Top 5 Reasons To Stay Away From Pakistan

[RiazHaq]

Haq's Musings: Top 5 Reasons To Stay The $#%@ Away From Pakistan

Guest Post
by Monis Rehman, CEO of Rozee.pk
Based on Presentation at TIECON 2015 in Karachi

#5: Pakistan is the World’s most dangerous country

You are 50 times more likely to be murdered in St. Louis than killed in a terrorist attack in Pakistan

You are 10 times more likely to be killed in a car accident in the US than killed in a terrorist attack in Pakistan

*** 75% of VC funded startups fail - worried about 0.0009%? Really? ***

#4: Pakistan is small market with little purchasing power

■ 190 Million People

○ World’s 6th most populous country

■ (PPP) of $835 Billion in 2013

○ World’s 26th largest GDP ○ Higher than Netherlands, Malaysia and UAE

■ 54% of Population is youth

○ Rapidly growing middle class consumers

○ Motorcycle sales increased 4X over last 10 yrs

■ 37M people with GDP per capita > $12,200

○ Comparable to South Africa and China

#3: Pakistani economy is failing

■ Retail Sector is BOOOOMING

○ Clothing, electronics, food, healthcare, FMCG, automotive

○ GDP growth rate does not reflect market

■ Real Estate Prices are doubling

○ 50% to 100% growth quite common in USD terms

○ Still undervalued compared to India

■ KSE World’s 2nd Best Performing stock market in 2013

#2: Pakistan lacks scalable payment mechanisms

Rapid emergence of branchless products

○ UBL Omni, EasyPaisa, Mobicash, TimePey

○ Bank Alfalah, JS Bank, Others

■ IBFT Web Banking Huge Success

○ Secure account to account transfer across all banks

○ Online APIs

■ COD Logistics Providers

○ TCS, BlueEx, Leopard

○ Entrepreneurs rushing to fill this space

#1: Pakistan is not online

30 Million Internet Users

○ Growing to 65 Million over next 5 years

○ Larger than UK, Australia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia

■ 10 Million 3G Users

○ 15 Million smart phones

Related Links:

Haq's Musings

Major Tipping Point: Pakistan Middle Class Grows to 55% Of Population

E-Commerce Growth in Pakistan

Pakistan's Official GDP Figures Ignore Booming FMCG Sector

Musharraf Accelerated Human and Economic Development in Pakistan

Pakistan's Growing Middle Class
Pakistan's GDP Grossly Under-estimated; Shares Highly Undervalued
Fast Moving Consumer Goods Sector in Pakistan

3G-4G Roll-out in Pakistan
Pakistan Government Deploys Mobile Apps
Telecom and Media Boom in Pakistan
Mobile Money Revolution in Pakistan


Haq's Musings: Top 5 Reasons To Stay The $#%@ Away From Pakistan

 

[That Guy]

Informative, as always.

 

[RiazHaq]

There's hope to solve the energy crisis with China offering to build Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline:

China will build a pipeline to bring natural gas from Iran to Pakistan to help address Pakistan’s acute energy shortage, under a deal to be signed during the Chinese president’s visit to Islamabad this month, Pakistani officials said.

The arrival of President Xi Jinping is expected to showcase China’s commitment to infrastructure development in ally Pakistan, at a time when few other countries are willing to make major investments in cash-strapped, terrorism-plagued, Pakistan.

The pipeline would amount to an early benefit for both Pakistan and Iran from the framework agreement reached earlier this month between Tehran and the U.S. and other world powers to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons. The U.S. had previously threatened Pakistan with sanctions if it went ahead with the project.

ENLARGE
Dubbed the “Peace Pipeline,” the project will further bolster improving ties between Pakistan and Iran, which had been uneasy neighbors for decades as a result of Pakistan’s ties to Iran’s long-term adversaries, Saudi Arabia and the U.S.

“We’re building it,” Pakistani Petroleum Minister Shahid Khaqan Abbasi told The Wall Street Journal, referring to the pipeline. “The process has started.”

The pipeline will bring much-needed gas to Pakistan, which suffers from a crippling electricity deficit because of a shortage of fuel for its power-generation plants. Pakistan has been negotiating for months behind the scenes for China to build the Pakistani portion of the pipeline, which will cost up to $2 billion.

Tehran says that its 560-mile (900-kilometer) part of the pipeline from an Iranian gas field is complete. Iran has long pressed Pakistan to build its half of the scheme.

