Will Iran, Turkey and Iraq enter a war against Barzani?

[TheCamelGuy]

Must not talk

 

[HAIDER]

In present day scenario Turkey has overall leverage, because seems Kurd selling oil to Isreal through Turkey.

 

[mahatir]

Everything goes in steps, when ISF was still busy in Mosul Abadi didn't say anything about KRG expansion operations in Nineveh as it would not be in our interests to divert the attention and give the KRG a reason to be an obstacle to the ISF during those times. Now all of that is retaken, Hawija is retaken leaving a few small villages in Kirkuk provinces which will be treated within a week possibly.

However he will not take an aggressive stance as in being an aggressor versus the Peshmerga, this is why he is calling for joint Kurdish-ISF military administration of Kirkuk and Nineveh plains where Baghdad has the final authority. This is fully legal under Iraqi law as those area's fall outside of KRG jurisdiction, moving ISF troops there is also a legal move which no one could protest as Abadi is not calling for the ISF to remove the Peshmerga there but rather to station themselves there. We both know the KRG would like to meet such a move with opposition, that might make them the aggressor which would only benefit us, even if it escalates we hold more power militarily. The longer this waits, the better for us as well as we're receiving heavy arms in the near future (T-90's, CH-5 UCAV, more F-16's etc.) whist the Pesh gets nothing and is declining financially.

I think we will see ISF/PMU deployed in those area's without even military escalation, the KRG would lose too much in that situation and the Peshmerga would lose its image of being a strong capable force, they do not possess the arms, resources and experience of the ISF despite all of the propaganda.

Also Saudi told Russia that Iraq's unity is important, Russia has some thoughts about supporting the KRG for energy deals, but seems like that is out of question now as well with all important players having the same stance.

Economic siege would bring them down if Turkey truly cooperates .

اقلیم کردستان عراق نخیروان بارزانی: بغداد باید با اربیل صحبت کند، نه ایران تهران
Iraqi Kurdistan Nechirvan Barzani ( Masoud Barzani Son ) speaking to Rudaw TV ( Barzani own TV station ) : Iraq Baghdad government must talk with Erbil, to resolve issues, not Iran Tehran or Turkey

Before Any talk they must withdraw from Arab regions they occupied in Nineveh and Kirkuk .

 

[TheCamelGuy]

http://aa.com.tr/en/middle-east/army-downs-peshmerga-drone-in-northern-iraq-military-source/933826

The Iraqi army has downed a drone belonging to Kurdish Peshmerga forces -- loyal to the Erbil-based Kurdish Regional Government (KRG) -- in Iraq’s northern Nineveh province, an army officer said Thursday.

 

[yavar]

Iraqi Kurdistan MP Rizan Sheikh Delir of the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan Party Strong verbal attack on Massoud Barzani on Iraqi television for mismanagement and corruption and incresening power grab and never ending problems in Iraqi Kurdistan

 

[yavar]

Iraq PM Abbadi: Three steps before any negotiation with KRG العبادی شروط سه‌گانه برای کردستان

 

[HAIDER]

Countdown began ............ today forces are getting closer . 14 hours warning from Iraqi govt. Peshmarga evac Kirkuk ...

 

[yavar]

Iraqi Kurdistan Rudaw TV: Iran close all of border crossing ایران گذرگاه خود با کردستان عراق بیست

ایران گذرگاه رسمی خود با کردستان عراق را مسدود کرد
http://tn.ai/1546327

Iraqi Kurdistan media Rudaw TV ( Barzani TV ) : Iran close all of border crossing with Iraqi Kurdistan
Iran shuts borders with Kurdistan Region
http://www.rudaw.net/english/kurdistan/151020171