China may be going down the old Soviet path to disintegration

[areal]

china disintegration is an expectation of all loser countries that you listed.
everybody can have dream, but taking dream as reality is the essential difference between moron and others.

China will brake up itself because of stupidity as explained in the article. Turkey, Japan, India, Indonesia, Thailand, Vietnam will take advantage of it.


If China starts another war with our allies, we will send another brigade. In Korean war we took 3 million Chinese souls but at the end there is peace and South-Koreans are forever thankful to us. Yesterday we freed South Korea, tomorrow we will free Uighur, Tibetans and some Chinese regions that are hostile to Beijing.


Your economy is dependend on foreign trade. Your domestic market is nonexistent because of poor Chinese farmers. Those farmers are kind of getting tired of China's racist approach. One class is living normal life, other class is living the life of a dog. We want to help these people brake free from Beijing so they can live normal life.

say something on so-called communist terrorism, is it your illusion or something real?
i only heard about pan-turkey terrorism, without such cancer, there will be really peaceful land from middle-east to central asia.
turkey should return the land to kurdish and amenian so let the land return to peace.

Yup, not only the Chinese people would benefit, but also the minorities such as Uighur and Tibetans, and also Indians, Japanese, Vietnamese, Indonese and Thai. This would probably be a golden age for the region without aggression and communist terrorism.

 

[atatwolf]

@areal
Well, just like Soviet collapse, Chinese collapse is matter of time. The writings are on the wall. All the signs are there. Rich Chinese are moving all their capital abroad. Why would they do that? They are not dumb.

 

[areal]

it is really brave to say that the most active economic entity in this world at this time will sooner or later collapse, just tell use when, tomorrow, next month, next year, or next decade? such predict is as meaningless as all men should die on one day.
you just see a small part of corrupted gov. employees and the rich move outside, but you don't see how many portion of chinese students, professionals in foreign countries choose to return for a better job. they are not dumb, too, on the contrary, they are surely smarter than you.
and you don't know why the small part of the rich left china, the reason should be complicated, but absolutely not because they believe china will collapse soon.

@areal
Well, just like Soviet collapse, Chinese collapse is matter of time. The writings are on the wall. All the signs are there. Rich Chinese are moving all their capital abroad. Why would they do that? They are not dumb.

 

[nalan]

it is really brave to say that the most active economic entity in this world at this time will sooner or later collapse, just tell use when, tomorrow, next month, next year, or next decade? such predict is as meaningless as all men should die on one day.
you just see a small part of corrupted gov. employees and the rich move outside, but you don't see how many portion of chinese students, professionals in foreign countries choose to return for a better job. they are not dumb, too, on the contrary, they are surely smarter than you.
and you don't know why the small part of the rich left china, the reason should be complicated, but absolutely not because they believe china will collapse soon.

excuse me,an old ID,seems poor english..from where?china had ended as a federal state since 2000years ago and we are not in the lowest point in history.

Yup, not only the Chinese people would benefit, but also the minorities such as Uighur and Tibetans, and also Indians, Japanese, Vietnamese, Indonese and Thai. This would probably be a golden age for the region without aggression and communist terrorism.

give you 100 years,not enough?what about 1000years?of cause when we migrate space,maybe we will consider giving you some concessions，ok

 

[areal]

cannot see your any recognized points through your better english and history knowledge.
i have to tell you about the knowledge of china never being a federal state in the history.
your english should have been supposed to good enough to know the difference of feudal and federal.

excuse me,an old ID,seems poor english..from where?china had ended as a federal state since 2000years ago and we are not in the lowest point in history.


give you 100 years,not enough?what about 1000years?of cause when we migrate space,maybe we will consider giving you some concessions，ok

 

[nalan]

cannot see your any recognized points through your better english and history knowledge.
i have to tell you about the knowledge of china never being a federal state in the history.
your english should have been supposed to good enough to know the difference of feudal and federal.

hehe,i just talk to foreign friends what they want to think of,of cause poor english,poor history knowledge and i means "shape" of the state,not system.well,i hurt myself

 

[Mao1949]

@areal
Well, just like Soviet collapse, Chinese collapse is matter of time. The writings are on the wall. All the signs are there. Rich Chinese are moving all their capital abroad. Why would they do that? They are not dumb.

US and Japan will collapse way before Chinese collapse. China will collapse after 300-400 years.

@areal
Well, just like Soviet collapse, Chinese collapse is matter of time. The writings are on the wall. All the signs are there. Rich Chinese are moving all their capital abroad. Why would they do that? They are not dumb.

