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Kashmir: Iran’s handling of Israel offers valuable lessons for Pakistan

Amaa'n

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Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard power that is deterrence through showing-off nukes. The unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key aspect of this model. Pakistan can design a similar model. What should Pakistan do to contain Indian influence on Kahsmir?

map-iran-regional-influence.jpg


For months after August 5, 2019, when the state of Jammu and Kashmir was stripped of the special status and carved into two Union Territories — residents of the valley feared it was a step towards a demographic change in the region. Things got clearer when an Indian diplomat in the US came up with the idea of following the Israeli model in Kashmir. Now India is doing the same.

When the whole world is worried about the Corona Virus, India just pulled out another page from the Israeli textbook. It passed this new legislation, under which anyone who has resided in the Kashmir region for 15 years can purchase land and become a permanent resident.

UN recognized disputed territory of Kashmir is the world’s most militarized region with more than 700,000 Indian soldiers, paramilitary and police in the region. Despite an active diplomatic campaign by Pakistan on Kashmir, the International community yet again failed to play its part in resolving this 70 year’s old conflict.

Kashmir: Pakistan’s policy is unproductive
India relies on its allies in containing Pakistan via different international bodies e.g FATF; this keeps Pakistan under pressure eventually preventing it from direct engagement in Indian administered Kashmir. This is the reason Indian policy makers believe that Pakistan can’t do anything and are slowly moving towards the annexation of Kashmir based on the Israeli model.

On the other hand, the Pakistani government and state apparatus are highly influenced by the Indian Psychological operations — this is the main factor in defining Pakistan’s policy on Kashmir, which is just limited to the political and diplomatic grounds. This was the exact approach Palestinians adopted due to lack of both capacity and capability to adopt other aggressive approaches but this is not the case with Pakistan. This approach failed because Israel had enough power to sustain the international diplomatic pressure. Now just like Israel the regime in India has enough power to take care of this constantly building international pressure.

In international relations and Geo-politics, diplomacy is a powerful tool but can’t be productive all the time, in the case of Kashmir, the Israeli model might bare results way much faster than it did in Palestine. Since Indian economy is growing at a rapid pace. Moreover, diplomatically, militarily, economically and legally; India is in a better position as compared to Israel. Israel along with political and diplomatic support is offering India all kinds of assistance in successfully executing its model in Kashmir. Israel is offering its services in terms of intelligence, defense production, capacity building and what they describe as “Counter-Terrorism”.

Read more: Pakistan welcomes joint statement by six human rights organisations on Kashmir

India is now deploying its tools to wage Network-centric warfare in the longer run. But in the last few months India in collaboration with Israel’s Military Industries is working on its Artillery Command & Control System (ACCS) along the LOC. The use of UAV drones and cluster bombs for the first time by the Indian army in Kashmir is a clear indication that they planned it on a script of Israel-Lebanon (2006); asymmetric warfare to keep Pakistan on its toes. This annexation is going to have long term implications.

Pakistan’s diplomatic campaign is futile, Pakistan even failed to organize the OIC conference on Kashmir, not only this, even majority of its allies haven’t come up with a strong stance on Kashmir expect Turkey, Malaysia and China. Pakistan already has limited options available — and even in that — Pakistani policymakers by ruling out the option of covert support for armed resistance — makes it very difficult to pull out any workable plans from the book. Even though, Kashmiris enjoy the legal right of armed resistance (just Like Palestinians), adopting this policy has only minimized the role and influence of Pakistan in Kashmir.

Moreover, in recent years the vacuum created by Pakistan’s non-interference was filled by other entities including Al-Qaeda and ISIS. Israel’s annexation of Jerusalem, Russian power in Ukraine and Iran’s influence in Iraq and Syria are great examples of how things work in Hybrid warfare with covert operations as the main driving force in the war. If India is following the Israeli model, Pakistan can follow the Iranian model of greater Syria.

Lessons from the Iranian model
Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard powerful deterrence through showing-off nukes, and, along with that the unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key in this model. The Iranian model includes organizing and building communities and a range of forces that are subject to its authority.

Keeping Israel focused on hard power, Iran is encircling Israel with the help of different proxies and meanwhile is working on capacity building of its proxies. Iran is providing these proxies a range of missiles, rockets, radars and advanced weapons which are important tools in Asymmetric warfare. This could have been impossible without strong diplomacy. Iran, with the help of Russia, is enhancing its defense capabilities along with its political influence in the region under the Russian umbrella.

