With economic growth and shift in power balance, China brings a new confidence to the table in Alaska

[FuturePAF]

China "collapsing" is an old catchphrased having been cried by the west for over 4 decades, it's nothing new. lol. and it's India who always count chicken before they are hatched,China never brags.

In all seriousness, Is China going to go the way of South Korea and switch to as many industrial robots as possible while the remaining labor force (then replaced by robots)going into the service sector, especially elder care? Coupled with the reversal of the one child policy and sole incentives to get an average 2 babies per woman, China might see the old generation see out their golden years over the next thirty years, and then return to a healthy demographic pyramid.

Industrial robots can be made, but what is the likelihood of young couples having an average of 2 babies with the high cost of living? Is the government increasing subsidies for children? Are they reforming the Hakou system?

 

[S10]

In all seriousness, Is China going to go the way of South Korea and switch to as many industrial robots as possible while the remaining labor force (then replaced by robots)going into the service sector, especially elder care? Coupled with the reversal of the one child policy and sole incentives to get an average 2 babies per woman, China might see the old generation see out their golden years over the next thirty years, and then return to a healthy demographic pyramid.

Industrial robots can be made, but what is the likelihood of young couples having an average of 2 babies with the high cost of living? Is the government increasing subsidies for children? Are they reforming the Hakou system?

Nobody is saying aging population and shrinking workforce aren't problems. It does not matter if you automate everything. If you don't have consumers to sustain the economy and taxpayers to keep collect revenues from, a country will go downhill.

Realistically, I think China will drop any kind of birth restriction in the next 5 years. The easiest way to tackle the birth rate issue is to link it with taxation and housing. For those without children past age of 40, taxes go up 10% to pay for the healthcare/welfare spending they will be needing later in life. For those with only 1 child, taxes go up 5%. No increase in taxation for couples with two children or more.

Additionally, China needs to switch to a public housing model. Real estate prices are getting exorbitant for working class these days. By providing people with affordable and high quality public housing, it can also help with birth rate. Single or couple without children should only be eligible for the most basic accommodation, while those with children get larger housing and preferential locations.

 

[shanlung]

US need at least another 4-8 years to fix economy, just like what happened after 2008 financial crisis.

The damage is way bigger than 12 years ago, while US has much less resource to readjust the political and economic situation. So I bet 8 years.

Biden can stick to tough talk, but everyone knows he is weak, very weak. His political foundation is anti-trump, while Trumpism is still strong. So Biden can not afford to screw up, he will have to be very very careful.

While China is not 2008 anymore, 3x bigger.

Biden will have tough talk in front of the tv, but soft on the negotiation table.

Another confrontation with China will send Democrats to back seat and bring Trump back. Democrats are no fools.

As we see, India is withdrawing, softer. That's the signal, even India knew US is not reliable, only bluff.

No way Murica can fix the economy.
Murica on a downward spiral into bankruptcy and longer longer soup kitchen and more tents on sidewalks and parking lots.

MURICA IS DOOMED
BESTEREST FOR SENILE SLEEPY JOE TO CRAWL ON BENDED HANDS AND KNEES 3 TIMES AROUND TIANANMENG SQUARE WITH BEGGING BOWL

 

[Mista]

Additionally, China needs to switch to a public housing model. Real estate prices are getting exorbitant for working class these days. By providing people with affordable and high quality public housing, it can also help with birth rate. Single or couple without children should only be eligible for the most basic accommodation, while those with children get larger housing and preferential locations.

Singapore actually has such similar policies. Singles have restricted access to public housing, while couples with kids and couples who live near to parents have greater access/subsidies.

But our TFR still remain abysmal at 1.2. Based on statistics, those who are married have 2 kids average. But the problem is only 60% of females get married. So our TFR is around 0.6 x 2 = 1.2.

data.gov.sg

Singapore's open data platform for publicly available datasets. data.gov.sg helps citizens and laymen gain access to public data from government agencies.

data.gov.sg

Marital Status, Marriages and Divorces - Latest Data

www.singstat.gov.sg

And unlike the West, Singapore as an Asian society frowns upon birth out-of-wedlock.

