And India only has 60kt. Your point?
Aside from Shaheen-II, Pakistan has the same number of Ghaznavi and Shaheen-I just to strike North India, the most densely populated area. Fewer than 50 Shaheen-IIs are sufficient for South and Northeast India.
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All the wrong things being discussed.
A. BrahMos is not considered a nuclear delivery system by the Indian think tanks. With the estimated max range of the next version in the 100s of kms, its not well suited for strategic use. As of date, India nuclear thinking has not been towards tactical use of the same. Even if so, there are other missiles suited for the same.
B. Questions you should be asking are what are the changes one needs to look for changes in Indian posture and what could be dangerous for you.
1. Canisterisation
2. Liquid to Solid
3. Numbers
Canisterisation needs to be looked at not for the missile being road/rail mobile. This simple means, there is a change in readiness. How? Earlier, nuclear assets and missiles were not believed to be mated. Meaning, the warheads were not on top of the missiles. Canisterisation simply means, the warheads are now mated to the missiles. HUMINT to track whether the nuclear readiness is being upped goes out of the window, because its always ready. The warheads are no longer static, they can be moved anywhere and hence difficult to track unless you are saying, sat surveillance is pervasive.
With the move from liquid fueled to solid fueled the time to deploy reduces dramatically. Not to mention, again monitoring is going to prove difficult.
Numbers, this is the diciest thing. Learned estimates put it between 150-200. With the deployment of sea based deterrence, we could cautiously say this number is going to go up.
All of the above. Increased readiness, increased mobility and increased numbers point only to 1 thing. Potential change in Indian nuclear doctrine to first use with counterforce strike.
This simply means, Pakistan needs to up its surveillance capabilities and will be in the shoes that India wore for the past 50 years. Will India use its nukes?