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With economic growth and shift in power balance, China brings a new confidence to the table in Alaska

Feng Leng

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  • Beijing views recent US crises and the pandemic as accelerating a shift in global power, giving a China a more equal footing on the world stage
  • Meetings such as the US-China talks in Anchorage this week are important to the Chinese for more than just a means to a diplomatic end
When US Secretary of State Antony Blinken and White House national security adviser Jake Sullivan meet top Chinese diplomats in Anchorage, Alaska, on Thursday they may be surprised by the confidence China exudes these days.

America’s accelerating decline under former US president Donald Trump has been a favourite topic for many Chinese scholars and government advisers, especially after the US was plunged into its worst economic and political crisis in decades over the coronavirus pandemic and election chaos.

Yang Jiemian, a respected strategic affairs scholar in Shanghai and younger brother of Yang Jiechi, President Xi Jinping’s top foreign policy aide, argued that the pandemic had sped up an inevitable shift in the global balance of power in China’s favour. With the fight against the pandemic, we are probably witnessing “the eve of a substantial, qualitative change in terms of international power balance”, he said in a paper published almost a year ago.

That confident assessment is widely shared within China’s foreign policy establishment, according to Chinese diplomats and academics.

While the country’s nationalist, authoritarian shift in recent years may not be heart-warming for many inside China, a number have nonetheless joined the chorus celebrating Beijing’s largely uninterrupted rise to power and mocking Washington’s inevitable decline.

“We don’t need hide and bide any more,” said a former diplomat privately, referring to late paramount leader Deng Xiaoping’s mantra of low-profile diplomacy which played a dominating role in securing China’s external relations with the West.

“In the face of the US-led encirclement efforts and aggressive attacks, we don’t have many options, do we? After all, it’s about time for China to take the centre stage in the world,” he said, citing an assertion Xi made four years ago.

Xi has also made unusual remarks about China’s ascendance, an issue of growing concern in the eyes of many Western countries and China’s Asian neighbours.

According to state media, Xi said during the annual session of the National People’s Congress this month that the Chinese people should be able to see the world on a more equal footing after decades of rapid economic expansion. It was widely interpreted as a statement aimed at the US and other advanced economies, demanding respect and acceptance of China as an equal power.

Given his unchallenged authority in China’s politics, Xi’s latest remarks just days before the Alaska meeting, will no doubt affect how Chinese diplomats engage with the new administration of US President Joe Biden. Just a day after Xi’s comments, Foreign Minister Wang Yi, who will be at the Alaska meeting along with Yang Jiechi, claimed that China stood “at a new historic starting point”.

He refused to accept the blame for China’s initial mishandling of Covid-19 and for subsequent aggressive posturing to exploit Western countries’ vulnerabilities. He was reluctant to even acknowledge that China had an image problem in the face of growing negative perceptions of the country in the post-coronavirus world.

Instead, he denounced Washington’s “hegemony of system” and blamed the US for inciting instability in the region and causing chaos and conflict around the world.

That largely explains why almost all China watchers are cautious about the upcoming high-stakes meeting, the first face-to-face top-level diplomatic dialogue since the Biden administration took office.

It’s good for them to meet and to see diplomacy back at work after a chaotic four years under Trump, but do not expect much, apart from an agreement to keep talking and have further meetings. After all, neither side appears willing to make real concessions or can afford to appear weak in the face of rising nationalism at home.

Another reason why the Alaska meeting may be more symbolic than substantive is their different approaches to these kinds of diplomatic talks. While Americans may see dialogue and consultation as a means to put meat on the bones and achieve real results, the Chinese tend to attach much more importance to meetings and get-togethers themselves, which in a sense are both means and ends, even without follow-up action.
 
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US need at least another 4-8 years to fix economy, just like what happened after 2008 financial crisis.

The damage is way bigger than 12 years ago, while US has much less resource to readjust the political and economic situation. So I bet 8 years.

Biden can stick to tough talk, but everyone knows he is weak, very weak. His political foundation is anti-trump, while Trumpism is still strong. So Biden can not afford to screw up, he will have to be very very careful.

While China is not 2008 anymore, 3x bigger.

Biden will have tough talk in front of the tv, but soft on the negotiation table.

Another confrontation with China will send Democrats to back seat and bring Trump back. Democrats are no fools.

As we see, India is withdrawing, softer. That's the signal, even India knew US is not reliable, only bluff.
 
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US need at least another 4-8 years to fix economy, just like what happened after 2008 financial crisis.

