Thinking About Vietnam

[below_freezing]

Vietnam is currently in the middle of its own reform and development: where we were in 1980's.

A collapsed Vietnam is not in China's interest; a Vietnam in low level equilibrium is. However, the recent mass inflation in Vietnam could influence the stability of the Vietnamese government and the status of China's investments in the country.

We have had similar situations occur in 1980's.

Should we utilize this rare opportunity to persuade the Vietnam to be more diplomatic in issues regarding South Sea and investments?

 

[CardSharp]

The current crisis is not really an opportunity, but continued investment and better connections with the Chinese diaspora in a pattern similar to that of the rest of SEA would ensure Chinese interests and better relations.

 

[cross1993]

Vietnam afraid of China, It does not trust us.

 

[CardSharp]

It does not trust us.

With good reason considering history.

 

[bubli]

yes you are right

---------- Post added at 05:15 PM ---------- Previous post was at 05:14 PM ----------

Vietnam afraid of China, It does not trust us.

china is superpower now

 

[Chinese-Dragon]

china is superpower now

No, we are not a superpower.

 

[webber]

we should negotiate with every other country in south china sea issue but not vietnam

they broke agreements digging oil everywhere

what if explode

 

[CardSharp]

The Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV) has chosen to stay the course by selecting a Marxist ideologue as its new general secretary. Nguyen Phu Trong, a 67-year old former editor-in-chief of the Communist Review and current chairman of the communist-controlled National Assembly, was a compromise choice of the just-concluded 11th National Congress.

To be sure, new CPV general secretary Trong does have a support base. Prior to chairing the National Assembly, he was party boss of Hanoi and an enforcer of Marxist thought. According to the Asahi Shimbun, a Japanese daily with diplomatic contacts, Trong also has close ties to China. An early indicator of this pivotal relationship will be how soon Trong travels to Beijing and how he handles the sensitive topic of territorial disputes in the South China Sea.

From Asia Times Online :: Southeast Asia news and business from Indonesia, Philippines, Thailand, Malaysia and Vietnam

 

[Time Assassin]

I think VeitNam has done extronadry well since recovering from it's war. It ecomonic continues to grow and it is expanind it's businesses in South-East Asia. i think it's also a Next-11 country im not sure tho

 

[ao333]

Gambit, please contribute.

 

[cross1993]

I would like to isolate and suppress the Vietnamese economy.
Waiting for the collapse of the Vietnamese Government, then we can recover the Nansha Islands.

 

[HongWu]

Vietnam is strategically weak because it has no Soviet Union to ally with and it can't ally with USA without some kind of colored revolution.

The first order of business for China is to make sure Vietnam does not acquire nuclear weapons and does not bring USA into South China Sea dispute. This is why China reacted very strongly when Vietnam attempted this in 2010. It successfully intimidated the Vietnamese into line.

In my opinion there is no way to peacefully convince Vietnam to settle the Spratly Islands dispute on China's terms. You can do business, trade and invest in Vietnam all you like, but at the end of the day Vietnamese will not give an inch to China. If you are really serious about getting Nansha Islands back, a short, decisive naval war is the only way.

Fortunately, this dispute can be left alone for a while because Vietnam is not getting any stronger (if anything, it is getting weaker) while China is getting stronger day-by-day. China can make a diplomatic play to strengthen its position in the South China Sea while improving its navy and increase coast guard patrols.

China's biggest enemies right now are India and Japan. If China can defeat both of them, USA will reluctantly accept Chinese rule over East Asia and all the other little countries in Asia will automatically fall into line.

 

[cityhunterhf]

Anyhow, China have to bit it. Just give china a good reason.

 

[ViXuyen]

I would like to isolate and suppress the Vietnamese economy.
Waiting for the collapse of the Vietnamese Government, then we can recover the Nansha Islands.

How are you going to isolate and suppress the Vietnamese economy when we run a trade deficit against you guys?

 

[ChineseTiger1986]

China still better have Vietcong over the Pro-West government run over Vietnam.

Maybe China could take the opportunity to support the Pro-China groups within the Vietcong.