Pakistan hasn’t begun construction, however, in light of threatened sanctions from the U.S. for trading with Iran. Islamabad had been trying to work around the sanctions by asking the Chinese to construct the pipeline but not yet connect it to the Iranian portion. The prospect of an Iran nuclear agreement, which would ease the sanctions in stages once the deal is completed, has given Islamabad further impetus to clear the project. Among the first restrictions to be lifted, according to the framework accord, would be prohibitions on Iranian energy exports.

“This [Iran nuclear agreement] will help us in getting a few things which were coming into the way of the Iran-Pakistan gas pipeline to be cleared and we will move forward,” Pakistan’s ambassador to Iran, Noor Muhammad Jadmani, said Sunday in Tehran, according a report on IRNA, the official Iranian news agency.

Pakistan is negotiating with China Petroleum Pipeline Bureau, a subsidiary of Chinese energy giant China National Petroleum Corporation, to build 435 miles (700 kilometers) of pipeline from the western Pakistani port of Gwadar to Nawabshah in the southern province of Sindh, where it will connect to Pakistan’s existing gas-distribution pipeline network.

China Petroleum Pipeline Bureau referred questions to CNPC, which didn’t respond to a request for comment.

The cost would be $1.5 billion to $1.8 billion for the pipeline, or $2 billion if an optional Liquefied Natural Gas terminal at Gwadar is included in the scheme. Under the deal, 85% of the financing will be provided by a Chinese loan, with Pakistan coming up with the rest.

The remaining 50 miles (80 kilometers), from Gwadar to the Iranian border, will be built by Pakistan. The pipeline, which would take two years to build, would eventually supply Pakistan with enough gas to fuel 4,500 megawatts of electricity generation—almost as much as the country’s entire current electricity shortfall.

The pipeline would give Iran a market to its east for its gas. The pipeline scheme, conceived in 1995, originally was supposed to extend to India. Tehran blames U.S. pressure for India dropping out in 2009.

Islamabad believes the Iranian gas is the cheapest and simplest energy supply option for Pakistan. Pakistan will also start to take liquefied natural gas from Qatar, and it remains in protracted multicountry negotiations over a pipeline that would bring gas from Turkmenistan through Afghanistan to supply Pakistan and India. Washington had long lobbied Pakistan to go for the Turkmenistan pipeline instead of the Iranian one. There was no immediate comment from the U.S. embassy in Islamabad on whether Washington had now changed its view on the Iran pipeline.

The Chinese president’s visit, which has been postponed at least twice, is now expected on or around April 19.

Pakistan has had a close strategic alliance with China for decades—aimed mostly against common foe India—but now Beijing is seeking to add an economic dimension to the relationship. Islamabad and Beijing plan an “economic corridor” linking the Pakistani port of Gwadar, which is under Chinese management, to southwestern China with road and rail connections. The highly ambitious program, which also includes power-generation projects, carries a price tag of some $40 billion. Unveiling agreements and details for the economic corridor will form a center piece of Mr. Xi’s visit.

The Iran pipeline isn't part of the economic corridor but it will be separately fast-tracked, Pakistani officials said.

“The Chinese have an expertise, a willingness to come here, and also work in areas which are not considered to be very safe,” said Hamayoun Khan, director of the Pakistan Council on China, an independent think tank based in Islamabad.

China to Build Pipeline From Iran to Pakistan - WSJ

 

[Psychic]

RiazHaq should be made the propaganda minister of pakistan..
ISIS should report to him, all media (print & electronic) should take directions from him...
Only then the fortunes of pakkistan will change...
I vote for Riaz..

You got a well deserved negative rating.

 

[Viper0011.]

#4: Pakistan is small market with little purchasing power

■ 190 Million People

○ World’s 6th most populous country

■ (PPP) of $835 Billion in 2013

○ World’s 26th largest GDP ○ Higher than Netherlands, Malaysia and UAE

■ 54% of Population is youth

○ Rapidly growing middle class consumers

■ 37M people with GDP per capita > $12,200

○ Comparable to South Africa and China

#3: Pakistani economy is failing

■ Retail Sector is BOOOOMING

○ Clothing, electronics, food, healthcare, FMCG, automotive

○ GDP growth rate does not reflect market

■ Real Estate Prices are doubling

○ 50% to 100% growth quite common in USD terms

○ Still undervalued compared to India

■ KSE World’s 2nd Best Performing stock market in 2013

#2: Pakistan lacks scalable payment mechanisms

Rapid emergence of branchless products

○ UBL Omni, EasyPaisa, Mobicash, TimePey

○ Online APIs

■ COD Logistics Providers

○ TCS, BlueEx, Leopard

○ Entrepreneurs rushing to fill this space

#1: Pakistan is not online

30 Million Internet Users

○ Growing to 65 Million over next 5 years

○ Larger than UK, Australia, South Africa, Saudi Arabia

■ 10 Million 3G Users

○ 15 Million smart phones

Related Links:

