FairAndUnbiased
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2017: Trump takes office. My prediction was that immigration numbers after 2017 will decline (due to reduced acceptance for immigrants) and so will naturalization numbers for the corresponding later years i.e. at least 5 years later (as people become more insecure about their future in the US).I'm not debating that. I know there is 5+ years. So how is that supposedly going to shuffle that 600,000 over the last 20.
Are you going to say that nobody has applied for citizenship in the last 5 years and all of the current ones are actually from a huge pileup from before 2017 and when that stack is fullfilled the count is going to drop from the 10's of thousands to maybe just thousands.
Any particular reason you think 2017 is the big cutoff?
Let's look at some numbers from a website (I supposedly never link from)
https://www.dhs.gov/sites/default/f...2019/yearbook_immigration_statistics_2019.pdf
PERSONS OBTAINING LAWFUL PERMANENT RESIDENT STATUS BY REGION AND SELECTED COUNTRY OF LAST RESIDENCE: FISCAL YEARS 1820 TO 2019 –
China
2010 67,634
2011 83,603
2012 78,184
2013 68,410
2014 72,492
2015 70,977
2016 77,658
2017 66,479
2018 61,848
2019 60,029
So yes i see a spike in 2011 and 2016 and 2019 is low.
I would expect with Covid the numbers for 2020 and 2021 will be lower.
My original assertion was regarding the wait times, and that was proven correct by USCIS statistics and immigration lawyer guides.