VCheng
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So we are in agreement then that there will be no such thing as a 'quick and effective war', and any war with Pakistan will likely be even more prolonged than the Afghan war.
If needed, there will be a quick and effective initial war phase, followed by a managed low grade civil war that destroys the very fabric of society. Please look to Iraq as an example, and imagine that being applied to Pakistan, with several Abu Ghraibs and Fallujahs thrown in for good measure.
Depends on how quickly the oil infrastructure will be restored - it was certainly not restored very quickly in Iraq - the price spike and shortage could possibly last years, and that is more than enough time to wreak havoc on the economies and average consumer. And while the US may, in all its irrationality, find it fit to make its economy and citizens suffer over 'strategic domination globally', Europe and Asia certainly have no desire for it.
I suppose we could agree to disagree on this for now. Even if Pakistan managed to slip out a nuclear missile (or several) the recovery in production would be relatively quick.