The end of the deal, hopes, delusions and treasons

[mohsen]

French Ambassador to the Washington DC Gérard Araud exposed the Europeans plan for the future of JCPOA:

He wrote on his Twitter account that “it’s false to say that at the expiration of the JCPOA, Iran will be allowed to enriching uranium. Under the NPT and its additional protocol, it will have to prove, under strict monitoring, that its nuclear activities are civilian.” “As we said in 2002 that enriching uranium without a credible civilian program was illegal under the NPT, we’ll be able to react likewise in 2025 if necessary. Sanctions were imposed. Sanctions could be reimposed. There is no “sunset” after the JCPOA,” he added.


----------------------------
Meanwhile Reformists' active MP criticizes government for staying in the deal:

P.S. Nope, I don't believe his new color!

 

[Sineva]

French Ambassador to the Washington DC Gérard Araud exposed the Europeans plan for the future of JCPOA:

He wrote on his Twitter account that “it’s false to say that at the expiration of the JCPOA, Iran will be allowed to enriching uranium. Under the NPT and its additional protocol, it will have to prove, under strict monitoring, that its nuclear activities are civilian.” “As we said in 2002 that enriching uranium without a credible civilian program was illegal under the NPT, we’ll be able to react likewise in 2025 if necessary. Sanctions were imposed. Sanctions could be reimposed. There is no “sunset” after the JCPOA,” he added.


----------------------------
Meanwhile Reformists' active MP criticizes government for staying in the deal:

P.S. Nope, I don't believe his new color!

I personally dont think that the west ever seriously planned to honor the terms of the jcpoa,I think that it was seen by the western political elites as merely a way to try and slow down irans nuclear technological progress and development so as to try and buy more time in the hope of a more permanent future solution eventually presenting itself.I think that even without the chump regime the intent was always at a bare minimum to make the jcpoa and all of its restrictions permanent.
Increasingly I am of the opinion that at this point in time iran needs to seriously consider either to go nuclear or at the barest minimum to make it beyond crystal clear to the west in a way that would leave not even the slightest room for any doubt whatsoever amongst its political elites,that the continuation of the current policies,both political and economic,will lead only to a nuclear armed iran and a policy of mutual assured destruction vis a vis the west.

 

[TheImmortal]

I personally dont think that the west ever seriously planned to honor the terms of the jcpoa,I think that it was seen by the western political elites as merely a way to try and slow down irans nuclear technological progress and development so as to try and buy more time in the hope of a more permanent future solution eventually presenting itself.I think that even without the chump regime the intent was always at a bare minimum to make the jcpoa and all of its restrictions permanent.
Increasingly I am of the opinion that at this point in time iran needs to seriously consider either to go nuclear or at the barest minimum to make it beyond crystal clear to the west in a way that would leave not even the slightest room for any doubt whatsoever amongst its political elites,that the continuation of the current policies,both political and economic,will lead only to a nuclear armed iran and a policy of mutual assured destruction vis a vis the west.

All Iran needs to do is wait and the hypocrisy will be exposed.

Turkey and Saudi Arabia are persuing civilian nuclear programs, SA wants enrichment capability. If Iran waits, soon SA will have enrichment capability and any effort to say Iran CANNOT have enrichment capability will be null and void.

Second if West pressures SA (sanctions, regime change, etc) to give up enrichment capability then Iran STILL wins because the US will weaken SA and force them to accept demands.

Either way all Iran needs to do is wait, the Middle East is going nuclear and the US doesn’t have the power to put all the genies back in the lamp.

 

[Skull and Bones]

Americans do not use SWIFT they have their own system I think called American Bank code something like that.

ABAN as it is called.

 

[skyshadow]

ohh thank GOD , could not be more happy, if we paying for some thing we did not do we have to do it and start a arms race that is what they fear.


Iran says leaving nuclear treaty one of many choices after U.S. sanctions move

https://www.euronews.com/2019/04/28...y-one-of-many-choices-after-us-sanctions-move

 

[mohsen]

ohh thank GOD , could not be more happy, if we paying for some thing we did not do we have to do it and start a arms race that is what they fear.


Iran says leaving nuclear treaty one of many choices after U.S. sanctions move

https://www.euronews.com/2019/04/28...y-one-of-many-choices-after-us-sanctions-move

Zarif accepted foxnews interview, even a 5 years old kid can beat him in Poker (call his bluffs)!

 

[yavar]

 

[Sineva]

Iranian expert: four major factors can help Iran export oil

There are four major factors which will make the US sanctions imposed on Iranian oil products more difficult to execute than the sanctions imposed on crude oil, Iranian oil industry expert Hossein Asadi told Mehr News Agency, Trend reports.

According to Asadi, these are the diversity of oil markets, small volumes of cargo, low likelihood of the cargoes being tracked, and a variety of customers. These factors can help make Iran's exports of oil products much easier than its exports of crude oil.