I can't give out a positive rating, otherwise, I'd give you one. By the way, you forgot to add two major factors:
1) Political and Financial Stability:
- Pakistan's economic indicators by the IMF, WB, AIIB and other major banks are solid Positive. The current has savings account (cash reserves), currently at $ 16.5 billion. By the end of this year, these will be at $ 22-23 Billion. By the end of 2016, Pakistan's savings account should have 30-35 Billion in it. By the end of 2017, analysts predict the government will have over $ 45 billion cash reserves!!! These foretasts till date (since the current government took office), have come out true, the increase is projected in terms of Foreign Investments, Large Project Completion and Associated Jobs / Tax collection, etc.
- Many different organizations such as Moodies, the WB, Bloomberg have put Pakistan as a STABLE country.
- Pakistan's stock market has almost doubled in volume, bringing in about $ 20 billion more investments within the past 2.5 years.
- Pakistan's stock market was listed No: 3, most profitable markets by Bloomberg in 2014, within a list of top 20 high growth stock markets.
- The government has made sure there is political stability and they've dealt with many challenges, without losing focus on the economy and economic growth.

2) Return on Investment:
- Pakistan's market currently provides a default return of investment around 30%. The government allows FULL transfer of Foreign Investment profit back to the original country, something which happens rarely.
- Ant larger deals requiring more than $ 10 million rupees, have Transparency International involved for auditing to protect the investor's revenue. The government guarantees the investment as well, in terms of refunding large investments to investors if serious corruption was to be found and money lost.

All in all, Pakistan is one of the faster growing economies along with BRIC countries. Pakistan should make it to the top 20 fastest growing economies by 2020. Granted the political stability and the religious tolerance remains intact.

 

[Rajput_Pakistani]

Why compare car accidental death rate in US to death caused by terrorist attack in Pakistan? They are not the same. Why not compare the two on same parameter like terrorist attacks or road accident?

Should i compare rape rating of your country to USA?
You will start crying.........

 

[ito]

Good analysis

 

[Ryuzaki]

■ 37M people with GDP per capita > $12,200

○ Comparable to South Africa and China

China?Are you sure?

 

[protest]

Should i compare rape rating of your country to USA?
You will start crying.........

Please you do that. We'll see who starts cry first.

 

[livingdead]

I thought TiE is india specific organization.

 

[Shamain]

Shamain nay tau pehlay hee kaha tha shamain's Pakistan is awesomest.

Translation for mastankhan bahi :
Hi,
Shamain had already said shamain's Pakistan is the awesomest.
Thankyou.
shamain takes a bow and waves hand at all fans of Pakistan.
Thank you thankyou

 

[definitelynotIndian]

Should i compare rape rating of your country to USA?
You will start crying.........

Actually I wont so if you want to then go ahead. By the way I posted to Riaq Haq as he tried to claim Pakistan has no problem of terrorism by comparing terrorism related deaths in Pakistan to road accident deaths in USA.

■ 37M people with GDP per capita > $12,200

○ Comparable to South Africa and China

China?Are you sure?

Riaz Haq puts out numbers as he desires. Then justify them with figures from his own blog.

 

[Ryuzaki]

Should i compare rape rating of your country to USA?
You will start crying.........

Compare American stats for Rape and other crimes against India's.I dare you.

 

[protest]

■ 37M people with GDP per capita > $12,200

○ Comparable to South Africa and China

China?Are you sure?

37 million at 12200? I calculated, even assuming Pakistan population to be 190 million, per capita should have been $2375 ignoring the rest 153 million people. Only Riaz can pull it off.

 

[Rajput_Pakistani]

Please you do that. We'll see who starts cry first.

Stop poking your filthy noses in a thread, which has nothing to do with your country.
That was the message, if you cant read between the words.