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Chabahar Port lures Afghan traffic away from Karachi

Tokhme khar

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Iran-Chabahar-Port-2015-630x378.jpg

A scenic part of Iran's strategic Chabahar Port, which will serve a growing volume of Afghan traffic. Photo: AFP
South AsiaTrade
Chabahar Port lures Afghan traffic away from Karachi

Economic blow for Pakistan as its maritime transit role is diminished

By F.M. Shakil February 2, 2018 2:43 AM (UTC+8)
Afghanistan has shifted 80% of its cargo traffic from Pakistan’s Karachi seaport to Iran’s Bandar Abbas and Chabahar ports. The move comes two months after Chabahar, barely 100 kilometers from Pakistan’s Gwadar port, was inaugurated. The shift, prompted in part by a new trade tariff imposed by Islamabad, is expected to greatly reduce Pakistan’s role in the transit of Afghan goods.

Pakistani business leaders believe that more Afghan trade will eventually shift to the strategic Chabahar Port, as it is Iran’s closest sea link to the Indian Ocean. The first phase of Shahid Beheshti Port in the Sistan-Balochistan province was commissioned last year. It is expected that US$5 billion worth of Afghan trade will be conducted solely through the tripartite Chabahar Port – sponsored jointly by India, Iran, and Afghanistan – once it starts feeding the International North-South Transport Corridor (INSTC).

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In mid-November last year, Afghan Chief Executive Abdullah Abdullah was quoted by the media as saying that Afghanistan was no longer dependent on Pakistan for the shipment of goods as it can now use Iran’s Chabahar Port for this purpose.

The current fiscal year has seen a US$2 billion drop in trade with Afghanistan due to frequent border shutdowns, military skirmishes and the new trade tariff. The trade volume, which stood at US$ 2.5 billion in 2016, has gradually declined to US$500 million following the deterioration of relations between the South Asian neighbors.

“The leadership of both countries should not mingle politics with trade and discourage the use of bilateral trade as a leverage to settle political and regional disputes,” Zia Ul Haq Sarhadi, director of the Pakistan Afghanistan Joint Chamber of Commerce & Industry (PAJCCI), told Asia Times. He attributed the decline to heightened tensions on the border, tariffs and Chabahar port, where he claimed India offered huge incentives for Afghan traders.

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“On a reciprocal basis, Afghanistan opened a second aerial corridor for India, enabling her to establish a direct trade link between Mumbai and Kabul. The first flight took 40 tons of dried and fresh fruits and medicinal herbs to India through the aerial route,” Sarhadi said.

The US$2 billion reduction in bilateral trade with Afghanistan is expected to adversely hit the country’s economy, which is already reeling under a widening trade deficit and worsening balance of payments. Data released by the Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) in December last year point to a dismal economic outlook.

The US$2 billion reduction in bilateral trade with Afghanistan will adversely hit the country’s economy, which is already reeling under a widening trade deficit and worsening balance of payments

The PBS said Pakistan’s trade deficit surged to an alarming US$15.03 billion in just five months – July to November 2017 – mainly because China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)-related imports increased by 16.48% at US$24.06 billion compared to the same period last year. An official from Pakistan’s finance ministry expressed serious concern about the widening trade deficit and pointed out that if growth remains stagnant, it will be a whopping US$35 billion by the end of fiscal 2017-18.

As a widening trade deficit invariably puts pressure on foreign reserves, Pakistan’s foreign exchange deposits figure is gradually sinking. It is presently estimated at US$14.66 billion, which includes US$2.5 billion worth of sales proceeds from euro and Sukuk bonds. Pakistan needs to pay back $6 billion for foreign debts servicing by the end of June 2018. To make matters worse for the country, the US government announced it was freezing military aid to Pakistan.

