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Bangladesh Economy: News & Updates

^ I don't know why most of the people are interested in share business nowadays around me. Are they thinking right about doing share business - I'm confused?

Its a good sign. People are more interested in investing. So there will not be any shortage of money if anybody wants to pull cash out of stock market to build industry.
 
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Well in both the aproach the GDP will be same. Dont they?
Regarding growth rate there is a well eshtablished assumption that you need some percentage of GDP to be invested to gain the certain percentage of growth rate.

Oh o - I thought how do you know the values to calculate the GDP. I did not think that you calculated the GDP rate (without calculation GDP value) on the basis of percentage of GDP to be invested.
 
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Foreign investment is welcome, but JP Morgan like financial institutions are short term investors in stock market. They are for profit and not for real investment. So, I do not see any benefit if they come to BD. It will only hurt our economy. Our export market will shrink if BD has too many dollars, including the Morgan's freely moveable dollar, because it will strengthen our currency against dollar.

Our economy will lose steam in such a situation, because by that time we would not be able to move up from the present labour-intensive RMG to other high-tech manufacturings. And THIS IS WHAT MORGANS WOULD LOVE. Because, if they sell back their stocks at the same Taka as they have bought, even then they will be making profit out of a stronger BD currency.

So, BD must be hunshiar!
 
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BBC News - Amazing success of Bangladesh's tax 'funfairs'

2 October 2010 Last updated at 01:39 GMT
Amazing success of Bangladesh's tax 'funfairs'

People voluntarily queued for hours at the income tax funfairs to pay up, many for the first time Two special fairs held this week in Bangladesh have proved hugely popular, but they are not for thrill-seekers.

The people who have voluntarily queued for hours at the events want to start paying income tax - in a country where hardly anyone ever does.

And the revenue-starved authorities are stunned by the idea's success, finds the BBC's Ethirajan Anbarasan in Dhaka.

It was a not-so-fun-sounding fair, but the response was overwhelming.

In a country where fewer than 2% of the people pay income tax, it was a pleasant surprise for the National Board of Revenue (NBR), which organised the events to encourage people to pay up voluntarily.

Thousands of people queued for hours to pay their taxes and to get Tax Identification Numbers (TIN) in Bangladesh's first ever income tax fairs, held in the cities of Dhaka and Chittagong.

This week's five-day event has attracted so many people that organisers had to open more service counters to meet the unexpected demand.

More than 7,000 people submitted their returns in the first three days alone in Dhaka.

It was more like a funfair, with balloons and coloured ribbons adorning the walls, and there were uniformed volunteers guiding people to various desks.

There were stalls selling snacks and drinks. Many used the occasion to catch up with their friends.

"Nearly 70% of those who submitted their returns in the fair were first-time income tax payers," M A Quader Sarker, Commissioner of Taxes and chief organiser of the event, told the BBC.

"It was beyond our expectations."

Mr Sarker said his department had sought to persuade those at the fair to disclose their income and pay taxes voluntarily.

Many visitors said the fair's main attraction was its hassle-free one-stop service.

At the event, people could submit their returns, pay their taxes at a bank counter and also get their income tax number at the same premises.

Some said if it had not been for this one-stop service, they would not have been able to submit their returns before the 30 September deadline.

Bangladeshi taxpayers expect their money to be used to improve the country's ailing infrastructure The regular procedure of handing in their returns at the income tax office, they said, was complicated and cumbersome.

The taxpayers sounded enthusiastic and did not seem to mind waiting for hours to submit their papers.

"If you are a good citizen then you should pay taxes. I think everyone should pay tax," said Tariq Islam, a first-time taxpayer from Dhaka.

"Only then will our government have enough resources to invest in infrastructure projects."

He said he had stood in the queue for more than three hours to submit his returns.

Only 1.3 million people out of a population of more than 150 million are regular income tax payers in Bangladesh.

The government has been desperately trying to widen its tax net to boost its revenue for years, but without much success.

Officials say the situation only improved after the TIN number was made mandatory to do such things as registering a car, buying a flat or even opening a bank account.

The government collected about $2.6bn (£1.6bn) in tax revenues last year, which is nearly 2.25% of its GDP.

It hopes to increase its tax revenue threefold in the next five years.

The country has also witnessed a sustained economic growth over the past 10 years and the number of middle income earners has increased in the same period.

But some of the taxpayers said they wanted to see how the government would spend their money.

