahead on one indicator.
Public expenditure on social sector and food assistance as percentage of GDP are traditionally very nominal in Pakistan and the last eight years of Musharraf-Aziz regime worsened the situation.
The public expenditure on education as percentage of GDP stood at 1.34 per cent in 2000-2001, which went up to only 1.86 per cent by 2006-07. The public expenditures on health were 0.42 per cent of the GDP in fiscal year 2000-01 which increased to 0.61 per cent by 2006-07. On water supply and sanitation, public expenditures stood at 0.11 per cent of the GDP which increased to 0.19 per cent by 2006-07.
However, public expenditure on food subsidies and support declined during the Musharraf-Aziz rule as it stood at 0.25 per cent of the GDP by 2000-01, which declined to 0.10 per cent by 2006-07.