It really doesn't matter... the point you gave are already in jeopardy... Whatever TR goes full War in Syria or not...
- About your Economy... Let's be honest... With a potential of 6-7Mil refugees your economy will be stressed...
- Gas/ Oil? Well, better forget about it... Every Nation/entity who wish you to get out of MED...will take Syria exemple as a fact that TR can be "pushed away" If they get the right backing... ie Russia/US...
- Military projects? With a weaker Economy (bc of Refugees and Internal/External Stress) who will pay for that as a priority? And who will buy them?
That's just a Simple vision of the consequences of such decision... I can still go on and on about consequences... Remember TR will lose whatever she worked for on the International and National maiden in the last Decades...
Already said, previously... Whatever Choice TR goes with... She will lose big...
Now, do not take my words, as TR SHOULD do X or Y or that X or Y is a better solution... It's ultimately the choice of you guys...whatever path you wish to take... BUT never EVER think that the road in the coming decades gonna be a "formality" or even similar to the "vision" that many right now believe in...