Pakistan can design a similar model. Just like Iran and Russia had common interests, Pakistan and China have common interests in Kashmir. Pakistan needs to encircle India in Kashmir by building strong forces in the region. Pakistan can give GB and Kashmir autonomy over security affairs. They can take steps in that direction including making conscription mandatory for the people of GB and Kashmir, setup own military force or full corps within the Pakistan army. These forces can launch a series of special operations inside Kashmir to disturb the Indian plans of demographic change.

Read more: A Kashmiri’s experience of living in Delhi

Diplomacy is another important element in the Iranian model, Pakistan needs to engage its allies at least on the scale of OIC to announce travel restrictions for these new illegal settlers. There are many aspects of this model and need extensive study. But through the aforementioned approach, Pakistan could stop annexation of Kashmir.

https://www.globalvillagespace.com/...-israel-offers-valuable-lessons-for-pakistan/
 
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What handling? They are bombed daily by Israel that it become comical. They have never responded like never. Get outta here with this shit. I have never seen more restrain than Iran. They just sit flat and take hits for free.

Iran got itself just more enemies by trying to be nosy in some Arab countries it got Iran nothing but several enemies they didn't thought they would get it was massively counter-productive and backfired. By the way being nosy in India is just counter-productive. The best approach for Pakistan is to prepare and prepare for the inevitable event. Always prepare and develope for everything has it's time
 
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Article is 100% correct, I have been saying the exact same thing for years. Pakistan must follow the Iranian model. I am making dua for the day Pakistani leaders realize we must project hard power like Iran.

After Pakistan, I have more respect for Iran than any other country.

Iran is not afraid to use force to send a clear message to its enemies.

Pakistan must follow the Iranian model and we must learn from it.
 
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Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard power that is deterrence through showing-off nukes. The unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key aspect of this model. Pakistan can design a similar model. What should Pakistan do to contain Indian influence on Kahsmir?

map-iran-regional-influence.jpg


For months after August 5, 2019, when the state of Jammu and Kashmir was stripped of the special status and carved into two Union Territories — residents of the valley feared it was a step towards a demographic change in the region. Things got clearer when an Indian diplomat in the US came up with the idea of following the Israeli model in Kashmir. Now India is doing the same.

When the whole world is worried about the Corona Virus, India just pulled out another page from the Israeli textbook. It passed this new legislation, under which anyone who has resided in the Kashmir region for 15 years can purchase land and become a permanent resident.

UN recognized disputed territory of Kashmir is the world’s most militarized region with more than 700,000 Indian soldiers, paramilitary and police in the region. Despite an active diplomatic campaign by Pakistan on Kashmir, the International community yet again failed to play its part in resolving this 70 year’s old conflict.

Kashmir: Pakistan’s policy is unproductive
India relies on its allies in containing Pakistan via different international bodies e.g FATF; this keeps Pakistan under pressure eventually preventing it from direct engagement in Indian administered Kashmir. This is the reason Indian policy makers believe that Pakistan can’t do anything and are slowly moving towards the annexation of Kashmir based on the Israeli model.

On the other hand, the Pakistani government and state apparatus are highly influenced by the Indian Psychological operations — this is the main factor in defining Pakistan’s policy on Kashmir, which is just limited to the political and diplomatic grounds. This was the exact approach Palestinians adopted due to lack of both capacity and capability to adopt other aggressive approaches but this is not the case with Pakistan. This approach failed because Israel had enough power to sustain the international diplomatic pressure. Now just like Israel the regime in India has enough power to take care of this constantly building international pressure.

In international relations and Geo-politics, diplomacy is a powerful tool but can’t be productive all the time, in the case of Kashmir, the Israeli model might bare results way much faster than it did in Palestine. Since Indian economy is growing at a rapid pace. Moreover, diplomatically, militarily, economically and legally; India is in a better position as compared to Israel. Israel along with political and diplomatic support is offering India all kinds of assistance in successfully executing its model in Kashmir. Israel is offering its services in terms of intelligence, defense production, capacity building and what they describe as “Counter-Terrorism”.

