Anyways from a source on WAB, they are unnamed, yet many credible posters that are both active and retired, is that components failed on the drone.
Component failure should be the first suspect. But that line of logical thinking is obviously discarded here.
Now, I have bold the above of which interest me, with regards to "safe harbor". I would draw, that its quite a distinction between INS programmable guidance of returning to base, but it's quite another of completely autonomous landing at a Iranian Air Base.
True. But what I was talking about was in general principle.
Lost UAV likely malfunctioned, analysts say - Air Force News | News from Afghanistan & Iraq - Air Force Times
The RQ-4 Global Hawk has a similar built-in automatic feature to find and land at a divert airfield if the link is lost. The lost link, airfield diversion issue and the inability of UAVs to avoid other aircraft traffic are bones of contention between the Air Force and the Federal Aviation Administration.
Obviously, we are looking at a 'lost' drone in 'friendly' territory here. But in the case of Iran, we can be reasonably assured that planners have taken into consideration that in flying so close to the Iranian border, be it from Iraq or Afghanistan, given how we have lost contact with these drones in the past, procedures were installed in the event such lost of control do occur, and that it would questionable as to why we would program a drone to land at an Iranian airfield instead of just severing all flight controls and let the drone crash. Am not talking about the physical destruction of flight control mechanism but the discontinuation of active flight controls monitoring and guidance.
RQ-4 Global Hawk Crash At China Lake - YouTube
Assuming the Iranian displayed model is the real thing, the reason why the drone seems remarkably intact is because the crash manner just happened to be fortunate enough for the drone, in other words, sheer luck for the Iranians. The damages were not complete, hence we see all the patches in the Iranian video.
I am unaware of the sensors on the aircraft, and which is highly classified, and unless you have a source or are you in the know all of that is complete speculation.
No, I am not.
If we are discussing the probability, then it's probable that it does have some sort of landing mechanism involved if it's unable to return to base such as a glide slope. However, it would need some sort of terrain mapping as it wouldn't run into a mountain and seek out the flattest ground. In which case, if it's programmed with an Inertial navigation system (INS) then why didn't it return? And why did it land elsewhere? Those are questions to ask, probably sensors picked up and the fuel was to low, hence landing in Iran. However landing at an Iranian base, I do not see that as probable. It would neither be programmed in INS to land there nor would it be AI in the drone its self. The programing of the drone I would think would be limited to landing only on flat ground not an air base as it wouldn't be programmed.
Low fuel or 'bingo fuel' is probably the best explanation here.
1- The US was flying the drone on the Afghan side. The US lost contact/control with the drone and somehow eventually it drifted/flew into Iranian airspace. Here is where we have to wonder: If contact was lost while the drone was still in Afghan airspace, and if the drone is programmed with the options of either entering an orbit or RTB, then how or what made it flew into Iranian airspace in the first place?
2- The US was flying the drone out of the Afghan side and crossed into Iranian airspace. The US lost contact/control of the drone sometime inside Iranian airspace. The questions are: Did the drone entered an orbit while both drone and controllers worked to reestablish contact? If yes, then eventually it would run out of fuel and crash. Did the drone fell back on its programming and begin to RTB? If yes, then it does not explain why did the drone crash because the planners would not have taken the drone so deep into Iranian territory as to violate 'bingo fuel', whether contact/control was lost or not.
The problem here is that we simply do not know sufficient details, not all details, just sufficient ones, and I doubt the US is going to 'fess up any more than what is already in the press.
Anyhow, from a source on another board, its possible components failed.
Most people here are far more interested in giving US a black eye than they are about learning new things.