LOL! There are a couple boomers here but most of us were born after 1964. Besides I'm not even sure how the over 40 people can possibly be getting a boomer benefit since we have to go to work every day just like the 20-40 somethings. Not like the over 40 crowd were making millions in the 1990's or something and can sit on a Waikiki beach all day.
Oligarch class?...er what? Don't know what it is like to be part of the working or middle class?
We'll see who gets the finger pointed at them for being out of touch.
Gentlemen
@Gomig-21
@KAL-EL
@gambit
@F-22Raptor
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2019-06-04/the-400-emergency-expense-story-is-wrong
Americans May Be Strapped, But the Go-To Statistic Is False
It is a myth that a large share of people can’t cover a $400 emergency expense.
Why does the story persist?
A large share of Americans can’t cover a $400 emergency expense: You’ve probably heard politicians and journalists breathlessly report that shocking statistic more than once in the last year or so.
A few recent examples. Senator Kamala Harris,
in April of this year: “In America right now today, almost half of Americans are a $400 unexpected expense away from
complete upheaval.” Senator Elizabeth Warren
last month: “The gap between incomes and costs is so gaping that 40% of Americans can't come up with $400 in an emergency.” And Senator Bernie Sanders, also
in May: “Four in 10 [Americans are] unable to afford a $400 emergency expense.”
This claim has never seemed plausible to me. After all, if so many Americans can’t cover a relatively minor unexpected expense, that would affect daily life in obvious ways. You’d frequently have a coworker out of the office who can’t afford to buy a new tire. You’d frequently hear from friends and neighbors who can’t afford to fix their dishwashers.
Others have been equally skeptical of the $400 story, and published
convincing rebuttals. Nevertheless, it has become the conventional wisdom. So when this issue flared up again last month, I decided to look into it. It turns out the claim that nearly half of Americans are a flat tire away from financial crisis is
largely based on an inaccurate reading of one survey question.
The question comes from the
annual “Report on the Economic Well-Being of U.S. Households” by the Federal Reserve. The
report finds, in 2018, that 61% of adults would cover a $400 unexpected expense using cash (or its equivalent). Politicians and many in the media seem to be subtracting 61 from 100, and concluding that 39% of people, to use Warren’s phrase, “can’t come up with” the money they’d need to handle this situation.
Instead, as the Fed report makes clear, though “the remaining 4 in 10 adults” “would have more difficulty covering such an expense,” many of them would be able to make it work by carrying a credit card balance or borrowing from friends and family. (Presumably some of these adults are 18-year-olds borrowing from their parents, but I’m not sure about that.)
The report states: “Twelve percent of adults would be unable to pay the expense by any means.” I’m dubious about that as well. In any event, 12% is a lot less than 39%.
The report also goes out of its way to make clear that some of the 39% who wouldn’t use cash might still have $400 in the bank: “It is possible that some would choose to borrow even if they had $400 available, preserving their cash as a buffer for other expenses.” In a
footnote, the report even cites a 2016 study finding that 76 percent of households had $400 in liquid assets, even after taking into account monthly expenses.
A number of people with healthy finances carry some credit-card debt while also holding cash. A financial adviser might counsel against this, but
it is not necessarily a sign that the borrower’s life is, to use Harris’s phrase, in “complete upheaval.”
The common misinterpretation of this finding in the study is particularly strange in light of two other questions on the same survey. The Fed asks respondents whether they are able to pay all of their bills in full. Only 17% say they can’t pay some bills. Again, 17%, not 39%.
The Fed also asks respondents how a $400 emergency expense that they had to pay would affect their ability to pay their other bills. Eighty-five percent report that they would still be able to pay all their bills. Only 14% say that the emergency expense would result in their not being able to pay some bills.
I am troubled that 12% say they couldn’t cover the $400 expense, and that 14% claim it would stop them from paying some of their other bills. But even if respondents are accurately reporting on their finances, these numbers suggest their situation is relatively uncommon. By making the problem seem so widespread, politicians and journalists are making it harder to identify how to help people who really are suffering financial hardship.
Why does the conventional wisdom about the $400 expense refuse to die? The easy answer is because it riles up voters and attracts readers. That raises a different question: Why is there an appetite for this finding?
I’d speculate, in part, that this faulty interpretation resonated during the slow and painful recovery from the Great Recession. The recession was traumatic, and affected how many people think about their personal finances, their employment relationships — their economic security.
Fortunately, the economic recovery is largely complete. But judging by the persistence of the myth that a broken washing machine would be a crisis for well over one-third of adults, the psychological recovery is continuing.