The damage is way bigger than 12 years ago, while US has much less resource to readjust the political and economic situation. So I bet 8 years.

Biden can stick to tough talk, but everyone knows he is weak, very weak. His political foundation is anti-trump, while Trumpism is still strong. So Biden can not afford to screw up, he will have to be very very careful.

While China is not 2008 anymore, 3x bigger.

Biden will have tough talk in front of the tv, but soft on the negotiation table.

Another confrontation with China will send Democrats to back seat and bring Trump back. Democrats are no fools.

As we see, India is withdrawing, softer. That's the signal, even India knew US is not reliable, only bluff.
I heard US is abandoning Reaganomics, no more top-down economics. Will it even work?

 
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I heard US is abandoning Reaganomics, no more top-down economics. Will it even work?

no. as long as interest group can lobby as they used to, nothing substantial can be done.
The foundation of Biden is so weak that Biden will be lame duck faster than Obama who lost House Majority in 2 years. Obama lost both Senate and House majority in 6 years.

I bet it will cost Biden an arm and leg to control congress. Obama cabinet was full filled by Citi, Biden was damn the same. What can you expect from him? At least Obama can appeal the public, sleepy Joe is a walking mummy.


Look at human dynasty history, the decline of empire is the result of inner decay. The US has stuck to their outdated political system for so long that interest group has captured US. The liberal democracy ideology is so funny and absurd that even half of Americans start fighting against.

Good luck to Biden, I hope he can live through his first term.
 
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no. as long as interest group can lobby as they used to, nothing substantial can be done.
The foundation of Biden is so weak that Biden will be lame duck faster than Obama who lost House Majority in 2 years. Obama lost both Senate and House majority in 6 years.

I bet it will cost Biden an arm and leg to control congress. Obama cabinet was full filled by Citi, Biden was damn the same. What can you expect from him? At least Obama can appeal the public, sleepy Joe is a walking mummy.


Look at human dynasty history, the decline of empire is the result of inner decay. The US has stuck to their outdated political system for so long that interest group has captured US. The liberal democracy ideology is so funny and absurd that even half of Americans start fighting against.

Good luck to Biden, I hope he can live through his first term.

The left is controlled by banksters. The far Reich are the neo-nazis filled with cops, warmongers and the cia/mi6. These are the two sides of Davos thieves. Davos wants wars and conflicts spread by Davos nazis. And when the public are opposed to nazism and neo-conservatism, Davos proposes Obama/Macron/Biden/Draghi centrist/leftist bankers or banker allies to be the other option to nazism. Bankers vs Nazis. Both sides need each other so that meritocracies and technocracies (not the fake banker/Davos "technocracy" of Oligarchs) are not set up like with Movement 5 Star. Andrew Yang would be a meriticracy. He is not a career politician. A skilled businessman that did not go bankrupt and does not have dozens of shlomos and banker friends propping him up, and Yang has no ties to the mob.

USA is a sh*tshow to fool the public that there are options. When the options are two oligrach candidates to support the existing system of banker vs nazis. Endless wars for empire. And even the far Reich which is supposedly opposed to endless wars for Isreal... got 100% fooled by banker and nazi candidate trump. Nazis are racist, so trump simply had to say Mexicans are rapists and other racist stuff to get the nazis happy to support trump. The zionists played the far Reich like a fiddle.


Zionists favorite group are nazis. cia, zionists and nazis staged a color revolution to get trump a second term because war with China is so important to not being replaced. As the nazis yell "the jews will not replace us". cia is paranoid about China getting stronger. China is already economically more powerful than the USA. And the paranoia is from racism - Anglos don't want anybody else with a stronger...
 
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IMO the ball is in US court and nothing will changes as far as China goes.
China messages are loud and clear.
Peaceful co-existence and cooperation.

So they are there basically to listen to what the new Biden Administration has to say.

The arrogant and boisterous behavior as seen by General Lloyd Austin and Anotony Blinkens in Japan and South Korea in recent days won't work well in US favour in her future ties with China.

If it gets any worse, it will definitely pushed China into a defense pact with Russia and that is Japan biggest nightmare and what she fear most.

That is what Japan PM Suga is basically worried about mostly. Four years of Trump and now a wisdom lacking Biden came along with a wooden bat instead of a metal bat.

USA is no longer the same superpower of 20th Century where she can trample into Asian nations unchallenged. :coffee:
 
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Tense Talks With China Left U.S. ‘Cleareyed’ About Beijing’s Intentions, Officials Say

The Biden administration’s strategy to curb Beijing faces a stiff challenge as China uses its economic, diplomatic and military might to deflect criticism.

