GURU DUTT
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well given that you think there will onli be two MIG29K (owt of six) for continuous patrol6 Mig 29K versus and escort of at least 5 JF-17, leaving the MPA's unchallenged. Or divide up, but this gives that JF17 package better odds.
18 Migs out doing something else may also be land-strike, or long range missile with buddy-buddy refuelling.
And all this is assuming just the basic package of 2 MPA and 10 JF-17.... (of which there are more)
We can debate the outcome here endlessly but the point is ... under the right conditions, the odds aren't always overwhelmingly against the strike package or invariably in favor if the Indian force.
Not counting luck, that is.
Maybe, maybe not.
6 migs means a continuous patrol of just 2 aircraft ....
Mikoyan MiG-29K - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The Zhuk-ME is a development of the N010 Zhuk radar, introducing functions such as terrain mapping and following. The radar, weighing 220 kilograms (490 lb), features improved signal processing and a detection range of up to 120 km vs a 5 m2 RCS target for the export variant. In the air targeting mode, up to 10 targets can be tracked and 4 targets engaged simultaneously
CAC/PAC JF-17 Thunder - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
KLJ-7 Radar - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Range75km for 3m2 RCS, 130km for 5m2 RCS
so tell me how will say if ..."if" PAF manages to allot 1 squad 20 JF 17s to attack the indian CBG they will be well picked up by indian radars as soon as they leave there bases and tracked all the while thus simontainousli waerning the CBG abut them
il put my money on 2 MIG 29s with 6 X BVRs(mix of Alamo/Adder & navotar K-100) & 2 VWRs (python 5)in air to air combat mode can take care of a bunch of JF17s and hold them till the other 4 MIG 29Ks join the party as MIGs will have range advantage deu to more feul & better ship based and K 31 heli AWACS radar backup where as since CBG will remain at least 500 KM away from the pakistani cost line there JF17s will be carrying more feul than missiles as they are short legged and will be fighting away from home withowt the "AWACS cover" so they become an easy target for owr MIG 29Ks as Indian land based radars will be monitarring them aswell
so my point is a bunch(6-10) of JF17s getting any where near (200KMs) indian CBG is 2/100