China recorded a $242.7 billion surplus in its capital and financial account and a $188.6 billion surplus in its current account in 2013, according to preliminary data released by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange on Friday.

It was a marked change from the $16.8 billion deficit in the capital and financial account in 2012.

The country had a $193.1 billion surplus in its current account that year.

​

SAFE said that in the fourth quarter, China had an $81 billion surplus on its capital and financial account, including a 362.1 billion yuan ($59 billion) net inflow of direct investment.

The surplus in its current account reached $49.8 billion.

The figures show that China is facing strong pressure from capital inflows, said Wen Bin, supervisor of macroeconomic research at the Bank of China's Institute of International Finance.

Therefore, the country will further open up its capital account and encourage outbound investments to achieve balance-of-payments equilibrium, Wen said.

During the first half of 2013, China experienced capital outflows as expectations for yuan depreciation increased. But after September, when the US Federal Reserve Board decided to hold off scaling back it squantitative easing program, foreign analysts began to feel more optimistic about China's economic growth.

At that point, international capital resumed flowing into China, which is a relatively stable emerging market, said Wen.

He added that China also attracted international capital due to interest rate differentials. For example, 10-year Chinese government bonds offered a yield of nearly 5 percent last year, well above the 2-3 percent yields on similar US government securities.

Capital arbitrage and inflows of short-term hot money in China have pushed up the yuan and forced the People's Bank of China to tighten monetary policy to prevent continued capital inflows from having a negative macroeconomic impact, said Wen.

He said the central government will undertake pilot programs allowing overseas investment by Chinese individuals and raising the annual limit on foreign exchange purchases by Chinese residents.

 

[Zhukov]

Actually its the US who have outlived its life. Now its at the stage where it is more powerfull then world combined and It hurts every one around it. Compounded by the fact that it is a stalwart capitalist where Personal Interests always exceed Government and Public interests.
I believe US should peacefully integrate into its states like Soviet union. So that we all keep benefiting feom its Economic prowess but its military threat to the world is nutralized.
Then we will talk about fate of abnormally large China and India. But not before USA

 

[dlclong]

Turks and above that several Indians, really funny, do not worry about China, or worry about yourself, I am more optimistic about Kurdish independence, the Turks should to have self-knowledge.

India is more like another Soviet Union, Sikkim, Assam, Manipur, Mizoram, Tamil Nadu, Assam, southern Tibet (pseudo Arunachal Pradesh ), Andhra , Kashmir, West Bengal, etc., I will not say.

 

[Mr.S.Singh]

Ive seen these opinion pieces of China collapsing/"truth of the economy" coming out since 2006 or so in various western publications, every year they predict that the next year China will fail.

Said by the economists, we can discuss this but in a different thread, there will be too much troll here

 

[IsaacNewton]

I don't see china collapsing the way the soviet did. At worst, there will be a regime change, but china won't lose 1/4 of its landmass.
The non Han region is far too weak for independence unlike the non russian region of the USSR (Ukraine population: 50 mill, Russia population: 150 mill compared to 3 million Tibetans vs 1.3 billion Han).

 

[jammersat]

I think like @500 said once , china's civil war would be ethnic

 

[areal]

that's a joke. in the entire China history, all wars are geographic, none was ethnic or religious.

I think like @500 said once , china's civil war would be ethnic

 

[areal]

All right, your Indian are free to be raped in various ways. Sorry, forget that at last you will be hung up in a tree.

funny cuming from bangladesh wich is 'in-dept' country


in your dreams,,we r more like united states ,, lol,, we are free and independent,,not commie slaves...we know much more about our country than u know about yours

 

[dlclong]

funny cuming from bangladesh wich is 'in-dept' country


in your dreams,,we r more like united states ,, lol,, we are free and independent,,not commie slaves...we know much more about our country than u know about yours

Indians like self-deception, Haha .Many Indian states have independent tendencies, you said so-called "we r more like united states", but is Hindustani narcissistic dream. Hindustani forced oppressed people of other nationalities, let them be independent, such as the United Liberation Front of Assam, Porto National Democratic Front, The National Democratic Front of Bodoland, they are against the oppressed people of Hindustan
"We are free and independent,, not commie slaves", a joke, India has always been a slave, two hundred million Brahmin and Kshatriya caste oppression of slaves and other low-race slaves. A few days ago, two Dalit girl was brutally murdered raped, do you see it？
In addition ,Dark skinned Indians often discriminatory harassment Mongoloid people in the Northeast and Occupation of their land..

India still exist now,, it is because Western countries think that you not worth worrying about, you do not have the ability to challenge their international status, this is the reason for India to continue to exist. If you once as strong as China, you will be truly "liberated"by Western countries
.