ANCHORAGE — The Biden administration’s first face-to-face encounter with China ended Friday after a vivid demonstration of how the world’s two largest economic and technological powers are facing a widening gulf of distrust and disagreements on a range of issues that will shape the global landscape for years to come.

After an opening session on Thursday marked by mutual public denunciations, the two sides left an Anchorage hotel on Friday without any joint statement of their willingness to work together, even in areas where they both say they share mutual interests, from climate change to rolling back North Korea’s nuclear arsenal.

Secretary of State Antony J. Blinken argued that simply hearing how differently President Biden and President Xi Jinping of China, who celebrated a wary friendship a decade ago, were now pursuing their priorities was valuable.

“We certainly know, and knew going in, that there are a number of areas where we are fundamentally at odds,” Mr. Blinken told journalists after the Chinese diplomats left the venue without making any public statements or answering questions. “And it’s no surprise that when we raised those issues, clearly and directly, we got a defensive response.”

The extraordinary rancor aired by China’s top diplomats in Alaska reflected a newly combative and unapologetic China, one increasingly unbowed by diplomatic pressure from American presidential administrations.

Just as Washington’s views on China have shifted after years of encouraging the country’s economic integration, so have Beijing’s perceptions of the United States and the privileged place in the world that it has long held. The Americans, in their view, no longer have an overwhelming reservoir of global influence, nor the power to wield it against China.

That has made China more confident in pursuing its aims openly and unabashedly — from human rights issues in Hong Kong and Xinjiang to territorial disputes with India and Japan and others in the South China Sea to, most contentiously of all, the fate of Taiwan, the self-governing democracy that China claims as its own.

While China still faces enormous challenges at home and around the world, its leaders now act as if history is on their side.

“This strategic exchange was frank, constructive and helpful,” China’s top diplomat, Yang Jiechi, said in comments broadcast on Chinese state television. “Of course, there are major disputes between us. China will firmly defend national sovereignty, security and development interests, and China’s development and growing strength are unstoppable.”

Although most of the discussions in Anchorage occurred behind closed doors, video of the opening session offered ample evidence of the tense start to the meetings. Mr. Yang delivered a 16-minute jeremiad, accusing Mr. Blinken and Jake Sullivan, Mr. Biden’s national security adviser, of condescension and hypocrisy.

China’s more aggressive diplomatic posture is likely to inflame tensions with the United States, which has itself declared China a national security rival. China’s hardening views have already surfaced in activity along its borders and in its surrounding waters, where it fought Indian troops last year and menaced ships from several countries, including Japan, Malaysia and Vietnam.

The American delegation, Mr. Blinken said, arrived in Alaska ready to discuss issues that China had viewed as off-limits because they involved the country’s internal affairs. They included American objections to human rights violations against minority Uyghurs in China’s western Xinjiang province — which Mr. Blinken has called a “genocide” — as well as China’s use of a new national security law to suppress political dissent in Hong Kong.

Mr. Blinken and Mr. Sullivan sought to downplay the acrimony that flared in front of television cameras Thursday evening in the opening hour of the two-day event.

“We were cleareyed coming in, we’re cleareyed coming out,” Mr. Sullivan said. “And we will go back to Washington to take stock of where we are.”

Mr. Blinken said a discussion over China’s cyberactivities also evoked a testy response: While the United States has not yet identified any country as responsible for a vast hack of Microsoft Exchange systems, used by tens of thousands of government entities and businesses, Microsoft has said it was a Chinese, state-sponsored operation.

Mr. Blinken said “our interests intersect” on diplomacy with Iran, North Korea and Afghanistan, and on climate change. But there was no statement of joint resolve to cooperate on any of those issues, the sort of diplomatic nicety that routinely seals such high-level meetings.

Afterward, senior Biden administration officials insisted the conversations were useful for providing insight into Beijing’s views, which could help frame a new American strategy for competing with China in a wide range of areas. The officials, who briefed journalists on the condition that they not be identified, described the private talks as civil.

A senior official said Mr. Blinken focused the final talks on Friday on human rights as well as China’s detention of foreigners and its use of a practice known as exit bans to block them from leaving the country.

While this was not the first testy meeting between the Chinese and the Americans, the balance of power between the two countries has changed.

For decades, China approached American governments from positions of weakness, economically and militarily. That forced it at times to accede to American demands, however grudgingly, whether it was to release detained human-rights advocates or to accept Washington’s conditions for joining the World Trade Organization.

