Why Narendra Modi will never become PM

[[Bregs]]

A lot of columnists have said that though congress will lose votes they may not go to the BJP. I feel that BJP should launch a campaign asking people not to waste their votes. The people may vote for a regional party which may get 5-10 seats in the election. They will not form the govt and will have to ally with BJP or Congress. So in a sense votes to regional parties are a waste as they don't form policy at Delhi. Wherever there is no alliance with a regional Party BJP must ask people to choose between BJP and Congress.

A presidential style campaign suits the BJP

Source: http://www.defence.pk/forums/centra...aune-gamo-modi-supporter-9.html#ixzz2f4A4DERZ

For your analysis to come true BJP needs to have presence in south India, East India, and north east states

 

[Indianpatriot1]

For your analysis to come true BJP needs to have presence in south India, East India, and north east states

Now that Yedurappa supports BJP, Karnataka is assured. Prepoll with Jayalalita is also very likely.

In Bihar, Nitish may suffer but BJP may get same number of seats. So TN may be net addition.

 

[gubbi]

This article might be 2 years old but in these 2 years neither the modi has changed nor his views in majority of indian people

It has. For one, Modi was acquitted last year around this time from cases regarding the Gujarat riots. That does not mean he is innocent, but the courts found him not guilty. That changed a lot of perceptions about Modi.
Like I said, public has a very short term memory. You forgot about his acquittal.

 

[Chanakya's_Chant]

I guess the OP now feels much better after starting this thread #So much of Modi obsession....Keep burning man....no offence

Its the Indian Citizens who have to decide his fate not a crap article; all bullshit posted in the name of an "analysis" and that too two years old......

 

[gubbi]

For your analysis to come true BJP needs to have presence in south India, East India, and north east states

FYI, that is taken care by NDA - alliances with local parties.

 

[[Bregs]]

BJP needs 272 seats in Lok Sabha


272 is the number the BJP could not achieve even when there was the noise of 'Abki bari Atal Bihari' in 1998 and 1999. These were the two years when there was a BJP-led NDA government at the Centre. In 1998, the BJP fought from 388 seats and won 182 seats. A year later, riding the wave of the Kargil victory and the sympathy of losing the confidence motion in the Lok Sabha by one vote, the BJP assigned more seats to allies. The BJP contested 339 seats and again won 182 seats. Now let's talk about the last elections -- that is 2009. In it, after contesting on 433 seats, the BJP only managed 116 seats. Now the question is this, not only will Modi have to maintain this performance in the next election but also increase the numbers by one-and-a-half times. This is next to impossible.


Read more at: Not only Advani, 10 more reasons why Modi will find it hard to move to Delhi : India, News - India Today

No one wants to come along

The other hurdles in Modi becoming the PM are his image and politics. Vajpayee became the prime minister only after he found new allies in several states and made the NDA family big, very big. But in the final year of his regime, most partnerships broke down. Only Akali Dal, JD-U and the Shiv Sena have been left behind. The trouble ahead for the NDA is to again bring closer old friends. It is said that Modi has a good political relationship with Jayalalithaa. But Amma hasn't yet made her stand clear. Naveen Patnaik is also firm on his stand of Ekla Chalo (walk alone) these days. Nitish's hatred is known to all. Mamata is worried about Muslim voters in West Bengal. If we talk about some new allies, the NCP is mired in allegations of corruption. The National Conference cannot get out of the Congress lap since its region has its own politics. So when they will not be able to make partnerships, will comments, shares and likes on Facebook make Modi the PM?


Read more at: http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/10-reasons-why-narendra-modi-can-never-become-pm/1/278913.html

 

[Jade]

If BJP wins around 200 seats, Modi is the PM. BJP already decided that Modi will be the PM if BJP comes into power. UP is the Key for BJP's and Modi's fortunes.

 

[[Bregs]]

It has. For one, Modi was acquitted last year around this time from cases regarding the Gujarat riots. That does not mean he is innocent, but the courts found him not guilty. That changed a lot of perceptions about Modi.
Like I said, public has a very short term memory. You forgot about his acquittal.

