Taiwanese have a great instinct for self-preservation. We understand the real struggle over Taiwan is between China and the United States. The two countries should really fight it out at sea eventually (circa 2050 to 2060; battle fleet against battle fleet) and leave Taiwan alone.
Anyway, Taiwan will try to hold out for a few hours after the waves of SRBM (short-range ballistic missile) attack. After most of Taiwan's military installations lie in flames, the United States will have to decide whether it wants to join the fight.
If the United States does intercede in the battle over Taiwan then I predict China will launch over a thousand SRBMs at American bases in Japan and South Korea. The American military installations will also lie in flames.
The carrier battle groups will be kept safely over the horizon. If not, the American carrier battle groups will also lie in flames after a withering simultaneous and multi-directional bombardment from ASBMs, anti-ship missiles, sea-skimming missiles, and torpedoes.
That's it folks. The war is over. China wins in a few hours or a few days. The outcome is not in doubt. It is patently ridiculous to believe that any military power can prevent China from conquering Taiwan, which is 90 miles off China's coast.
Today's China possesses the full spectrum of modern military technologies (e.g. Type 99 MBT, WZ-10 Attack Helicopter, J-10B Vigorous Dragon, KJ-2000 AWACS, KJ-200 AEW&C, ASBM (anti-ship ballistic missile), Type 052C AESA-radar Lanzhou-class destroyer, Yuan-class diesel-electric submarines, Type 093 Shang-class nuclear attack submarines, WS-2 MLRS, etc.). Don't forget that China can mass produce far more weaponry when it moves to a war footing.
I hope the Americans don't expect Taiwanese to fight to the death. We're not crazy emperor-worshipping Japanese. No kamikazes here. After the massive SRBM bombardment, Taiwanese will sit out the war. There are only 23 million Taiwanese. If you exclude the women (50% of the population), elderly, and children, there aren't many people left.
All Taiwanese dream of owning their own company. You can print "CEO" on your name card! Being a hard-nosed political ideologue is not in the Taiwanese DNA. You can't become rich and run your own company when you're dead.
Taiwanese are too few in number and inconsequential. Try to remember who stopped us from developing nuclear weapons in the 1980s. Sometimes, it comes back to bite you in the posterior. We'll cheer for you from the sidelines. Good luck to the Americans! You'll need it.