The main problem with the crude oil export lies in the cargo volumes, as Iran can export up to 2 million barrels a day, the expert comments. "The large volumes of oil shipments allow the US to find and track them thus blocking Iran's ways of transporting crude oil," he noted.

The expert said that there are a total of 42 refineries around the world located in India, China, South Korea and other countries that accept Iranian crude oil for processing. The main bulk of the oil produced by Iran is exported from a specific location, namely the Kharg Island located in the Persian Gulf, and the only party putting oil up for sale at the global market is the International Affairs Office of the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC).

"The fact that there is only one party putting oil up for sale, only one specific geographical location where the oil is sold, and – more importantly – that the number of customers is known makes it much easier to enforce the sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil. The US keeps a close watch on the oil refineries and imposes sanctions on them when they purchase Iranian crude oil," he continued.

However, it is possible to increase the number of customers by developing the oil refining industry and processing crude oil into various chemicals including fuel, oils, bitumen and polymers, says the expert. In his words, by processing crude oil and converting it into diverse oil products, Iran can export them to various destinations in small volumes.

The expert went on to say that, provided that the oil industry develops, oil products could be exported by local companies and the export of oil products would no longer be the monopoly of NIOC. As a result, imposing sanctions on the companies will become more difficult.

"At present, Iranian crude oil is transported to specific destinations in large tankers. Therefore, it is not so difficult to track them via GPS and satellite technology," he said. "It may be possible to arrange the transportation of oil products via heavy duty trucks and pipelines, and then to export them in various small vessels." This, he believes, can make it harder for the US to track Iran's oil exports.

"The East Asian countries purchasing Iranian crude oil include India, China and South Korea. The rest are located in Southern Europe and Africa, geographically far from Iran," he said. In the meantime, by processing crude oil into various oil products, it can become easier to arrange the export to neighboring and closely located countries.

The US imposed sanctions on Iran in November 2018. The US exempted eight countries from oil sanctions imposed on Iran for six months. These countries continue to buy oil from Iran. The US announced that it will not extend the exemption period, which ends May 2, 2019.

---

https://www.azernews.az/region/149937.html

 

[aryobarzan]

Iranian expert: four major factors can help Iran export oil

There are four major factors which will make the US sanctions imposed on Iranian oil products more difficult to execute than the sanctions imposed on crude oil, Iranian oil industry expert Hossein Asadi told Mehr News Agency, Trend reports.

According to Asadi, these are the diversity of oil markets, small volumes of cargo, low likelihood of the cargoes being tracked, and a variety of customers. These factors can help make Iran's exports of oil products much easier than its exports of crude oil.

The main problem with the crude oil export lies in the cargo volumes, as Iran can export up to 2 million barrels a day, the expert comments. "The large volumes of oil shipments allow the US to find and track them thus blocking Iran's ways of transporting crude oil," he noted.

The expert said that there are a total of 42 refineries around the world located in India, China, South Korea and other countries that accept Iranian crude oil for processing. The main bulk of the oil produced by Iran is exported from a specific location, namely the Kharg Island located in the Persian Gulf, and the only party putting oil up for sale at the global market is the International Affairs Office of the National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC).

"The fact that there is only one party putting oil up for sale, only one specific geographical location where the oil is sold, and – more importantly – that the number of customers is known makes it much easier to enforce the sanctions on the sale of Iranian oil. The US keeps a close watch on the oil refineries and imposes sanctions on them when they purchase Iranian crude oil," he continued.

However, it is possible to increase the number of customers by developing the oil refining industry and processing crude oil into various chemicals including fuel, oils, bitumen and polymers, says the expert. In his words, by processing crude oil and converting it into diverse oil products, Iran can export them to various destinations in small volumes.

The expert went on to say that, provided that the oil industry develops, oil products could be exported by local companies and the export of oil products would no longer be the monopoly of NIOC. As a result, imposing sanctions on the companies will become more difficult.

"At present, Iranian crude oil is transported to specific destinations in large tankers. Therefore, it is not so difficult to track them via GPS and satellite technology," he said. "It may be possible to arrange the transportation of oil products via heavy duty trucks and pipelines, and then to export them in various small vessels." This, he believes, can make it harder for the US to track Iran's oil exports.

"The East Asian countries purchasing Iranian crude oil include India, China and South Korea. The rest are located in Southern Europe and Africa, geographically far from Iran," he said. In the meantime, by processing crude oil into various oil products, it can become easier to arrange the export to neighboring and closely located countries.

The US imposed sanctions on Iran in November 2018. The US exempted eight countries from oil sanctions imposed on Iran for six months. These countries continue to buy oil from Iran. The US announced that it will not extend the exemption period, which ends May 2, 2019.

