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PDF THINK TANK: CONSULTANT
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M-113 or Talha is not the only factor. PA needs to modernise Artillery with brand new pieces preferably 155mm on a major level. AK-II program needs to get moving rapidly. Other MBT's like Oplot and VT-4 are being tested for induction. Funds will be used on T-129, maybe Z-10 and also AH-1Z is on the cards. A new fire and forget ATGM is required, instead of wire guided. There is a need for more light transport helicopters as old ones are due for replacement. MRAP's are required and being inducted.Basically we need to spend a lot more funds to achieve the organizational structure that you have mentioned. Haven't HIT been producing different variants of M113 APC for years? In case there is no budgetary constraints, even if it produces enough M113 to equip a single Infantry unit in one year, you can have at least 2 Mech. Brigades by 5 years. I do not know the exact allocation of manpower or funds to HIT but I take it that their main focus is on AK2 at the moment. So the production of anything else may take a back seat. It will be interesting if they can achieve all that is being asked of them.
Isn't that what the Germans did during the later part of the Second World War to beef up formations' numbers artificially. I read that this experiment was not very successful as the overall firepower of a single armoured division was greatly reduced. However, it may not be prudent to compare old WW2 tanks with modern ones. Advancement in armour technology may have allowed less modern MBTs than their old versions to do the same job. However, only pros. can tell if the current number is sufficient for any given task.
Maybe the recent trails of MBT3000 are a step in this direction.
So basically, to achieve these goals we need to ensure that we remain stable politically, our economy does not tank again and we are spared from natural disasters. Then maybe in 10 years we can get to the required/hypothesized level.
PA has a knack for using the word Ad-Hoc for new or extra formations to make up for numbers. The 36 Infantry Div and 39 Infantry Div were formed in 71 and were vastly under strength, a stint which didnt work out. GHQ does a lot of shuffling in the war by attaching units from here and there to make up new formations not only to confuse the enemy but sometimes its the need of the hour. Take this example to get an idea what GHQ will do:
1st Brigade: Punjab Regiment + Baluch Regiment + Sindh Regiment
2nd Brigade: NLI Regiment + AK Regiment + FF Regiment
Local Para-Military Forces in the area could be Janbaz Battalion,Mujahid Battalion and Maybe 2 x Rangers Company.
GHQ will shuffle them and a 3rd Regular Brigade will be formed.
1st Brigade: Punjab Regiment + Baluch Regiment + Janbaz Battalion
2nd Brigade: NLI Regiment + AK Regiment + Mujahid Battalion
3rd Brigade: Sindh Regiment + FF Regiment + 2 x Rangers Company.
...and now a 3rd Brigade will suddenly show up out of nowhere on the maps.
and how will it be used?
PA will use the Regular Regiments for attack roles and Paramilitary for defence roles so the over all efficiency and fighting levels of all unit is maintained and their roles remain the same. The Mujahid/Janbaz forces can also protect the flanks of the attacking force made up of Regular Regiments. Now this is just one of the straight forward combinations i have used. Since Mujahid/Janbaz forces are excellent in defence and Janbaz force is made up of locals of their areas know so the area very well and Rangers also know the area extensively due to constant patrolling. This makes the Recon factor strong in all brigades now.
Basically there are a lot of factors to play around with, it all depends upon circumstances, operational requirements, terrain and objectives to be achieved.
When I said that T-59's are cheapest to procure, that could make up numbers but they are not that effective and will need to be modernised still. IMHO, its best to procure more AK's, even if its the basic AK version, its still better than the T-59's and T-69's out there. An MBT cannot be back bone of the force unless its inducted in sufficient numbers. VT-4, Oplot may take time, its a good side by side procurement process, but crews will need to be trained still which will take time. AK's should be procured until T-59/T-69 sits in storage and next in line to go is T-85 III. That means another 500 or so AK's.
I have a hunch PA will make a new formation when it inducts VT-4 or Oplot, instead of replacing T-59.