Read more: Pakistan welcomes joint statement by six human rights organisations on Kashmir

India is now deploying its tools to wage Network-centric warfare in the longer run. But in the last few months India in collaboration with Israel’s Military Industries is working on its Artillery Command & Control System (ACCS) along the LOC. The use of UAV drones and cluster bombs for the first time by the Indian army in Kashmir is a clear indication that they planned it on a script of Israel-Lebanon (2006); asymmetric warfare to keep Pakistan on its toes. This annexation is going to have long term implications.

Pakistan’s diplomatic campaign is futile, Pakistan even failed to organize the OIC conference on Kashmir, not only this, even majority of its allies haven’t come up with a strong stance on Kashmir expect Turkey, Malaysia and China. Pakistan already has limited options available — and even in that — Pakistani policymakers by ruling out the option of covert support for armed resistance — makes it very difficult to pull out any workable plans from the book. Even though, Kashmiris enjoy the legal right of armed resistance (just Like Palestinians), adopting this policy has only minimized the role and influence of Pakistan in Kashmir.

Moreover, in recent years the vacuum created by Pakistan’s non-interference was filled by other entities including Al-Qaeda and ISIS. Israel’s annexation of Jerusalem, Russian power in Ukraine and Iran’s influence in Iraq and Syria are great examples of how things work in Hybrid warfare with covert operations as the main driving force in the war. If India is following the Israeli model, Pakistan can follow the Iranian model of greater Syria.

Lessons from the Iranian model
Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard powerful deterrence through showing-off nukes, and, along with that the unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key in this model. The Iranian model includes organizing and building communities and a range of forces that are subject to its authority.

Keeping Israel focused on hard power, Iran is encircling Israel with the help of different proxies and meanwhile is working on capacity building of its proxies. Iran is providing these proxies a range of missiles, rockets, radars and advanced weapons which are important tools in Asymmetric warfare. This could have been impossible without strong diplomacy. Iran, with the help of Russia, is enhancing its defense capabilities along with its political influence in the region under the Russian umbrella.

Pakistan can design a similar model. Just like Iran and Russia had common interests, Pakistan and China have common interests in Kashmir. Pakistan needs to encircle India in Kashmir by building strong forces in the region. Pakistan can give GB and Kashmir autonomy over security affairs. They can take steps in that direction including making conscription mandatory for the people of GB and Kashmir, setup own military force or full corps within the Pakistan army. These forces can launch a series of special operations inside Kashmir to disturb the Indian plans of demographic change.

Read more: A Kashmiri’s experience of living in Delhi

Diplomacy is another important element in the Iranian model, Pakistan needs to engage its allies at least on the scale of OIC to announce travel restrictions for these new illegal settlers. There are many aspects of this model and need extensive study. But through the aforementioned approach, Pakistan could stop annexation of Kashmir.

https://www.globalvillagespace.com/...-israel-offers-valuable-lessons-for-pakistan/

Actually, you are forgetting from 1989 to till Gen. musharraf era.. Specially, before 9/11.... No one was bothering about terrorism but after the incident, the world is not ready yo tolerate if someone organize terrorism in other country but still its not stopped fully...

Pakistan has already tried but output was nothing.
 
.
Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard power that is deterrence through showing-off nukes. The unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key aspect of this model. Pakistan can design a similar model. What should Pakistan do to contain Indian influence on Kahsmir?

map-iran-regional-influence.jpg


For months after August 5, 2019, when the state of Jammu and Kashmir was stripped of the special status and carved into two Union Territories — residents of the valley feared it was a step towards a demographic change in the region. Things got clearer when an Indian diplomat in the US came up with the idea of following the Israeli model in Kashmir. Now India is doing the same.

When the whole world is worried about the Corona Virus, India just pulled out another page from the Israeli textbook. It passed this new legislation, under which anyone who has resided in the Kashmir region for 15 years can purchase land and become a permanent resident.

UN recognized disputed territory of Kashmir is the world’s most militarized region with more than 700,000 Indian soldiers, paramilitary and police in the region. Despite an active diplomatic campaign by Pakistan on Kashmir, the International community yet again failed to play its part in resolving this 70 year’s old conflict.

Kashmir: Pakistan’s policy is unproductive
India relies on its allies in containing Pakistan via different international bodies e.g FATF; this keeps Pakistan under pressure eventually preventing it from direct engagement in Indian administered Kashmir. This is the reason Indian policy makers believe that Pakistan can’t do anything and are slowly moving towards the annexation of Kashmir based on the Israeli model.

