@dadeechi
I gave you my answer very explicitly. Can not give you anything more clearer than that.
Even before the Uri Strike, I had mentioned very clearly that there is an intense rivalry between US and Russia and all the rest are merely pawns in a wider game that has policy affectations from outside the region too. This was a reference for my initially linking Kashmir issue with India potentially raising it with Baluchistan, something many had scoffed at and dismissed out of incredulity. That Baluchistan is a part of Pakistan, is something that India has never questioned nor any right minded person would be questioning as it is, but the result, of a nefarious design. However, the same is the equation between India and Pakistan, irrational and devoid of the pragmatism as opposed to that of the Chinese (policies).
While majority have concentrated on the narrow prism of the Indo-Pak confrontation, you have simply failed to analyse the Indian actions recently as being opportunistic in an overall picture rather than of any well thought out deliberate plan.
Contrary to your predilection to draw lines in sand, a futile exercise if I may say as sand is not stationary, the international relations and politics are very transient and dynamic in nature. Elucidating on my earlier contention that the Russians are positioning themselves as facilitators of a dialogue between the two nations: you will just need to re-visit the past history too, wherein in 1965 the Soviets played a role in forging a peace between the two nations. This exercise, is more of establishment of contact with the PA by Russia, a domain exclusive to Chinese and US so far, as Russia and indeed the whole world realises and is aware of the fact that it is PA that wields the power and weight in Pakistani political scenario with the government being a nominal figurehead.
Having said that, the mistake of US in elimination of OBL, as earlier touched upon by me elsewhere, deprived US of the single biggest leverage that they had on Pakistan, thereby allowing China to effectively fill the vacuum as created by US policy of scaling down military and financial support to PA to 'correct' it's actions to suit US interests (a policy followed in the aftermath of removal of the existing leverage).
You have to very clearly understand the fact that PA will NOT allow establishment of peace with India. It can not. It is akin to PA committing a suicide if it allows that to happen. The sole reason for existence of PA and its supremacy in the domestic and international political scenario, has been on the sole premise of immediate annihilation by India, a bogey that has allowed it to whip up sentiments and at the same time enjoy pre-eminence as can be made out from the fact of the severance package that the top PA brass gets in Pakistan.
Coming back specifically to Russian aims: Russia is least bothered by Indian actions with US. The mere fact that Indian Armed Forces are using equipment of Soviet/Russian origin and will continue to do so over the next 4-5 decades even if we make a deliberate and constant attempt to shift to western sources, is the reason. I will not even get into what is not in public domain. But please understand that India Defence needs to the tune of 40 Billion USD is to be met by Russia over a very short period of time. US is not sharing critical technology with India which Russia will willingly give to India as India is the only country with which Russia is confident it does not face the threat of IPR violations and sharing of critical data with its potential enemies.
What you further fail to appreciate is the status quo between the two - that is US and Russia in various regions - from Middle East, to Ukraine. Why is there a status quo? You also need to analyse why Turkey is being allowed to carve out a safe zone for itself in Northern Syria.
If one says all these are isolated incidents, one is seriously mistaken.
I re-iterate, for US to be able to play any role in Indo-Pak issue today, is a non-starter. China, for obvious reasons, can not do much. That leaves ONLY Russia as a viable power of some standing ( a role it has adopted earlier too) which can facilitate a de-escalation of tensions between the two.
The power is with PA, until and unless a relationship is established with PA, not much can be achieved even by Russia in the long run.
Also always remember that Islamist insurgency is also a threat for the Russians, who are Orthodox Russians and have a historic baggage of 90s too with them (hint: the Yugoslav conflict) in addition to the Chechen-Dagestan region.
I will not be elaborating beyond this. Rest is upto you to read.
I gave you my answer very explicitly. Can not give you anything more clearer than that.
Even before the Uri Strike, I had mentioned very clearly that there is an intense rivalry between US and Russia and all the rest are merely pawns in a wider game that has policy affectations from outside the region too. This was a reference for my initially linking Kashmir issue with India potentially raising it with Baluchistan, something many had scoffed at and dismissed out of incredulity. That Baluchistan is a part of Pakistan, is something that India has never questioned nor any right minded person would be questioning as it is, but the result, of a nefarious design. However, the same is the equation between India and Pakistan, irrational and devoid of the pragmatism as opposed to that of the Chinese (policies).
While majority have concentrated on the narrow prism of the Indo-Pak confrontation, you have simply failed to analyse the Indian actions recently as being opportunistic in an overall picture rather than of any well thought out deliberate plan.
Contrary to your predilection to draw lines in sand, a futile exercise if I may say as sand is not stationary, the international relations and politics are very transient and dynamic in nature. Elucidating on my earlier contention that the Russians are positioning themselves as facilitators of a dialogue between the two nations: you will just need to re-visit the past history too, wherein in 1965 the Soviets played a role in forging a peace between the two nations. This exercise, is more of establishment of contact with the PA by Russia, a domain exclusive to Chinese and US so far, as Russia and indeed the whole world realises and is aware of the fact that it is PA that wields the power and weight in Pakistani political scenario with the government being a nominal figurehead.
Having said that, the mistake of US in elimination of OBL, as earlier touched upon by me elsewhere, deprived US of the single biggest leverage that they had on Pakistan, thereby allowing China to effectively fill the vacuum as created by US policy of scaling down military and financial support to PA to 'correct' it's actions to suit US interests (a policy followed in the aftermath of removal of the existing leverage).
You have to very clearly understand the fact that PA will NOT allow establishment of peace with India. It can not. It is akin to PA committing a suicide if it allows that to happen. The sole reason for existence of PA and its supremacy in the domestic and international political scenario, has been on the sole premise of immediate annihilation by India, a bogey that has allowed it to whip up sentiments and at the same time enjoy pre-eminence as can be made out from the fact of the severance package that the top PA brass gets in Pakistan.
Coming back specifically to Russian aims: Russia is least bothered by Indian actions with US. The mere fact that Indian Armed Forces are using equipment of Soviet/Russian origin and will continue to do so over the next 4-5 decades even if we make a deliberate and constant attempt to shift to western sources, is the reason. I will not even get into what is not in public domain. But please understand that India Defence needs to the tune of 40 Billion USD is to be met by Russia over a very short period of time. US is not sharing critical technology with India which Russia will willingly give to India as India is the only country with which Russia is confident it does not face the threat of IPR violations and sharing of critical data with its potential enemies.
What you further fail to appreciate is the status quo between the two - that is US and Russia in various regions - from Middle East, to Ukraine. Why is there a status quo? You also need to analyse why Turkey is being allowed to carve out a safe zone for itself in Northern Syria.
If one says all these are isolated incidents, one is seriously mistaken.
I re-iterate, for US to be able to play any role in Indo-Pak issue today, is a non-starter. China, for obvious reasons, can not do much. That leaves ONLY Russia as a viable power of some standing ( a role it has adopted earlier too) which can facilitate a de-escalation of tensions between the two.
The power is with PA, until and unless a relationship is established with PA, not much can be achieved even by Russia in the long run.
Also always remember that Islamist insurgency is also a threat for the Russians, who are Orthodox Russians and have a historic baggage of 90s too with them (hint: the Yugoslav conflict) in addition to the Chechen-Dagestan region.
I will not be elaborating beyond this. Rest is upto you to read.