dray
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Yah. Will TMC win?
Most probably yes, though CPM has a fair chance if they go for an alliance with Congress, BJP was never serious about it.
In terms of absolute vote share, TMC will get at least 35% to 40% votes, CPM will get some 25% votes, might also reach 30% (from BJP's 2014 share), BJP will get roughly 10% votes, 12% max, and Congress will get another 10%-12% if they go for an alliance with either CPM or TMC and manages to get decent seat share, 6%-8% if they go alone. These are my rough estimates. @Darmashkian
One caveat, election commission need to be very strict and centre must give sufficient paramilitary forces, otherwise TMC is rigging its way to power.