"Like a responsible citizen, I will continue to pay my taxes and it is up to the government to show us the result," said Sheikh Salma Sultana, a young professional, who was submitting her returns for the third consecutive year.

"I want to see how they are going to accommodate our expectations."

Like Sultana, many of the taxpayers said they expected the government to use their taxes judiciously.

They wanted the money to be used to improve the country's ailing infrastructure, healthcare and to create more job opportunities for the younger generation.

It remains to be seen whether the newfound rectitude of these first-time Bangladeshi taxpayers will last.
 
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World Bank approves 75-million-dollar loan to Bangladesh - Monsters and Critics

World Bank approves 75-million-dollar loan to Bangladesh
Oct 3, 2010, 13:25 GMT


Dhaka - The World Bank has approved a 75-million-dollar loan to Bangladesh to support its efforts to repair the damage left behind by two cyclones in its southern region, the bank said Sunday.

Cyclone Sidr hit the area in November 2007, leaving some 3,000 people dead and 55,000 injured. An estimated 9 million people have been affected and the total cost of the damage has been put at 1.2 billion dollars.

A second cyclone, Aila, hit the region in 2009 causing a further 400 million dollars worth of damage.

The global lender had provided 109 million dollars of emergency support including a grant of 2.96 million dollars in the aftermath of cyclone Sidr.

'The World Bank felt it necessary to increase its financing to ensure a faster and more complete recovery of cyclone-affected areas, and most importantly, prepare them for future disasters,' the bank's country director for Bangladesh Ellen Goldstein said in a press statement.

Bangladesh was extremely vulnerable to climate change and natural disasters, she added, referring to recent natural disasters such as cyclones and floods in the southern part of the country.

The new loan was aimed at supporting efforts to restore infrastructure and the development of more resilient agricultural practices in the salinity and cyclone-prone southern coastal areas.

It would also be used to fund the rehabilitation of 80 kilometres of coastal embankments and 100 multipurpose cyclone shelters and the construction of 60 more.
 
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Top drug makers log 30pc sales growth

Saturday, 02 October 2010 21:52
Jasim Uddin Khan

Top four local pharmaceutical companies posted over 30 percent growth in sales in the first eight months of 2010, said officials, pointing to growing health consciousness, advanced manufacturing processes and new investments in the sector.

Beximco, Eskayef, Renata and Incepta are the four among 250 small, medium and large local and multinational drug makers in Bangladesh. These companies manufacture more than 500 types of medicine.

"Although dozens of new companies started production and marketing their products, the top companies are continuing their success due to their high quality and standard," said AM Faruque, managing director of Eskayef Bangladesh.

Growing heath-consciousness among consumers is inspiring the companies to spend more on healthcare products, Faruque added.

The rise in local sales has also been supported by a report published by Intercontinental Marketing Services (IMS), a global intelligence agency for the pharmaceutical market.

The IMS showed a 38.2 percent rise in Renata sales, 35.4 percent for Incepta and 34.9 percent for Eskayef in the first six months of the year. The amount of total sales during January-July stood at Tk 2,018 crore, the report says.

However, Beximco joined the sales feast in the last couple of months when the company achieved over 60 percent growth.

"The company management has adequate liquidity, high level of confidence this year. Due to market demand, Beximco joined other performing players, of late," a top manager of the company said.

The other performers are Drug International Ltd with 27.2 percent growth, followed by Opsonin Pharma (25.6 percent) and Aristopharma (18.6 percent), the intelligence agency finds.

However, Square Pharmaceuticals Ltd recorded the highest sales at Tk 605 crore during the period, while Incepta sold Tk 297 crore worth of medicine, Beximco Tk 258 crore and ACME Tk 254 crore.

The top 10 performers, according to the IMS ranking, also include Square Pharmaceuticals Ltd, ACME Laboratories Ltd and Advanced Chemical Industries (ACI) Ltd. These top companies take up nearly 70 percent of the medicine market share.

The IMS report points to retail level sales of pharmaceutical products in different countries for a particular period. Such sales exclude exports, government and other organisational purchase.

Currently, the size of the local pharmaceutical industry is Tk 7,000 crore, say industry insiders.

link:
Top drug makers log 30pc sales growth
 
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Software outsourcing could earn $1.0b in next five years
Saturday, 02 October 2010 21:47

FE Report

Bangladesh could earn US$ 1.0 billion within next five years from outsourcing ITES (Information Technology Enabled Services) and exporting software if it could establish itself as an emerging outsourcing destination.