China today feels far more assured in its ability to challenge the United States and push for its own vision of international cooperation. It is a confidence embraced by China’s leader since 2012, Xi Jinping, who has used the phrase, “the East is rising, and the West is declining.”

Beijing’s view has been reinforced by the coronavirus epidemic, which China has largely tamed at home, and the internal political divisions roiling the United States. Mr. Yang singled both out in his remarks on Thursday.

“The challenges facing the United States in human rights are deep-seated,” Mr. Yang said, citing the Black Lives Matter movement against police brutality. “It’s important that we manage our respective affairs well instead of deflecting the blame on somebody else in this world.”

The shift in China’s strategy is not simply rhetorical, or “grandstanding” for a domestic audience, as a senior official traveling with Mr. Blinken suggested.

On the litany of issues Mr. Blinken raised before and during the talks — from Hong Kong to Xinjiang, from human rights to tech — China’s leaders have refused to give any ground. They have done so despite international criticism and even intensifying punitive measures imposed by the Trump and, now, Biden administrations.

In the latest round, the State Department announced this week that it would impose sanctions on 24 Chinese officials for their role in eroding Hong Kong’s electoral system. The timing of the move, just as the Chinese were preparing to depart for Alaska, contributed to the acrimony.

“This is not supposed to be the way one welcomes his guests,” China’s foreign minister, Wang Yi, said in remarks in Alaska that were as equally pointed as Mr. Yang’s.

The Biden administration’s stated strategy for dealing with China has been to build coalitions of countries to confront and deter its behavior. Mr. Biden’s team has argued that while President Trump correctly diagnosed China as a rising threat, his erratic policies and mistreatment of allies undercut the effort to counter it.

How successful the new strategy will be remains to be seen, but China has in recent years acted as if it were impervious to outrage over its actions, making the task all the more challenging.

For example, the outpouring of international condemnation last year over the imposition of a new national security law to restrict dissent in Hong Kong did nothing to halt a new law this year dismantling the territory’s electoral system.

China also chose Friday to begin its trials of two Canadians who were arrested more than two years ago and charged with espionage in what was widely seen as retaliation for the American effort to extradite a senior executive from Huawei, the telecommunications giant, for fraud involving sales to Iran.

It was striking that Mr. Yang, a veteran diplomat and a member of the ruling Politburo of the Communist Party of China, used his remarks to say that neither the United States nor the West broadly had a monopoly on international public opinion.

That is a view reflected in China’s successful efforts to use international forums like the United Nations Human Rights Council to counter condemnation over policies like the mass detention and re-education programs in Xinjiang, the predominately Muslim region in western China.

“I don’t think the overwhelming majority of countries in the world would recognize that the universal values advocated by the United States or that the opinion of the United States could represent international public opinion,” Mr. Yang said. “And those countries would not recognize that the rules made by a small number of people would serve as the basis for the international order.”

Mr. Yang also took issue with Mr. Blinken’s assertion that he had recently heard concerns from American allies about coercive Chinese behavior. He noted that the two countries Mr. Blinken just visited — Japan and South Korea — were China’s second and third biggest trading partners, flaunting the growing sway of its economic might.

The confrontation played well with the domestic audience in China, judging by the reactions on the country’s carefully censored social media sites. “Nowadays, who else but China would dare to put the United States in a corner like this on American territory?” one user on Weibo wrote approvingly under a video of Mr. Yang’s remarks.

While American officials said the temperature of the meetings in Alaska went down behind closed doors, few officials or experts on either side are hopeful of a significant improvement in relations. “On the whole, this negotiation is only for the two sides to put all the cards on the table, for the two sides to recognize how big and deep each other’s differences are,” said Wu Qiang, an independent political analyst in Beijing, “But in fact, it will not help to bring about any reconciliation or any mitigation.”
 
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Dont count the chickens before they hatch.
Heh that's real funny. Japan is much further along this aging population path than China, and they remain a strong regional economy. China's population is 12 times bigger, by the time we reach Japan's situation (if ever), we will still be the largest economy on earth.

You should focus on yourself. In 1990 we had similar GDP, and now we're six times bigger than you. The chicken has already hatched for us. Your egg isn't even fertilized yet.
 