On the other hand, the Pakistani government and state apparatus are highly influenced by the Indian Psychological operations — this is the main factor in defining Pakistan’s policy on Kashmir, which is just limited to the political and diplomatic grounds. This was the exact approach Palestinians adopted due to lack of both capacity and capability to adopt other aggressive approaches but this is not the case with Pakistan. This approach failed because Israel had enough power to sustain the international diplomatic pressure. Now just like Israel the regime in India has enough power to take care of this constantly building international pressure.

In international relations and Geo-politics, diplomacy is a powerful tool but can’t be productive all the time, in the case of Kashmir, the Israeli model might bare results way much faster than it did in Palestine. Since Indian economy is growing at a rapid pace. Moreover, diplomatically, militarily, economically and legally; India is in a better position as compared to Israel. Israel along with political and diplomatic support is offering India all kinds of assistance in successfully executing its model in Kashmir. Israel is offering its services in terms of intelligence, defense production, capacity building and what they describe as “Counter-Terrorism”.

Read more: Pakistan welcomes joint statement by six human rights organisations on Kashmir

India is now deploying its tools to wage Network-centric warfare in the longer run. But in the last few months India in collaboration with Israel’s Military Industries is working on its Artillery Command & Control System (ACCS) along the LOC. The use of UAV drones and cluster bombs for the first time by the Indian army in Kashmir is a clear indication that they planned it on a script of Israel-Lebanon (2006); asymmetric warfare to keep Pakistan on its toes. This annexation is going to have long term implications.

Pakistan’s diplomatic campaign is futile, Pakistan even failed to organize the OIC conference on Kashmir, not only this, even majority of its allies haven’t come up with a strong stance on Kashmir expect Turkey, Malaysia and China. Pakistan already has limited options available — and even in that — Pakistani policymakers by ruling out the option of covert support for armed resistance — makes it very difficult to pull out any workable plans from the book. Even though, Kashmiris enjoy the legal right of armed resistance (just Like Palestinians), adopting this policy has only minimized the role and influence of Pakistan in Kashmir.

Moreover, in recent years the vacuum created by Pakistan’s non-interference was filled by other entities including Al-Qaeda and ISIS. Israel’s annexation of Jerusalem, Russian power in Ukraine and Iran’s influence in Iraq and Syria are great examples of how things work in Hybrid warfare with covert operations as the main driving force in the war. If India is following the Israeli model, Pakistan can follow the Iranian model of greater Syria.

Lessons from the Iranian model
Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard powerful deterrence through showing-off nukes, and, along with that the unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key in this model. The Iranian model includes organizing and building communities and a range of forces that are subject to its authority.

Keeping Israel focused on hard power, Iran is encircling Israel with the help of different proxies and meanwhile is working on capacity building of its proxies. Iran is providing these proxies a range of missiles, rockets, radars and advanced weapons which are important tools in Asymmetric warfare. This could have been impossible without strong diplomacy. Iran, with the help of Russia, is enhancing its defense capabilities along with its political influence in the region under the Russian umbrella.

Pakistan can design a similar model. Just like Iran and Russia had common interests, Pakistan and China have common interests in Kashmir. Pakistan needs to encircle India in Kashmir by building strong forces in the region. Pakistan can give GB and Kashmir autonomy over security affairs. They can take steps in that direction including making conscription mandatory for the people of GB and Kashmir, setup own military force or full corps within the Pakistan army. These forces can launch a series of special operations inside Kashmir to disturb the Indian plans of demographic change.

Read more: A Kashmiri’s experience of living in Delhi

Diplomacy is another important element in the Iranian model, Pakistan needs to engage its allies at least on the scale of OIC to announce travel restrictions for these new illegal settlers. There are many aspects of this model and need extensive study. But through the aforementioned approach, Pakistan could stop annexation of Kashmir.

https://www.globalvillagespace.com/...-israel-offers-valuable-lessons-for-pakistan/






I don't think it's hard power that is the issue here as far as Pakistan is concerned. From a military POV, Pakistan could do FAR FAR more damage to india than Iran could do to Israel. We could literally wipe india off the face the planet and make sure it ceases to exist forever. The problem is the ATTITUDE of the Pakistani elite and politicians. They are FAR too soft and limp-wristed as far as india is concerned. Also, unlike Iran they NEVER promote Pakistan's interest globally nor do they promote Pakistani nationalism and patriotism.