Speakers expressed the hope for this lofty goal at the country-brand launching ceremony named "BangladeshNext" at Bangabandhu International Convention Centre in city Saturday.

Bangladesh Association of Software & Information Services (BASIS) has started this country branding initiative with a view to projecting Bangladesh as an important outsourcing destination.

Commerce Minister Mohammed Faruk Khan was present as the chief guest at the programme while Danish Ambassador in Dhaka Svend Olling spoke as the special guest. BASIS president Mahboob Zaman chaired the programme.

AT Capital managing partner Ifty Islam gave the keynote presentation at the ceremony.

"Bangladesh has been a surprisingly resilient economy in the face of all odds and proved itself as one of most stable economies", said Mr. Islam pointing out the strength of Bangladesh. He suggested focusing more on implementation than on policy formulation to be a global provider of outsourcing.

Danish Ambassador gave assurance of Bangladesh's commercial potential and called for repairing its poor brand image to the world. He has drawn the minister's attention to the country's energy crisis issue which alarms the foreign investors most.

The minister said the government will improve the energy situation within the next year. Besides, Bangladesh is undergoing a process of having a second submarine cable, he added.

The minister gave assurance of all possible government support to the IT industry needs. He asked for a proposal from BASIS comparing Bangladesh's bandwidth price with that of other countries in this region.

EPB Vice Chairman Jalal Ahmed emphasised the need for export diversification. ITES could be an alternative to RMG's share in export, he said.

The BASIS chief said America-Bangladesh Technology Summit to be held in the USA on October 13 next will be the largest business conference abroad arranged by Bangladesh. He sought media's cooperation in making BangladeshNext brand a success.

BASIS Senior Vice President A.K.M. Fahim Mashroor moderated the programme and Secretary General Forkan Bin Quasem gave the vote of thanks.

DCCI representative T.I.M. Nurul Kabir, American Chamber of Commerce president Aftab ul Islam and BASIS members were also present at the programme.

link:
Software outsourcing could earn $1.0b in next five years
 
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New Walton Fusion model in market
Saturday, 02 October 2010 21:44




New Walton Fusion model in market
Economic Reporter

R.B. Group, the country’s leading electrical, electronics and automobile manufacturing and marketing company, has started marketing of Walton Fusion motorcycle, which it claims offers top end features like electronic alarm, remote control and mobile phone signal. The latest bike can be started and stopped from about 300 feet away and has a digital display system.

Sources said Walton Fusion motorcycles were doing well as they offered less vibration and sound, smooth gear systems, alloy rims and hydraulic brakes, RB Group sources said at a press conference at its head office in the city.

RB Group Marketing Director Emdadul Haque Sarker said: “Walton has now introduced two new models besides the existing 27 models on the market”.

The new models aim to attract customers with features like low oil consumption and attractive looks, he claimed.

Customers will get a years’ guarantee on all parts and three years free servicing.

Walton has own showrooms at metropolitan cities and district and important upazila towns, and dealers at Upazila and union level, with service centres at all showrooms, and technicians employed by dealers, he added.

The company markets models with 125cc, 110cc, 80cc and 50cc engines.

link:
New Walton Fusion model in market
 
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UK team in town to explore business

A 14-member business delegation comprising mainly Bangladesh-origin British citizens began a five-day tour of Bangladesh yesterday in a bid to explore commercial links between the two countries.

During the visit, the trade team from the Coventry & Warwickshire Chamber of Commerce will hold one-to-one talks with their counterparts in Dhaka, Chittagong and Sylhet, Ajay Desai, the leader of the team, told reporters at The Westin Dhaka hotel in the capital.

Members of the delegation include chemicals, technology, IT, healthcare, food and investment specialists with an aim to take the growing UK-Bangladesh trade ties to an elevated level by interacting with local counterparts and identifying areas of future collaboration, Desai said.

He said there is a growing interest among British Bangladeshis to do business here. "This trade delegation will not only consolidate the existing ties but also contribute to the economies of Bangladesh and Britain."

From a business point of view, Desai said, there is an ample scope to grow business in Bangladesh compared to Europe.

He said the team would not explore areas Bangladesh has already excelled in, rather they would look for opportunities in areas such as renewable energy, tourism and IT which have not matured in the country.