Bro riots is not the only reason that may be the last in public memories now after some convictions, there are many other issues e.g this one

The party only gets a zero in the south

BJP loves the word 'south'. In ideological debates, it is called a south-leaning party or a right-wing party. But nothing is right for the BJP in the country's south. We saw the debacle in Karnataka. In Andhra Pradesh, a grassroots leader like Bandaru Dattatreya was sidelined to make way for Venkaiah Naidu, a leader with the Delhi stamp. It lost an ally like the Telugu Desam. Whenever it found some ground in Tamil Nadu, it was on partnerships. For now, the party is empty-handed in the state. Due to the blank slate in the south, the party will not be able to have a pan-India presence allowing it to knock on the doors of 7 Race Course Road even if it does well in the north.


Read more at: Not only Advani, 10 more reasons why Modi will find it hard to move to Delhi : India, News - India Today

Party has no answers in Uttar Pradesh

The BJP began sinking in Uttar Pradesh after 1998. Kalyan Singh was the chief minister and Rajnath Singh was busy sowing every possible thorn in his path. Kalyan Singh was so ostracised that after a year, he began plotting the defeat of the party while being the chief minister! As a result, the party's 57 MPs were reduced to 29. Kalyan Singh was expelled from the party and after Ramprakash Gupta, Rajnath became CM. He made a lot of announcements, a lot of promises but the party's Assembly seats in UP were reduced to 88. Rajnath came to the centre as minister and in 2004, BJP's condition deteriorated further. The situation now is such that the party is desperate to cross 10 seats in UP. A party that has the most Lok Sabha seats in UP used to claim that they ran the country. But the BJP is still in a bad shape in UP. Here, it is filled with spent leaders for whom it will be enough if they retain their seats. All of them are busy maneouvring with each other. In this scenario, if there is no answer in the BJP to politics in Uttar Pradesh, then the Delhi Durbar will just remain a dream.


Read more at: http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/10-reasons-why-narendra-modi-can-never-become-pm/1/278913.html

If BJP wins around 200 seats, Modi is the PM. BJP already decided that Modi will be the PM if BJP comes into power. UP is the Key for BJP's and Modi's fortunes.

With 72 seats short other candidates may emerge like BJP Pappu Gadkari or RAJNATH SINGH

 

[[Bregs]]

Has he won anything outside Gujarat? Not a single state ?

Narendra Modi is the lion of Gujarat. Not only his supporters, we also believe this. After all, winning three Assembly elections on the trot is not a joke. But what about outside the state? Has the BJP been able to come to power in any other state using the Modi name? Will it be able to do so in the future? There is no answer to this. If we talk about the upcoming elections, in Rajasthan, the BJP is not dependent on Modi but Vasundhara. The party high command has given her a free hand and she would not like any interference. Shivraj too does not think of himself any less than Modi. Raman Singh too has been the CM since the time Modi became one. Delhi is the only state where Modi can openly play his cards. But the Aam Admi Party is here to spoil the game. This was the story of Assembly elections. In Lok Sabha elections, Modi will have a tougher task. Those projecting Modi for PM should answer if the Gujarat CM has come up with any strategy for Lok Sabha polls and what did it result in.


Read more at: Not only Advani, 10 more reasons why Modi will find it hard to move to Delhi : India, News - India Today

 

[[Bregs]]

Coalitions and policies won't work with one-man show


Modi supporters will say the entire analysis is negative and won't concede. Ok, let's accept one of the contentions and assume that Modi will bring gains to the BJP, gather allies and get to the seat of power. Now the question is that after coming to power, it is even more difficult to run a government with partners. Vajpayee learnt these lessons after stumbling twice. In 1996, after taking oath, he couldn't manage allies and had to resign in 13 days. In 1998, he managed allies and the government ran for 13 months. Then Subramanian Swamy's tea party happened where Amma met Sonia and the pawns were scattered. After this, the party could not manage the numbers and fell short by one vote in the no-confidence motion. These were the lessons Vajpayee remembered in 1999 and despite all the difficulties, his flexible political stance succeeded and allies could not engineer another no-confidence motion. But Modi is a one-man show; he is stiff, not flexible. When he could not match steps with people in his own party, how will he shepherd allies who keep changing as dictated by regional politics?