Actually, you are forgetting from 1989 to till Gen. musharraf era.. Specially, before 9/11.... No one was bothering about terrorism but after the incident, the world is not ready yo tolerate if someone organize terrorism in other country but still its not stopped fully...

Pakistan has already tried but output was nothing.




Tried what? Can you be specific and concise? Also do you have ANY evidence or proof to support your claims?
 
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After Pakistan, I have more respect for Iran than any other country.

Iran is not afraid to use force to send a clear message to its enemies.

I hope one day Pakistan learns from Iran.
Iran has only deployed force where there is a Shia majority and where there is huge fitna and war.
Sadly we Pakistani must learn that no OIC support will come. No muslims countries will stand by us at our time of need. If we embark on a fight then we must be able to see it through politically and militarily. Sadly politically we are very weak and corrupt. Militarily how many months can we fight? How much fuel and ammo reserves do we have and do we have the will to fight for our kashmiri brother amongst whom a significant minority want an independent kashmir.
 
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Tried what? Can you be specific and concise? Also do you have ANY evidence or proof to support your claims?

Bro, learn from history and mistakes.
Erasing the history would not help to anyone.

At least, watch videos on YouTube of imran Khan, gen musharraf, nawaz and other persons... Accepted, many things...

Videos are still available, if you want then I will post for you...
 
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Iran has only deployed force where there is a Shia majority and where there is huge fitna and war.
Sadly we Pakistani must learn that no OIC support will come. No muslims countries will stand by us at our time of need. If we embark on a fight then we must be able to see it through politically and militarily. Sadly politically we are very weak and corrupt. Militarily how many months can we fight? How much fuel and ammo reserves do we have and do we have the will to fight for our kashmiri brother amongst whom a significant minority want an independent kashmir.

Iran doesn't rely on anyone but itself to defend it. Iran has both the offensive and defensive capabilities to ensure that not even the US thinks about touching them.

Pakistan must forget about the OIC. We should not rely on anyone else. Iran learned their lesson in Iran-Iraq war and they don't rely on anyone for any kind of military support.

Pakistan desperately needs asymmetric warfare.

Iran has leveled the playing field with the US through use of unconventional technologies such as cyber warfare, having largest missile arsenal in Middle East, proxies across region, ability to strike any US airbase anytime, and development of EMP weapons.

Iran has credibility and they deliver on their threats. If they say they will strike your airbase, they will strike your airbase. If they say they'll shoot your drone out of the sky, they'll shoot your drone out of the sky. It takes some balls to hit a superpower but that never stopped Iran from putting their enemies in their place.

There is absolutely nothing standing in the way of Pakistan becoming a fearless country like Iran except that our political leaders are too scared to launch a couple of missiles at India. We need to put someone bold in charge of Pakistan who fears nothing and has a strong courage to face challenges head on.


 
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Bro, learn from history and mistakes.
Erasing the history would not help to anyone.

At least, watch videos on YouTube of imran Khan, gen musharraf, nawaz and other persons... Accepted, many things...

Videos are still available, if you want then I will post for you...




Erasing? You are the one making those claims, not me. IF what you say is true then the onus is on you (not me) to provide genuine and credible evidence that supports those claims. If not then they are likely to be false.
 
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What handling? They are bombed daily by Israel that it become comical. They have never responded like never. Get outta here with this shit. I have never seen more restrain than Iran. They just sit flat and take hits for free.

Iran got itself just more enemies by trying to be nosy in some Arab countries it got Iran nothing but several enemies they didn't thought they would get it was massively counter-productive and backfired. By the way being nosy in India is just counter-productive. The best approach for Pakistan is to prepare and prepare for the inevitable event. Always prepare and develope for everything has it's time
Are you Pakistani or Dane/Danish? If you are Dane/Danish, I wouldn't be surprised because Denmark's intelligence agencies/NGOs have a tradition of anti-India activities. Shall I list?

- PRTP GWD
 
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and you forgot about sanctions on iran


1. iran is working its way around these sanctions using clever methods . aka black market purchases, oil swap agreements ( iran is selling its oil in intl market using russian cargoes) , currency swap agreements etc

2. 'sanctions' are merely cutting off the SWIFT network thereby banks in any country are cut off from int'l payment rails.
iran is now bypassing these by using INSTEX payment rail in europe and russia. do you see any one starving in iran due to sanctions ?

