So does that mean when Erdogan banned twitter, he knew what he was doing. It was not a panic attack.
I dont know much of Turkish society but I know there are secularists (who are called Kemalists, I think, please correct me if I m wrong) and more conservative groups in Turkey. Its the conservative base that supports Erdogan.
If twitter was banned in Turkey and still is banned there, there might be small percentage of users to make any significant impact on Erdogan's political campaign.
I also believe the secularists are in high and influential positions in Turkey. They are opinion makers. So being outside, you only hear Erdogan bashing, the stories of alleged corruption but not much of what Turkey has achieved under his rule.
This is just an observation from someone who has snapshot of Turkish society and politics from reading newspaper articles and reports.