VCheng
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Pakistani army is not only the security guarantee of Pakistan, there are also other Muslim nations that borrow expertise and manpower from Pakistan; some of them very influential when it comes to fossil fuels weapon.
If US attacks Pakistan, it will definitely involve India and that will definitely involve other regional nations; that's surely MAD.
If US occupies Pakistan, then China will be encircled from all sides by US allies, i.e. Afghanistan, Pakistan, India, South Korea, Japan which could involve in active conflict with China and other nations like Phillipines, Vietnam, Myanmar which have or are leaning towards US. US could block all of China's Middle Eastern Oil Supply or Shipping lines at will. Directly or indirectly, this makes China as Pakistan's ally. After all, there is a reason some Chinese diplomat has said that Pakistan is China's Israel. China does have a policy to avoid direct confrontation but there are other ways to fight a war.
In their heart of hearts, they know what a nuclear weapon is; they know where it can strike and it does not need to be launched by a cruise missile or a fighter plane to hit them or their allies; their are other ways, untraceable, unthinkable.
Lastly, when the Nation of Pakistan is under attack what do you guys think the people controlling the Nukes will be thinking?
Will they be thinking: Oh we can't do anything at all,
or
Will it be: This is the time we have been preparing for.
Desperate circumstances call for desperate measures.
Which video game is this that you are playing, pray tell?
Such scenarios have nothing to do with real life.