jha
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Manoj tiwari bhojpuri singer to join BJP during NAMO's patana rally..
Its Patna not patana ..
On a totally "unrelated" matter..
UP, Bihar take to Modi; worry for Congress: Opinion poll
India's heartland is responding to Narendra Modi well enough to give the BJP a big boost in UP and Bihar, but not enough for a clear verdict in the 2014 Lok Sabha polls.
If elections were held now, the BJP would bag 44 of the 120 seats in these two states, a sizeable jump from the 23 it won in 2009, an opinion poll done for The Economic Times by AC Nielsen, suggests.
This would make BJP the single largest party in each of these states; it is slated to win 27 seats in UP and 17 in Bihar.
And the number for Congress? Just 16, down from 23 last time. The damage is really in UP, where the party won 21 seats in 2009 but is now projected to get just 12.
The poll also suggested that the Modi-Rahul face-off could be a no-contest.
In contrast to a fall in Uttar Pradesh, it might improve its tally in Bihar from 2 to 4. The Economic Times opinion poll, done by AC Nielsen, indicates it's bad news for regional players in UP and Bihar, barring the BSP, which is estimated to hold on to its tally of 20 in UP. The SP is likely to slip from 23 to 16.
Similarly, in Bihar, JD(U) is predicted to go down from 20 to 10 and RJD will gain just one seat to bag 5 this time against the 4 it had in 2009.
On the Modi versus Rahul Gandhi battle, the poll showed a complete rout for the Gandhi scion with the score reading 50-9 in UP and 47-19 in Bihar. The remaining 41% in UP and 34% in Bihar were for leaders like Mayawati, Mulayam Singh Yadav and Nitish Kumar.
BJP looking strong in UP too
The BJP looks set to emerge the single largest party in UP in next year's Lok Sabha polls, riding a Modi wave that's boosting its vote share. The party's vote share in UP would be 28% if polls were held today, ahead of BSP's 25% and well above 18% for SP and 17% for Congress, an opinion poll done exclusively for The Economic Times by AC Nielsen projected.
The result of the 11 percentage point rise in BJP's vote share from the 2009 figure of 17% is that the party will win 27 seats, ahead of BSP's 20, SP's 16 and Congress' 12, the poll shows.
Barring BJP, all major parties are losing vote share, SP being the biggest loser, sliding from 23% to 18%. The BSP share would drop by two percentage points from 27% to 25% and Congress drop one percentage point.
The complexities of a quadrangular contest mean that while BSP may retain its tally at 20 and SP could lose 7 seats from 23 to 16, Congress could be the biggest loser in terms of seats, sliding from 21 in 2009 to 12 in 2014.
The Modi-Rahul faceoff seems a non-starter in India's largest state as of now, 50% of respondents picking the saffron icon for PM, 9% backing Rahul. The rest were for Mayawati (22%) or Mulayam (11%). Gandhi fi nishes fourth in this race. The poll suggested that the surge in BJP fortunes cuts across age, gender, caste, social milieu and region. SP's decline is just as widespread — not surprising considering most respondents expressed unhappiness with Akhilesh Yadav's handling of issues.
Nitish feels separation pangs in Bihar
Nitish Kumar's gamble of splitting with BJP in Bihar seems to be pinching, doing no damage to his erstwhile ally. The BJP would finish top of the heap in seats and vote share in the state, if LS polls were held today.
That's the key finding from an opinion poll done exclusively for The Economic Times by AC Nielsen in UP and Bihar.
The poll suggests that BJP's Bihar vote share would jump from 19% in 2009 to 33% this time, gaining at the expense of JD(U) and RJD.
The Nitish-led JD(U)'s share could drop from 24% to 16% and the Lalu-led RJD's from 19% to 12%. The Congress' vote share might rise from 10% to 13%. Ram Vilas Paswan's LJP would see a decline from 7% to 5%.
The net result of this shuffle is that BJP could increase its tally from 12 to 17 seats despite no ally. The JD(U) tally could be halved from 20 to 10. Congress might win 4 seats, doubling its 2009 tally, while RJD could gain one to win 5 seats. The poll was done before Lalu got a jail term which makes the findings grim for him.
Narendra Modi was the preferred PM choice for 47% of respondents. Rahul Gandhi was third at 19%. Between them was Nitish, picked by 22%.