Intentions of founders of Israel - 1948
'
We will break Transjordan' exclaimed Ben Gurion to his parliament in the early days of state of Israel; 'bomb Amman and destroy it's army; then
Syria falls; and if
Egypt continues to fight, we will bombard Port Said, Alexandria and Cairo. This will be in revenge for what they (Ancient Egyptians, Arabs and Assyrians) did to our fore-fathers during Biblical times'. That essentially means that from the time of it's birth, founders of Israel were committed to
a militarily hegemonic Israel and toothless Arab states around them.
Yinon Plan - 1982
Israeli strategist Oded Yinon’s now infamous “
A strategy for Israel in the 1980′s” – dubbed the
Yinon Plan – provides perhaps the clearest account of Israel’s intentions toward its Arab neighbours:
The
total disintegration of Lebanon into five regional local governments is the precedent for the entire Arab world … The
dissolution of Syria, and later Iraq, into districts of
ethnic and religious minorities following the example of Lebanon is Israel’s main long-range objective on the Eastern front. The present
military weakening of these states is the short-range objective. Syria will disintegrate into several states along the lines of its ethnic and religious structure … As a result, there will be a
Shi’ite Alawi state, the district of Aleppo will be a Sunni state, and the district of Damascus another state which is hostile to the northern one. The Druze – even those of the Golan – should form a state in Hauran and in northern Jordan … the oil-rich but very divided and internally strife-ridden Iraq is certainly a candidate to fill Israel’s goals …
Every kind of inter-Arab confrontation … will hasten the achievement of the supreme goal, namely breaking up Iraq into elements like Syria and Lebanon.
Although, this was conceived in 1982, the current situation seems exactly like the plan has worked out very well.
Re-Direction – The convergence of Israeli plans with American plans
Seymour Hersh wrote in 2007 that
after the 2006 defeat of Israel in Lebanon that the US government had a new strategy called the
“redirection.” According to Hersh, the “redirection” had “brought the United States closer to an open confrontation with Iran and, in parts of the region, propelled it into
a widening sectarian conflict between Shiite and Sunni Muslims.” With the
cooperation of Saudi Arabia and all the same players that helped launch Osama bin Ladin’s career in Afghanistan, the US government took “part in
clandestine operations aimed at Iran and its ally Syria.” The most important thing to note is what Hersh says next: “
A by-product of these activities has been the bolstering of Sunni extremist groups that espouse a militant vision of Islam and are hostile to America and sympathetic to Al Qaeda.”
Status of Forces agreement
During the recent attacks of ISIS in Iraq, Obama indicated that
US military aid to the besieged regime of Prime Minister Maliki—including US air strikes—would be
conditioned on unspecified efforts by the Iraqi government to “promote stability.” One likely condition is that the regime
sign the “status of forces” agreement it rejected two-and-a-half years ago and allow the
Pentagon to reclaim its bases in Iraq.
What will this achieve? The
weapons supply chain extending from Iran>Iraq>Syria>Hezbollah will be disrupted. Israel will be able to
neutralise Hezbollah. Next stage will be
attack on Iran. An alternative could be to engage Iranians in the protection of their Holy places in Iraq. Another could be
infiltration of ISIS rebels in Iran in the guise of pilgrims and commit
terrorist acts.
We have to keep in mind that in the presence of an
openly assertive Russia, an open US or Israeli attack on Iran or Syria becomes far-fetched.
Let's go back to the Maps:
First map by Ralph Peters came in 2006. If we look at US progress on the basis of that map; it
hardly achieved any of it's goals. Iraq was already fragmented at that time, so, this was not a prediction but a kind of hindsight. Fragmentation of Saudi Arabia was not a real goal at that time but it was only to scare the cowardly House of Saud, and that is probably only objective the map achieved 100%. All other predictions failed miserably.
Lets come to the second map which is the brain-fart of Robin Wright. Again, it has predicted the
break-up of Libya, which is
already kind of semi-achieved, but not complete; this could not be said to be a prediction; more like stating the current state of friction between different regions.
Quite recently, leaders of all three religio-ethnic groups – Sunnis, Shias and Kurds – met with Iraqi Prime Minister Nuri-al-Maliki and
vowed to keep Iraq together. Same is the intention of all the stake holders in Middle East.
Nobody, including Saudi Arabia wants a fragmented Iraq. The current situation will only create more mayhem in Iraq. It may allow US to bring it's forces back to Iraq, but it is unlikely it will go any further than that.
Once again, the fragmentation of Saudi Arabia is just to scare the $hit out of House of Saud and their diapers are already soiled. They are sending money to Pakistan to extract some sort of 'defence alliance'!
One thing very positive about this map is that they have not even dared to include the map of a truncated Pakistan. The US Neo-cons have accepted their defeat in breaking up Pakistan. Insha Allah, they will lose out on all fronts again.
Robin Wright map is going to be as good as Ralph Peters'.