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/01/31/europe/europe-iran-us-sanctions-payment-grm-gbr-intl/index.html

iran has successfully fought a two pronged hybrid war in syria and yemen for the last decaded ( Depsite under sanctions) . iran is arming and supplying houthis and SAA with no issues



the only ones afraid of sanctions are the banker elites running pakistan . they will gladly sacrifice kashmir and our national security just for a begging bowl from IMF
 
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1. iran is working its way around these sanctions using clever methods . aka black market purchases, oil swap agreements ( iran is selling its oil in intl market using russian cargoes) , currency swap agreements etc

2. 'sanctions' are merely cutting off the SWIFT network thereby banks in any country are cut off from int'l payment rails.
iran is now bypassing these by using INSTEX payment rail in europe and russia. do you see any one starving in iran due to sanctions ?

https://edition.cnn.com/2019/01/31/europe/europe-iran-us-sanctions-payment-grm-gbr-intl/index.html

iran has successfully fought a two pronged hybrid war in syria and yemen for the last decaded ( Depsite under sanctions) . iran is arming and supplying houthis and SAA with no issues



the only ones afraid of sanctions are the banker elites running pakistan . they will gladly sacrifice kashmir and our national security just for a begging bowl from IMF

Exactly, agree with everything you said
 
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Iran doesn't rely on anyone but itself to defend it. Iran has both the offensive and defensive capabilities to ensure that not even the US thinks about touching them.

Pakistan must forget about the OIC. We should not rely on anyone else. Iran learned their lesson in Iran-Iraq war and they don't rely on anyone for any kind of military support.

Pakistan desperately needs asymmetric warfare.

Iran has leveled the playing field with the US through use of unconventional technologies such as cyber warfare, having largest missile arsenal in Middle East, proxies across region, ability to strike any US airbase anytime, and development of EMP weapons.

Iran has credibility and they deliver on their threats. If they say they will strike your airbase, they will strike your airbase.


There is absolutely nothing standing in the way of Pakistan becoming a fearless country like Iran except that our political leaders are too scared to launch a couple of missiles at India. We need to put someone bold in charge of Pakistan who fears nothing and has a strong courage to face challenges head on.

Iran has achieved nothing my mann and this is a fact and I am being objective. Everything Iran did was counter-productive so far.

Iraq: Still pretty much under US control that even the Iraqi politicians gave out solemeni A high level official got eliminated like a rag-tag foot soldier. The Oil fields is controlled by the US Company exxon. They have nothing in Iraq except lipservice.

Syria: Couldn't eliminate the rebels after Solemnei himself has encourage Assad to fight and by 2014 even with Iranian help they were collapsing but they called on Russia to save them against the Rebels. Russia intervened fast forward few years the country is in 3-way partition with turkish, Russia and USA zones the question is where is the iranian zone. They also get daily bombed by Israel and have never responded while Israel got golen heights.

Yemen: All they did was get the poor Houthis under siege and starved and struggling for marely controll of 10% of Yemen. They are asking for ceasefire now the houthis. They are cornered and cut from the ocean and land imports. They are boxed in by Hadi's forces with Saudi and UAE air superiority. They ain't going anywhere.

Bahrain: The King of Bahrain shout them done immediately via a crack-down within weeks
 
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Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard power that is deterrence through showing-off nukes. The unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key aspect of this model. Pakistan can design a similar model. What should Pakistan do to contain Indian influence on Kahsmir?

map-iran-regional-influence.jpg


For months after August 5, 2019, when the state of Jammu and Kashmir was stripped of the special status and carved into two Union Territories — residents of the valley feared it was a step towards a demographic change in the region. Things got clearer when an Indian diplomat in the US came up with the idea of following the Israeli model in Kashmir. Now India is doing the same.

When the whole world is worried about the Corona Virus, India just pulled out another page from the Israeli textbook. It passed this new legislation, under which anyone who has resided in the Kashmir region for 15 years can purchase land and become a permanent resident.

UN recognized disputed territory of Kashmir is the world’s most militarized region with more than 700,000 Indian soldiers, paramilitary and police in the region. Despite an active diplomatic campaign by Pakistan on Kashmir, the International community yet again failed to play its part in resolving this 70 year’s old conflict.

Kashmir: Pakistan’s policy is unproductive
India relies on its allies in containing Pakistan via different international bodies e.g FATF; this keeps Pakistan under pressure eventually preventing it from direct engagement in Indian administered Kashmir. This is the reason Indian policy makers believe that Pakistan can’t do anything and are slowly moving towards the annexation of Kashmir based on the Israeli model.

