Indikator and LSI are two survey companies and political consultants that are the most respected and I am very agree on it.
Burhanudin Muhtadi, Indikator Director, for example, is invited not only by national TV to make political analysis, but also by foreign media and foreign TV
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Anies Is Getting Highlighted, Now Defeating Prabowo's Electability, Here's What Political Indicators Researchers Say
12 hours ago
TRIBUNMANADO.CO.ID- As is known, Indonesia is already rife with the declaration of presidential candidates.
Meanwhile, it is known that the Presidential election is still 2 years away.
Related to this, the presidential candidate who is often highlighted is Anies Baswedan.
It is known that Anies Baswedan has indeed received a lot of attention to make his electability increase.
Even now Prabowo Subianto lost to Anies Baswedan.
But for now, the highest electability is still held by Ganjar Pranowo.
In the second order there is Anies Baswedan who is far away from Prabowo.
The following is a presentation on the electability of figures who will become 2024 presidential
The Indonesian Political Indicators Institute presented its latest survey regarding the electability of a number of figures who are predicted to be potential presidential candidates in the 2024 Presidential Election.
The result in the simulation of three names, Ganjar Pranowo achieved 33.9 percent.
Followed by Anies Baswedan with 32.2 percent, who beat Prabowo Subianto by getting 23.9 percent.
In this survey, the total sample was 1,220 people, who came from all provinces who were proportionally distributed.
Assuming a simple random sampling method, the sample size of 1,220 respondents had a margin of error (MoE) of about 2.9 percent at a 95 percent confidence level.
While the survey was conducted on October 30 - November 5, 2022.
Anies' electability boost factors
Political Indicators Researcher, Bawono Kumoro explained that there are several reasons why Anies' electability can surpass Prabowo.
The first factor was the effect of the declaration by the NasDem Party on October 3.
Anies' name is gaining more and more voter attention after the declaration.
"(The second factor) of political safaris visiting areas also carried out by Anies and the NasDem Party over the past two months has also decreased to contribute to the increase in Anies' popularity," Bawono said to Tribunnews.com, Saturday (3/12/2022).
Bawono then alluded to Anies' popularity figures.
He said that before the declaration and political safari was carried out Anies' popularity had not approached the 90 percent mark.
In the findings of this post-declaration survey, Anies' popularity has reached 89 percent.
"The increase in popularity has of course also affected the increase in Anies' electability at the moment to the top two because it is unlikely that people will vote for a candidate he does not know," he added.
AHY support base vote for Anies
Bawono also presented interesting findings in a survey of 28.6 percent of Agus Harimurti Yudhoyono (AHY) supporters who prefer Anies Baswedan as a potential presidential candidate.
He considered that this was very reasonable considering that since the former Governor of DKI Jakarta was declared as a potential presidential candidate.
In addition, AHY and the Democratic Party also took the initiative to approach political communication to Anies to be considered as a pair of candidates in the 2024 presidential election.
Even while visiting the Democratic Party DPP on October 7, Anies was greeted with great fanfare by Democratic Party cadres while shouting Anies-AHY's name.
"The various approaches to political communication then created the view of the AHY support base that Anies is the most emotionally attached presidential candidate to support in the hope of being side by side with the chairman of the Democratic Party," said Bawono.
(Tribunnews.com/Endra Kurniawan)