So monetary incentives have marginal effect on pushing people to settle down and find a partner. After all, it's a very personal choice.

If former prime minister Lee Kuan Yew were in charge of Singapore today, he would introduce a baby bonus equal to two years of the average Singaporean's salary.

This is not to boost the country's abysmal total fertility rate of 1.2. Rather, Mr Lee would do it to "prove that super-sized monetary incentives would only have a marginal effect on fertility rates".

Writing in his new book, One Man's View Of The World, Mr Lee makes clear he would offer this huge baby bonus for at least a year.

The experiment will "prove beyond any doubt that our low birth rates have nothing to do with economic or financial factors, such as high cost of living or lack of government help for parents", he says.

Instead, it is due to transformed lifestyles and mindsets which the Government is relatively powerless against, he argues in the 400-page book that is due to be launched today.

Declining fertility is the biggest threat to Singapore's survival, he says.

Money won't solve low birth rate problem: Mr Lee

If former prime minister Lee Kuan Yew were in charge of Singapore today, he would introduce a baby bonus equal to two years of the average Singaporean's salary. Read more at straitstimes.com.

www.straitstimes.com

 

[FuturePAF]

Singapore actually has such similar policies. Singles have restricted access to public housing, while couples with kids and couples who live near to parents have greater access/subsidies.

But our TFR still remain abysmal at 1.2. Based on statistics, those who are married have 2 kids average. But the problem is only 60% of females get married. So our TFR is around 0.6 x 2 = 1.2.

View attachment 726285

data.gov.sg

Singapore's open data platform for publicly available datasets. data.gov.sg helps citizens and laymen gain access to public data from government agencies.

data.gov.sg

View attachment 726282

Marital Status, Marriages and Divorces - Latest Data

www.singstat.gov.sg

And unlike the West, Singapore as an Asian society frowns upon birth out-of-wedlock.

So monetary incentives have marginal effect on pushing people to settle down and find a partner. After all, it's a very personal choice.

Money won't solve low birth rate problem: Mr Lee

If former prime minister Lee Kuan Yew were in charge of Singapore today, he would introduce a baby bonus equal to two years of the average Singaporean's salary. Read more at straitstimes.com.

www.straitstimes.com

That should be a saying “What would Lee Kuan Yew do?”

Deng Xioping modeled a lot of his reforms on Singapore, so studying Singapore’s carrot and stick approaches should provide some insight

 

[Feng Leng]

Taiwan is opposed to secessionists in Hong Kong waving UK flags.
Taiwan has the same territorial disputes with India.
Taiwan has the same claims on SCS.
Taiwan even claims more Chinese territory than Beijing.

Who do these "journalists" believe reads these articles, morons.?.

Fate of Taiwan is none of the business of terrorists trying to break apart/destroy the claims of Democratic Taiwan to be occupied by US military bases and forever non-Chinese. Taiwanese are fiercely nationalistic and this needs to be used by Beijing as a wedge to separate Taiwan and the US. To be friends with Taiwan, her territorial claims must be respected.

Two systems BENEFITS Taiwan. If the whole of China (mainland and taiwan) go democratic. Then Taiwan has a tiny, tiny voice in that Democracy. Better for Taiwan to join the mainland in a One country, two systems plan. Be part of the dream of China.

The US directed
2018 trade war
2019 HK protests
2020 coronavirUS
2021 Uyghur fake "genocide" claims for secession

to balkanize China is not approved by Taiwan. So this talk about democracy is lies for US dying empire.