On the other hand, the Pakistani government and state apparatus are highly influenced by the Indian Psychological operations — this is the main factor in defining Pakistan’s policy on Kashmir, which is just limited to the political and diplomatic grounds. This was the exact approach Palestinians adopted due to lack of both capacity and capability to adopt other aggressive approaches but this is not the case with Pakistan. This approach failed because Israel had enough power to sustain the international diplomatic pressure. Now just like Israel the regime in India has enough power to take care of this constantly building international pressure.

In international relations and Geo-politics, diplomacy is a powerful tool but can’t be productive all the time, in the case of Kashmir, the Israeli model might bare results way much faster than it did in Palestine. Since Indian economy is growing at a rapid pace. Moreover, diplomatically, militarily, economically and legally; India is in a better position as compared to Israel. Israel along with political and diplomatic support is offering India all kinds of assistance in successfully executing its model in Kashmir. Israel is offering its services in terms of intelligence, defense production, capacity building and what they describe as “Counter-Terrorism”.

Read more: Pakistan welcomes joint statement by six human rights organisations on Kashmir

India is now deploying its tools to wage Network-centric warfare in the longer run. But in the last few months India in collaboration with Israel’s Military Industries is working on its Artillery Command & Control System (ACCS) along the LOC. The use of UAV drones and cluster bombs for the first time by the Indian army in Kashmir is a clear indication that they planned it on a script of Israel-Lebanon (2006); asymmetric warfare to keep Pakistan on its toes. This annexation is going to have long term implications.

Pakistan’s diplomatic campaign is futile, Pakistan even failed to organize the OIC conference on Kashmir, not only this, even majority of its allies haven’t come up with a strong stance on Kashmir expect Turkey, Malaysia and China. Pakistan already has limited options available — and even in that — Pakistani policymakers by ruling out the option of covert support for armed resistance — makes it very difficult to pull out any workable plans from the book. Even though, Kashmiris enjoy the legal right of armed resistance (just Like Palestinians), adopting this policy has only minimized the role and influence of Pakistan in Kashmir.

Moreover, in recent years the vacuum created by Pakistan’s non-interference was filled by other entities including Al-Qaeda and ISIS. Israel’s annexation of Jerusalem, Russian power in Ukraine and Iran’s influence in Iraq and Syria are great examples of how things work in Hybrid warfare with covert operations as the main driving force in the war. If India is following the Israeli model, Pakistan can follow the Iranian model of greater Syria.

Lessons from the Iranian model
Iran is keeping Israel on its toes by working on hard powerful deterrence through showing-off nukes, and, along with that the unpredictability of aggressive credible response to any aggression is the key in this model. The Iranian model includes organizing and building communities and a range of forces that are subject to its authority.

Keeping Israel focused on hard power, Iran is encircling Israel with the help of different proxies and meanwhile is working on capacity building of its proxies. Iran is providing these proxies a range of missiles, rockets, radars and advanced weapons which are important tools in Asymmetric warfare. This could have been impossible without strong diplomacy. Iran, with the help of Russia, is enhancing its defense capabilities along with its political influence in the region under the Russian umbrella.

Pakistan can design a similar model. Just like Iran and Russia had common interests, Pakistan and China have common interests in Kashmir. Pakistan needs to encircle India in Kashmir by building strong forces in the region. Pakistan can give GB and Kashmir autonomy over security affairs. They can take steps in that direction including making conscription mandatory for the people of GB and Kashmir, setup own military force or full corps within the Pakistan army. These forces can launch a series of special operations inside Kashmir to disturb the Indian plans of demographic change.

Read more: A Kashmiri’s experience of living in Delhi

Diplomacy is another important element in the Iranian model, Pakistan needs to engage its allies at least on the scale of OIC to announce travel restrictions for these new illegal settlers. There are many aspects of this model and need extensive study. But through the aforementioned approach, Pakistan could stop annexation of Kashmir.

https://www.globalvillagespace.com/...-israel-offers-valuable-lessons-for-pakistan/
We need to hit India hard through proxies. But we need to keep in mind that India is going to retaliate militarily as we saw Balakot and LOC latest clashes. We need to modernize our Armed Forces too. Sadly Gap is going to be increased both in quality and quantity at-least in Air Force and Navy
 
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