---

https://www.azernews.az/region/149937.html

Very valid points..and add to this the extra number of jobs created and the added $$$ value that comes from selling a product rather that just crude oil..(there is a reason they call it crude).
Even an elementary school kid can recognized the benefits , however in Iran for over 100 years we have been selling our oil as a liquid and our oil ministers performance is always pegged at how much of the stuff they can ship..(I like to bang my head on the wall and cry...lol).

 

[Sineva]

The us has renewed 5 of the 7 nuclear waivers that permit key parts of the jcpoa to continue such as the redesign of arak,but has reduced the time period of these waivers to 90 days from 180.The 2 non renewed were the exchange of enriched uranium for yellowcake with russia[this always was a stupid one tho,as it would`ve simply made much more sense to have licensed vver fuel production in iran],the other waiver was the transfer and storage of heavy water in oman.This could also effect the supply of fuel to bushehr,tho ironically if it did it would`ve proved iran was right all along about needing a large civilian enrichment program because it could not rely on anyone to supply the fuel for its reactors.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/05/03/politics/us-iran-nuclear-waivers/index.html

 

[mohsen]

Iranian government issues an ultimatum to U.S.

Following the recent US sanctions against Iran and the lifting of exemptions for oil buyers, the Fars News Agency learned that the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has decided to make special decisions in response to US unilateral sanctions in the coming days.

According to the decision, if oil and bank sanctions are not removed within the next few hours, these special measures will be implemented with certainty in the framework of the JCPOA.

ایران بزودی تصمیمات جدیدی را در واکنش به تحریم‌ها عملیاتی خواهد کرد | خبرگزاری فارس

 

[Sineva]

Iranian government issues an ultimatum to U.S.

Following the recent US sanctions against Iran and the lifting of exemptions for oil buyers, the Fars News Agency learned that the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran has decided to make special decisions in response to US unilateral sanctions in the coming days.

According to the decision, if oil and bank sanctions are not removed within the next few hours, these special measures will be implemented with certainty in the framework of the JCPOA.

ایران بزودی تصمیمات جدیدی را در واکنش به تحریم‌ها عملیاتی خواهد کرد | خبرگزاری فارس

"in the framework of the JCPOA."
pretty much says it all really doesnt it?

 

[SubWater]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1125276469377236992

every body knows about paragraph 26 and 37 of Barjam.

 

[Sineva]

https://twitter.com/x/status/1125276469377236992

every body knows about paragraph 26 and 37 of Barjam.

26. The EU will refrain from re-introducing or re-imposing the sanctions that it has terminated implementing under this JCPOA, without prejudice to the dispute resolution process provided for under this JCPOA. There will be no new nuclear related UN Security Council sanctions and no new EU nuclear-related sanctions or restrictive measures. The United States will make best efforts in good faith to sustain this JCPOA and to prevent interference with the realisation of the full benefit by Iran of the sanctions lifting specified in Annex II. The U.S. Administration, acting consistent with the respective roles of the President and the Congress, will refrain from re-introducing or re-imposing the sanctions specified in Annex II that it has ceased applying under this JCPOA, without prejudice to the dispute resolution process provided for under this JCPOA. The U.S. Administration, acting consistent with the respective roles of the President and the Congress, will refrain from imposing new nuclear-related sanctions. Iran has stated that it will treat such a re-introduction or re-imposition of the sanctions specified in Annex II, or such an imposition of new nuclear-related sanctions, as grounds to cease performing its commitments under this JCPOA in whole or in part.

37. Upon receipt of the notification from the complaining participant, as described above, including a description of the good-faith efforts the participant made to exhaust the dispute resolution process specified in this JCPOA, the UN Security Council, in accordance with its procedures, shall vote on a resolution to continue the sanctions lifting. If the resolution described above has not been adopted within 30 days of the notification, then the provisions of the old UN Security Council resolutions would be re-imposed, unless the UN Security Council decides otherwise. In such event, these provisions would not apply with retroactive effect to contracts signed between any party and Iran or Iranian individuals and entities prior to the date of application, provided that the activities contemplated under and execution of such contracts are consistent with this JCPOA and the previous and current UN Security Council resolutions. The UN Security Council, expressing its intention to prevent the reapplication of the provisions if the issue giving rise to the notification is resolved within this period, intends to take into account the views of the States involved in the issue and any opinion on the issue of the Advisory Board. Iran has stated that if sanctions are reinstated in whole or in part, Iran will treat that as grounds to cease performing its commitments under this JCPOA in whole or in part.

 

[skyshadow]

Iran will be pulling back from some of its undertakings in the nuclear agreement, Iranian President Hassan Rohani is expected to announce on Wednesday, according to the Iranian students' news agency ISNA.

https://www.haaretz.com/middle-east...ccord-after-u-s-pullout-report-says-1.7209830