jhungary
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well, that's where you were wrong,@zhxy has given a good response.
My own: There is certainly some tacit understanding between the two Superpowers: America and China about the extent to which China is allowed to help Russia. I think both are watching very carefully how the war is going on and currently both are sitting pretty and safe and are the beneficiaries of this war. Americans have the power to sanctions China which would really hurt China--but would also hurt Americans. But there is no urgent need for either America or China to be too much against each other about the Russia-Ukraine war. As I said, both are the biggest beneficiaries of this war so far. As they say in America: Why fix when it ain't broken?
BUT... in the unlikely case of a Russia capitulation--China is not going to sit idle and will jump in. The cost will be high for China--probably higher than for Americans--and that's why China is VERY actively building alliances and alternate currencies in the Middle East, Latin America and elsewhere. It is a numbers game and race against time for China.
Most support on Ukriane is not made by US, most of them are from Europe. As I said before (not sure if that was to you or someone else) US wouldn't care about this war much if it was not the international pressure. Yes, they do give the most because they have a lot of stuff to pass around. But if you look at the percentage of European aid in this war, Britain gave 11% of their MLRS launcher (4 out of 44), 75% of their NLAW. (Somewhere about 5000 out of 7500 they had) 4% of their MBT (14/386) If US follow this percentage, then Ukraine would have 45 HIMARS (45/480-500) some 40000 Javelin and about 200 M1 Abrams (200/8500). Which you can see how deep EU is cutting themselves to maintain the old world order.
The cost for China to step in this would be sky high because if they do, they won't just lose the US Market, but the colective EU too, which is as big as the US market. On the other hand, they would have to pitch into a war that they have no horse in it, unless Russia is going to offer China part of Ukraine if China direct help, which most likely would ended up WW3 by the way, if that do happen. There are absolutely no gain on the Chinese part to offset this drawback.
I mean, say what you will, China is anything you can call him, but they are also good businessman, they won't jump in unless there is a clear advantage on it. And if the Chinese decided to jump into this mess, I don't see anything good this will come about for them.
Dude, I said Bakhmut should fall back in April 9, and I have made numerous post about holding bakhmut is a mistake is something I would not do.Of course. We should opt your line of thinking.
LOL Talking about crazies. Look at this guy:
Ukraine war: Bakhmut 'not occupied' by Russia, says defiant Zelensky
Russia's Wagner group claims to have taken full control of the city after a bloody months-long battle.www.bbc.com
This Zelensky sounds like he is a close cousin of @Foinikas Always in denial and living in another dimension.
So, please do tell me who are crazy?
The final prediction I made is Ukraine is going to be able to hold on to T-0504 anywhere form 2 weeks to 2 months and hold on the Bakhmut until said road was cut, I made that post on Feb 9, and today is March 12. You be the judge on that one.