Pakistan has precedence, I will trust the Brig. level and lower to not shoot their own people...
In 1977, we had a tyrant in power who happened to be a civilian with no military background, except that he was a military dictator's portege...
When he rigged his re-election campaign massively, people came out on the street to protest. There was a massive movement demanding to redo the elections, instead this imbecile ordered the military to shoot at the protestors, some followed orders. However, three Brigadiers refused and were promptly court martialed, but their brave stance turned the tide against that tyrant.
I'm hoping the same will happen now, but the Morsi/Sissy precedence is fresher and patronage the same so at this point it's a toss up. For the future of Pakistan and the generation the risk is worth it.
My estimate is that it will be engineered for him to win 35 seats, 2013 playbook will be rolled out again.