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Now chinese and other asians from pacific should stop vising the hellhole USA and europe,be it for education or tourism.
The criminal white men's land never appealed me,my preferred tourist destination has always been SEA .
I recently opted for Korean Samsung s21 instead of latest iPhone 12.
I bought hk based lenovo instead of macbook.
Given the choice I don't even use European brands in clothes or shoes- asics(jp),fila(kr),li ning(cn),mizuno(jp) instead of nike and adidas.

Asian pacific must wake up to the horrible west,shouldn't let the US /Western imperialist steal wealth from asia only to commit atrocities and plunder on Asians, those genocidal people had already made 2 continental sized nation -USA-AUSTRALIA by pure genocide,,given the opportunity they would repeat everything all over again,it's a trait of their genetic makeup.They are killing,brutalizing,abusing asians in their land as we type.


The US /West propagandize themselves as innovative and enlightened kind ,but in reality innovation is not even their strongest points, their strength in past has been decimating competition,and trampling innovation in the process and harming the betterment of humankind.
Their current innovation is on the back of the poached Chinese talents,the US or the whole of west can't compete with china,or any country in east asia,their whole system is geared toward poaching eastern talents than claim glory for "west" than media play east as less innovative and followers.The Hollywood and western media must be identified,labeled and treated as a propaganda arm.The brain drain issue needs to be treated with great urgency. Without braindrain from east, west will decay on their own.

They take asian's restraint,professionalism,politeness as weakness and white worshipping,they don't get the concept of it for they are so crude folk,with ignorance and self-aggrandization filled to the brim. These folk don't deserve the same respect that asians treat each other with or they return it with violence due to their ballooned ego.
 
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That has made China more confident in pursuing its aims openly and unabashedly — from human rights issues in Hong Kong and Xinjiang to territorial disputes with India and Japan and others in the South China Sea to, most contentiously of all, the fate of Taiwan, the self-governing democracy that China claims as its own.

Taiwan is opposed to secessionists in Hong Kong waving UK flags.
Taiwan has the same territorial disputes with India.
Taiwan has the same claims on SCS.
Taiwan even claims more Chinese territory than Beijing.

Who do these "journalists" believe reads these articles, morons.?.

Fate of Taiwan is none of the business of terrorists trying to break apart/destroy the claims of Democratic Taiwan to be occupied by US military bases and forever non-Chinese. Taiwanese are fiercely nationalistic and this needs to be used by Beijing as a wedge to separate Taiwan and the US. To be friends with Taiwan, her territorial claims must be respected.

Two systems BENEFITS Taiwan. If the whole of China (mainland and taiwan) go democratic. Then Taiwan has a tiny, tiny voice in that Democracy. Better for Taiwan to join the mainland in a One country, two systems plan. Be part of the dream of China.

The US directed
2018 trade war
2019 HK protests
2020 coronavirUS
2021 Uyghur fake "genocide" claims for secession

to balkanize China is not approved by Taiwan. So this talk about democracy is lies for US dying empire.

This whole Indian call center scam out of Washington has everything to with this nazism, that would make even Modi happy:

America’s political and military mission in the post-cold-war era is to ensure that no rival superpower is allowed to emerge in Western Europe, Asia or the territories of the former Soviet Union..The classified document makes the case for a world dominated by one superpower whose position can be perpetuated by constructive behavior and sufficient military might to deter any nation or group of nations from challenging American primacy. US Department of Defense, The New York Times, March, 1992.

It is Washington policy to never allow China be developed because China is too big. So the racist nazis in Washington have been trying to break up China as the "solution" for China to be vassalized to the nazi West. US does not want multilateralism, US wants slaves and servants.

US is nothing and are trying to dictate the allowed success of each nation.

US vomit is propaganda and US policy is terrorism.

Do you believe the classified documents of the US, stating military would be used to keep China from surpassing the US economically and militarily to become a superpower or is the document a fake threat.

UK and France did the same to Italy with the rise of Italy starting in the 1800s. Double standards of UK colonies. Hypocrisy in human rights abuses. Promises of territorial claims to be respected.

Here is what the WASPy Oligrachs view of Italians is.

The Harriman railroad fortune paid local charities, such as the New York Bureau of Industries and Immigration, to seek out Jewish, Italian and other immigrants in New York and other crowded cities and subject them to deportation, trumped up confinement or forced sterilization.


This has not changed. US Italian communities during the cold war was subject to cia operations to destroy Italian communities.

Now the psy-ops and multi-layered gaslighting is on the Asian-American community.


I would guess a balanced approach could be best. Gradual military increase first two years to build trust and promote trade and catch up chip wise. Last two years to have China prepared for whatever happen in 2024 and thus 2025.
 
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