The head of delegation does not see power crisis and weak infrastructure as a barrier. "There are barriers in every country, but there are signs that these will go in the coming years. Anything that stands in the way of business relations should be removed as quick as possible."

Shihab Hossain, a British-Bangladeshi, said: "These entrepreneurs are already doing well in the United Kingdom. Now they are ready to expand globally and they want to start from their motherland."

The trade team will leave Saturday.

The UK is the third single largest destination for exports from Bangladesh. Trade between the two countries has grown steadily year-on-year. In 2009, UK exports to Bangladesh were Tk 746 crore, up by over 6 percent compared to a year ago.

The European country is also one of the largest investors in Bangladesh with projects worth approximately Tk 21,943 crore.

The UK companies and Bangladeshis based there invested over Tk 693 crore in telecommunications, manufacturing, property development, as well as tourism and leisure sectors in 2009.

UK team in town to explore business
 
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Trade with Korea crosses $1b in eight months

Apparel exports doubled as demand surges
Kazi Azizul Islam
Trade between Bangladesh and Korea has crossed the $1 billion mark in eight months of the current year thanks to the growth of both countries’ exports to each other.
Sources in the Korea Bangladesh Chamber of Commerce and Industry informed New Age that January-August trade between two countries has amounted $1,024 million.
But bilateral trade is still heavily tilted in Korea’s favour as it exported $948 million worth industrial goods including steel products, intermediary raw materials, plastics moulds, machineries, synthetic fibres and many other goods. Korea’s exports to Bangladesh increased by 37 per cent, in terms of value, in the current year’s eight-month span over the same period in 2009.
Importers said that Korean exporters are getting some business lost by the Japanese due to stronger yen, due to which Japanese hot rolled coil, steel plates, machineries and other imports have become costlier.
Bangladesh’s export to Korea has grown by 30 per cent in the Jan-August period.
The country’s major exports to Korea are finished leather and readymade garments.
The chamber officials told New Age that shipments of readymade garments to Korea increased dramatically in recent months.
Jan-Aug shipments of readymade garments amounted to around $23 million, which is more than double of shipments in the same period of 2009.
Korea’s annual import of readymade garments is around $4 billion and is growing by more than 20 per cent, said Anwar Ul Alam Chowdhury Parvez, former president of the Bangladesh Garment Manufacturers and Exporters Association.
For many years China, Vietnam, Myanmar, Indonesia, Thailand and Cambodia remained the major suppliers of garments to Korea.
But, Parvez said, like the Japanese, Korean apparel importers have recently turned their eyes on Bangladesh.
‘The interesting aspect of Korean importers is that they are seeking coats, jackets and some other items which will require the long awaited diversification of Bangladesh’s apparel industry,’ said Parvez.
Senior researcher Khandakar Golam Moazzem said that since 2001 Bangladesh’s apparel exports to Korea had been increasing but and recently it is growing more robustly.
Women’s trousers, shorts, jackets and men’s cotton shirts have great potential as exports to Korea.
He said Korean rules of origin for woven garment imports is very stringent so Bangladesh needs to convince Korea to relax some of the terms and conditions.
Two Korean diplomats in Dhaka told this correspondent recently that Bangladesh has very good scope to increase its share in the Korean apparel market.
Years back, Korea was an apparel exporting nation but with its present rich economy and high wages, apparel manufacturing is no more viable there so its dependence on imports is expanding.
Industry watchers said that the Korean market for imported apparels might cross the $10 billion mark within the next 6 to 8 years, and Bangladesh’s share might increase dramatically if strategic market promotion is carried out successfully.

Business
 
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Bangladesh, Netherlands to set up Tk 150cr ship assembling yard

Hollander Scholtens, a leading company of the Netherlands, has signed an agreement with local shipbuilder Delta Stream Shipbuilding Ltd to set up a ship assembling yard in Bangladesh. The Bangladesh-Netherlands joint venture shipyard with all modern technologies would be set up at Gojaria of Munshiganj district with an investment of Taka 150crore.

Jacob Gnodde, a member of the 17-member Dutch trade delegation, which is now visiting Bangladesh, disclosed this while talking to reporters after a meeting with business leaders in the conference room of Dhaka Chamber of Commerce and Industry (DCCI) here. The delegation members are mainly from maritime consultant, ship building and sea transport related companies.

DCCI president Abul Kasem Khan chaired the meeting. President of Bangladesh-Dutch Chamber of Commerce (BDCCI) Fredrik Oldenhuizing moderated the function, which was joined, among others, by director of Board of Investment (BOI) Tofazzal Hossain Mia, DCCI director TIM Nurul Kabir and a good number of trade body leaders.