Read more at: Not only Advani, 10 more reasons why Modi will find it hard to move to Delhi : India, News - India Today

 

[SarthakGanguly]

He may be anything...but he is damn smart bro

IMO he won't mind becoming a saint. I believe he is the only good leader to lead India.

Coalitions and policies won't work with one-man show


Modi supporters will say the entire analysis is negative and won't concede. Ok, let's accept one of the contentions and assume that Modi will bring gains to the BJP, gather allies and get to the seat of power. Now the question is that after coming to power, it is even more difficult to run a government with partners. Vajpayee learnt these lessons after stumbling twice. In 1996, after taking oath, he couldn't manage allies and had to resign in 13 days. In 1998, he managed allies and the government ran for 13 months. Then Subramanian Swamy's tea party happened where Amma met Sonia and the pawns were scattered. After this, the party could not manage the numbers and fell short by one vote in the no-confidence motion. These were the lessons Vajpayee remembered in 1999 and despite all the difficulties, his flexible political stance succeeded and allies could not engineer another no-confidence motion. But Modi is a one-man show; he is stiff, not flexible. When he could not match steps with people in his own party, how will he shepherd allies who keep changing as dictated by regional politics?


Read more at: Not only Advani, 10 more reasons why Modi will find it hard to move to Delhi : India, News - India Today

 

[MilSpec]

I dont think it has been Narendra Modi whose performance in gujrat has been so exceptional that he is touted to be the next PM. More likely it is utter failure of rest of the political parties, especially congress's obsession with Gandhi family. Another catalyst has been manmohan singh's extreme indifference towards the political process in india which has led to the craving for a swashbuckling savior for the issues that have plagued the nation.

Narendra modi looks as a good candidate because everyone else in the lineup is extremely pathetic, even a maruti 800 looks good when parked among hundreds of mangled rickshaws, but lets not tout the maruti to be a bmw 7 series.

Modi has his drawbacks, and yes his role in gujrat could have been proactive in avoiding the magnitude of damage during the riots, but even with that on his record, his outlook in general has been positive.

The main reasons for his elevation to the top post has been the following leaders and parties:

BJP candidates:

Sushma Swaraj: Highly articulated and highly skilled, but cannot keep emotions in control, stayed in delhi and national politics creating a void in her public base

Arun jaitley: No public base, remained in the confines of being a legislator and never manned up to stand up against advani

Advani: confused ideology, never stepped out of Vajpayee ji's shadows

Congress:

Rahul gandhi- for being a joke

Sharad Pawar: For facilitating extreme corruption instead of good governance.

Mamta Banerjee : For showing the rest of the country how horrible a leader can be

Sonia Gandhi/Manmohan singh: For showing the rest of the country what institutional inaction coupled with corruption can do to the nation.

mayawati, Mulayam singh yaday and son: For being a constant deterrence for the rest of the country as a reminder of what it might become if such $hitty leadership is ever elected...

now among these leaders, Isn't it obvious why Narendra Modi looks good.......

 

[Splurgenxs]

ok a realistic prediction, BJP get 160+seats Advani becomes PM
200+ Modi.

Now no more shitty threads plz.

 

[[Bregs]]

He may be anything...but he is damn smart bro

IMO he won't mind becoming a saint. I believe he is the only good leader to lead India.

Lol if its good for India as a whole then all the best to you

ok a realistic prediction, BJP get 160+seats Advani becomes PM
200+ Modi.

Now no more shitty threads plz.

well after 200 plus it would be comparatively easier to have allies but still not an simple task and this time third front threat is real which won't be good for India because both Cong n BJP have let voters down since last many years and regional parties are gaining at these 2 parties expense

 

[SarthakGanguly]

Trust me he is. India not only tolerates but also cherishes the differences. Ok, at least tries to
Given a chance I will pull [MENTION=148509][Bregs][/MENTION] 's legs(literally ) but in International forums, inspite of all differences - we are bhai bhai

You are not a 'true' Indian. If you were 'Indian enough', you wouldn't speak against the 'avatara' sri modiji.