“The imposition of regulatory duties on Afghan items like fresh and dry fruits, marble and granite has rendered Pakistan uncompetitive for transit trade and made businesses switch over to Iranian ports Bander Abbas and Chabahar,” Daroo Khan Achakzai, PAJCCI’s vice president, told Asia Times. “Misguided policies have hit bilateral trade between Pakistan and Afghanistan, and inflicted a colossal financial loss on the business communities of Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa – two of the four provinces of Pakistan.”

The government, it seems, is giving top priority to the CPEC projects, diverting all its energy and resources to completing the Chinese-funded development plans. “It is unfortunate that trade under CPEC is facilitated by the government and Afghan transit and bilateral trade is totally ignored,” Sarhadi lamented.

As bilateral trade continues to shrink, Pakistan is looking at a looming economic crisis, while the Chabahar Port becomes a lucrative alternative for the Afghans. It is doubtful that the CPEC will be able to plug the gap.

http://www.atimes.com/article/afghan-port-shift-adds-pakistans-economic-woes/
 
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They even pay passage taxes to the taliban from whose territory these goods are passing. Will work greatly in Afghanistan's favor.
 
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Good for all three parties.

But the writer thinks $60+ billion CPEC will not substitute $2.5 billion trade. :coffee:
 
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Alternative plans are already being made. The https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quadrilateral_Traffic_in_Transit_Agreement project for example was put on hold when Afghanistan agreed to give Pakistan access to the C. Asian market. Now with the investment of CPEC and recent behaviour of Kabul it is being brought forward again. The route will completely bypass Afghanistan and provide Kazakh, Kyrgyz, Chinese and Tajik traders access to Pakistani ports (hopefully Uzbek as well in the future).
 
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...on the contrary this is the latest...jan 2018 news.

Afghanistan’s transit trade through Pakistan picks up




ISLAMABAD:

Afghanistan’s transit trade through Pakistan has reached a value of $1.4 billion in the first six months of the ongoing financial year, indicating that the volume can increase to around $3 billion by the end of 2017-18.


In 2012-13, transit trade had slumped to $1.46 billion from $3.12 billion in 2010-11. However, numbers show that the volume has hovered around the $3-billion mark for the past few years. The highest figure in recent years has been $3.46 billion in 2015-16, while in the last fiscal year it was $2.87 billion.



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https://tribune.com.pk/story/1615486/2-afghanistans-transit-trade-pakistan-picks/


It had declined but now picking up...
 
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Hopefully at very latest by the end of the year not a single afghan will be left in the country. Kunar and Nuristan bombed to fine dust and mullah fazlullah captured. Not much to ask for.

Finish building the fence and forget aghani exist. Good riddance.
 
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Good news for Pakistan, bad news for Iran. Soon you'll have namak haram Afghans burning Hungarian flags blaming Iran for their own corruption and incompetence.
 
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Good for all three parties.

But the writer thinks $60+ billion CPEC will not substitute $2.5 billion trade. :coffee:
That $60 bn is the amount of investment/loans which has to be repaid to china and $2.5 Bn is the revenue loss, the amount which in theory would be used for repayment to china.
Gwadar is easily the biggest revenue generating unit in CPEC and when repayment time looms over the head of Govt, the revenue is already slipping away.
 
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Send it all

On the face of it terrible

But in reality the cost of dealing with the Afghans, the smuggling, criminality, cost of endless refugee care, cross border terrorism.
Pointless waste of money and resources giving namak haram afghans scholarships and aid

It all added up to a security and economic nightmare


It s better to seal the border and wait for Afghanistan to fix itself them try to deal with a corrupt cess pit of a nation

Im more worried about the fact that china will want resources from Afghanistan coming through Pakistan into China via CPEC route we should gear up for that
 
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Excellent. That means lesser Afghans on our roads and more space for our own traffic. Good riddance.

Next step is all Afghan refugees inside Pakistan to India. I guess we won't see the same toughness and muscle flexing from Afghans in that regard. Picking and choosing to your liking. That is a famous Afghan trait.
 
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