Jacob Gnodde said technical drawing of the planned shipyard has been completed while land acquisition for the project is now under process.

Appreciating Bangladesh's shipbuilding progress, he said the country is likely to become a shipbuilding leader because of its cost-effectiveness.

Tofazzal Hossain said Bangladesh's shipbuilding industry has a good prospect as it has already been recognized as a ship- exporting nation in the world. "We always welcome foreign direct investment (FDI) and there is no restriction for investment in Bangladesh, rather there are incentives for foreign investors here," he said.

Abul Kasem informed the delegation that a target has been set to turn Bangladesh into a middle-income country by 2015 by eliminating illiteracy, enhancing contribution to industrial sector and increasing per capita income up to at least US$2000.

Traffic congestion and utility problems are the main barriers to higher economic growth, Fredrik Oldenhuizing said and added those problems should be resolved on an urgent basis.

The bilateral trade between Bangladesh and the Netherlands is increasing gradually as in 2009-10, export of Bangladesh to the Netherlands was 1016.88 million US dollars against import of 128.40 million US dollar, according to statistics of Export Promotion Bureau (EPB).
The New Nation - Internet Edition
 
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Power crisis likely to end in 2012

Friday, 08 October 2010 23:23

Power crisis likely to end in 2012

Power crisis likely to end in 2012
Outages start to ease in Dec; govt eyes 11,000MW power during its tenure
Sharier Khan

A quarter of the persisting electricity crisis is likely to go by December with five new rental power projects coming into operation.

The government expects that by the end of next year, bulk of the load shedding will be averted and by the end of 2012, there will be no load shedding as dozens of new power plants will go into production by then.

This improvement will take place irrespective of an unchanged gas supply situation as most of the new plants will operate using heavy fuel oil or diesel.

According to Power Secretary AK Azad, the target would be achievable as the ministries and government agencies linked with implementation of power projects are now working together, as never before, by reducing typical bureaucratic bottlenecks.

The combined drive is visible from the fact that a British company --Aggreko-- signed two rental power deals in May for generation of 200 megawatts of power and succeeded in launching the two diesel-fired plants by August, he said.

Chairman of Power Development Board Alamgir Kabir said the government has added nearly 900 MW of power since January last year. But this was not enough to address the continuing power crisis due to gas supply shortfall and also because many existing plants have become old and inefficient.

Ninety percent of the country's power plants operate using natural gas.

Alamgir said the PDB expected that at least five petroleum- run rental power plants would add 450 MW by December.

And the figure could be higher if two more rental power projects, which missed deadlines several times, could come into operation within this period.

The rental plants will have contract terms of three to five years. These stopgap measures have been taken to address the power crisis temporarily while larger long-term power projects are implemented.

Meanwhile, the government has raised its five-year new power generation target to 11000 MW from its previously planned 9,500 MW to make sure that even if some new projects fail to be launched, load shedding is gone before the next general elections.

Coupled with the lack of new power projects for several years, gas supply crisis has deeply affected power supply. Power shortage is hovering between 600 MW to 2,000 MW this year, resulting in frequent outages.

The PDB generated around 4,600 MW of power on some occasions this year, but usually it generates around 4,000 MW. But by the end of this year, it hopes to generate at least 4500 MW on a regular basis.

On the other hand, the country's power demand ranged between 5,200 MW and 6,200 MW this year. Next year, the demand would go up by nearly 10 percent.

By December next year, the government hopes to add between 1,500 and 2,000 MW of power, which will significantly ease the crisis.

The power secretary said the crisis would be 'reasonably resolved' by 2012 as new power plants would start operation one after another.

“So far we have signed contracts for power projects having 2,500 MW production capacity. By December, we will sign deals for production of another 2,500 MW,” the PDB chairman said referring to some larger gas-based and dual-fuel power projects.

In addition to taking up dozens of conventional oil and gas- based power projects, the government is also focusing on large coal-based plants, solar and wind power projects and energy conservation.

:cheers:
 
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Dräxlmaier Dhaka lab to design interior facilities for top car brands

Friday, 08 October 2010 23:24

Business

Dräxlmaier Dhaka lab to design interior facilities for top car brands
Kazi Azizul Islam

Yet to make cars, Bangladesh is set to enter the global automotive industry by hosting a Draxlmaier lab for designing interior facilities for top brands like BMW, Mercedes and Cadillac.