This whole Indian call center scam out of Washington has everything to with this nazism, that would make even Modi happy:

America’s political and military mission in the post-cold-war era is to ensure that no rival superpower is allowed to emerge in Western Europe, Asia or the territories of the former Soviet Union..The classified document makes the case for a world dominated by one superpower whose position can be perpetuated by constructive behavior and sufficient military might to deter any nation or group of nations from challenging American primacy. US Department of Defense, The New York Times, March, 1992.

It is Washington policy to never allow China be developed because China is too big. So the racist nazis in Washington have been trying to break up China as the "solution" for China to be vassalized to the nazi West. US does not want multilateralism, US wants slaves and servants.

US is nothing and are trying to dictate the allowed success of each nation.

US vomit is propaganda and US policy is terrorism.

Do you believe the classified documents of the US, stating military would be used to keep China from surpassing the US economically and militarily to become a superpower or is the document a fake threat.

UK and France did the same to Italy with the rise of Italy starting in the 1800s. Double standards of UK colonies. Hypocrisy in human rights abuses. Promises of territorial claims to be respected.

Here is what the WASPy Oligrachs view of Italians is.

The Harriman railroad fortune paid local charities, such as the New York Bureau of Industries and Immigration, to seek out Jewish, Italian and other immigrants in New York and other crowded cities and subject them to deportation, trumped up confinement or forced sterilization.

The Horrifying American Roots of Nazi Eugenics | History News Network

historynewsnetwork.org

This has not changed. US Italian communities during the cold war was subject to cia operations to destroy Italian communities.

Now the psy-ops and multi-layered gaslighting is on the Asian-American community.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1365830363579179008

I would guess a balanced approach could be best. Gradual military increase first two years to build trust and promote trade and catch up chip wise. Last two years to have China prepared for whatever happen in 2024 and thus 2025.

Xi Jinping already gave the order to dash toward parity in nuclear weapons and reunify with Taiwan by force within 5 years. The US regards this with trepidation and their attempts to restore their past glory look more and more desperate.

 

[S10]

Singapore actually has such similar policies. Singles have restricted access to public housing, while couples with kids and couples who live near to parents have greater access/subsidies.

But our TFR still remain abysmal at 1.2. Based on statistics, those who are married have 2 kids average. But the problem is only 60% of females get married. So our TFR is around 0.6 x 2 = 1.2.

View attachment 726285

data.gov.sg

Singapore's open data platform for publicly available datasets. data.gov.sg helps citizens and laymen gain access to public data from government agencies.

data.gov.sg

View attachment 726282

Marital Status, Marriages and Divorces - Latest Data

www.singstat.gov.sg

And unlike the West, Singapore as an Asian society frowns upon birth out-of-wedlock.

So monetary incentives have marginal effect on pushing people to settle down and find a partner. After all, it's a very personal choice.

Money won't solve low birth rate problem: Mr Lee

If former prime minister Lee Kuan Yew were in charge of Singapore today, he would introduce a baby bonus equal to two years of the average Singaporean's salary. Read more at straitstimes.com.

www.straitstimes.com

Well Singapore is actually what the CCP is attempting to emulate, so I wouldn't be surprised if we eventually borrow elements of Singapore's model. While incentives are good, I think there has to be some sort of negative consequences for individuals without children. Let's face it, without support from children, elderly population is costly to take care of. That's why I said I proposed a childless tax to pay for the increased social spending.

 

[Mista]

That should be a saying “What would Lee Kuan Yew do?”

Deng Xioping modeled a lot of his reforms on Singapore, so studying Singapore’s carrot and stick approaches should provide some insight

 

[FuturePAF]

When people talk in the abstract it’s all well and good, but at least the PhD. candidate was game when she was asked when she expected to finish her degree and if she had a boyfriend.

I think this issue will be the great competition between China and the US, or more clearly, if China can get back to a TFR of at least 2.1. The US has the advantage of immigration and assimilation, as Lee Kuan Yew pointed out.

If China could crack this problem in an ethical and economical manner, this issue of demographics will go away.