JamesBond
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Reform on the UNSC in terms of non veto wielding permanent members representing various communities of the world will not find many opponents. But that in itself is not a tangible benefit for the UNSC, compared to its composition currently. What you have pointed out, having more representative membership on the UNSC (without veto), is good for the world in general in that there are more nations voting on issues, but it is not a tangible benefit for the institution of the UNSC as it stands today, and certainly not a benefit for the current P5, who will have less ability to control the direction of votes on issues brought before the UNSC.
Why not? From a cost benefit POV, given the current UNSC power structure, why would they wish to include any nation that will dilute their power?
It's not a question of if they will. It's a question of if they can?
See ignoring india's concerns in a thing which India regards as sooo dear to its heart will have affect on bilateral relations with those countries as well.
The impact of such a stand-off between India and the reticent P5 members will make its way to everything. And by everything I mean:
1. trade talks (WTO)
2. Climate talks
3. Bilteral relations etc.
I don't think after 15 years when India will practically be where China is today, the P5 will be in a position to keep holding soooo much at stake. They won't be able to afford it. Simple.
The benefit to the global community, which is the premise behind UNSC reform, is to have more communities represented on the UNSC in order for their voice to be heard. India would deserve a (non veto) permanent membership by virtue of representing over a billion people, and not because of being influential, if we are to look at the pure motivations behind UNSC reform.
'Cause' is immaterial, 'Effect' is not.
India is officially refusing the idea of permanent membership without veto, and that is a position that India needs to change, since it is regressive.
When the moment arrives India may very well change its stance. Who knows?