World’s leading suppliers to auto industry, Dräxlmaier Group decided to set up it’s a state of the art design lab in Dhaka, the company’s first in South Asia and 4th in Asia, after Thailand, Malaysia and China.

A five-member Dräxlmaier team led by the head of its design facilities in Asia, Grzegorz Ciupka, arrived in Dhaka on Thursday to complete some advanced tasks for the company’s lab Dhaka.

Nine Bangladeshi engineers recruited by Dräxlmaier, undergoing an extensive training in the company’s plants and labs in Germany and elsewhere in Europe, are expected to return to Dhaka by the end of the year.

The design lab in Dhaka is expect to go into operation early next year, Bangladesh-German Chamber of Commerce and Industry executive director Daniel Seidl told New Age on Friday.

Dräxlmaier, he said, was looking for more Bangladeshi engineers and a CEO to coordinate its Dhaka operations.

At the large and sophisticated Dräxlmaier’s lab in Dhaka, he said, engineers would design automobile interiors, wiring and interior equipment using Computer Aided Design (CAD) tools.

The company’s product lines include interiors, cockpits, centre consoles, door panels, auto electric and functionally integrated systems (FIS).

By using natural materials such as leather, wood, and stone, the company makes functionally integrated interior components, cockpits, wiring harness and electrical management systems for new car models.

Globally acclaimed, Dräxlmaier designs for luxury brands like BMW, Mercedes-Benz or Porsche, Audi, Volkswagen, Jaguar and Cadillac.

Dräxlmaier officials had a crucial meeting with Daniel and other representatives of German-Bangladesh Chamber as it has been providing it the support to establish its lab in Dhaka.

The Dräxlmaier Lab, would be a milestone for Bangladesh, facilitating its entry into multibillion-dollar global automotives market, said German-Bangladesh chamber president, Saiful Islam.

A highly regarded entrepreneur in shipbuilding and high value leather goods manufacturing, Saiful and Daniel worked for months to convince Dräxlmaier about what can be done in Bangladesh.

Daniel said that one year’s license fee for CAD software for 20 terminals for the lab alone cost $1 million.

With an annual turnover of two billion Euros, five–decade old Dräxlmaier employs more than 30,000 personnel in its 51 plants and labs in 20 countries.
 
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IMF forecasts 6.3pc GDPgrowth for Bangladesh


2010-10-08__b02.jpg



Star Business Report

The International Monetary Fund in its latest economic outlook has projected Bangladesh's economic growth at 6.3 percent for the current fiscal year, higher by 0.5 percentage point than last year.

Earlier, the government projected the country's GDP growth at 6.5 percent for the current fiscal year.

According to the lending agency, Bangladesh's economy will grow by 7 percent in 2015.

The IMF puts the country's inflation figure at 7.4 percent for this year and 6.4 percent for 2015. But the government forecast a 6.5 percent inflation rate for the current fiscal year.

The IMF warned that rich and emerging economies must dramatically change the way they trade with each other or risk throttling the global economic recovery.

In its economic outlook released on Wednesday, the IMF said growth would slow more than previously expected in 2011, as the United States, Europe and Japan continue to struggle and China remains overly dependent on exports.

The recovery is "neither strong nor balanced and runs the risk of not being sustained," warned Olivier Blanchard, the IMF's chief economist.

Painting a picture of a faltering developed world -- where business is still struggling to pick up where government crisis spending left off -- the IMF predicted global growth would be pared back to 4.2 percent next year.

That is less than the 4.8 percent growth expected this year and 0.2 point below the IMF's July forecast for 2011.

While restocking had helped short-term growth in the United States, Japan and some parts of Europe, the IMF said advanced economies were still reliant on dwindling government spending.

"For the past year or so, inventory accumulation and fiscal stimulus were driving the recovery. The first is coming to an end. The second is slowly being phased out," the IMF said.

There was a particular warning for Europe, with "severe external financing constraints" forecast for debt-laden Greece, Ireland, Portugal and Spain.

The picture could not be more different for India and China, where growth continues, but is limited by an over-dependence on exports to Europe, Japan and the US that must be addressed.

The IMF said China must allow its currency to strengthen to boost domestic demand and reduce its reliance on exports.

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IMF forecasts 6.3pc GDPgrowth for Bangladesh
 
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