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Self-driving cars will be on the roads within five years, says Ford CEO

I can think of a whole bunch of weird scenarios for autonomous cars.

You fly across the country..but you send your car a few days first...to pick you up at the airport!!

Elon Musk: Tesla cars will be able to cross US with no driver in two years | Technology | The Guardian


Model S software update allows owners to ‘summon’ car, which can drive off and park itself, but also curbs AutoPilot features for safety

Tesla’s chief executive and serial technology entrepreneur, Elon Musk, has said his company’s cars will be able to be summoned and drive autonomously across the US to pick up their owners within the next two years.

The electric car company has rolled out a new version of its Model S and Model X software which gives Tesla’s premium automobiles the ability to park in a space perpendicular to the road. They can already do parallel parking and park in a garage, including operating a garage door.

The software also allows a car’s owner to “summon” the car and have it drive out of the space to meet them, if within 3 miles of the car.

Musk said at a press conference held on Sunday night: “I actually think, and I might be slightly optimistic on this, within two years you’ll be able to summon your car from across the country.

“It’s more like remote-control parking. But this is the first little step in that direction.”

The company warned that the car is not capable of spotting every object, including bikes hanging from the ceiling of a garage, but the system should be helpful for tight-parking spots that prevent the driver from exiting the vehicle.

The update also made safety improvements to the car’s self-driving Autopilot feature, which was rolled out in October 2015, leading some to film near-misses when the system was stretched past its limits with hair-raising consequences.

New speed limits are now in place, meaning the cars will only drive at or slightly above the speed limit when using the Autopilot on residential roads and without a central reservation automatically slowing down when it enters the area. The car will also slow for corners and when an indicator is used for exiting a highway.

Musk said: “On roads without a centre divider, where there’s potential for a more serious collision, it makes sense not to go more than five miles per hour above the speed limit.”

The Model S is “probably better than humans at this point in highway driving” according to Musk.

The software update began rolling out to the company’s 60,000 vehicles, including the new Model X and Model S’s made after September 2014. Musk said he’s not aware of any accidents caused when a Tesla was driving in Autopilot mode.

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@Viny
 
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Tesla Drives Itself 61 Miles: We're Closer to Autonomous Cars Than You Think -- The Motley Fool


Car and Driver recently discovered how Tesla Motors' (NASDAQ:TSLA) Model S steers itself on a challenging 50-mile course including freeway, rural, and city driving, dubbing the car the "clear winner" among the world's top semi-autonomous capable production vehicles. But I wanted to see how Model S handles itself solely on the highway. After all, this is what Tesla's Autopilot was built for, and it's this environment in which drivers will likely be more willing to actually turn the feature on. So, I hopped in a Model S to see how far I could make it on the highway without taking control.

My experience was shocking. Here's what happened.

When a Tesla drives you
In October, electric-car maker Tesla Motors rolled out a software update to its fleet of Model S that would give vehicles with Autopilot Convenience Features enabled the ability to automatically steer and change lanes on the highway. Paired with adaptive cruise control, which was already active in Model S, the software update made it possible for Tesla vehicles to essentially drive themselves on the highway, albeit with an occasional reminder from the owner that he or she was still alert and ready to take over if needed.

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Tesla Autopilot. Image source: Tesla Motors.

Four months after Autosteer was beamed to Tesla's fleet, it was time to put the technology to the test. The goal was to head south from Monument toward Colorado City to see how far I could drive without taking control of the wheel or touching the pedals with my feet. I thought I'd be lucky to make it through the entire stretch of Colorado Springs, which includes three- and two-lane highway driving and at least one construction zone. So, I figured there would be no need to plan for anything further than Colorado City, which was about 87 miles away from my starting point.

I certainly wasn't going to take any risks on this trip. And this wasn't just because I was borrowing a fully loaded P90D Model S with a price tag well over $100,000. I was cautious because I simply wasn't sure if I trusted sensors and computers navigating for me through traffic on a route this long -- even if the weather was great and the lane markings were clear. So, you can bet I was ready to grab the wheel if the vehicle started to do something I didn't like.

But Model S handled itself like a champ.

In a 61-mile drive, which passed through several cities, including the 27-mile-long stretch of Colorado Springs, I didn't have to steer or use the pedals a single time. I even changed lanes when I normally would have -- though by a tap of the blinker each time instead of by turning the wheel.

Other cars on the road would have never guessed it wasn't a human driving. Model S slowed when slower vehicles cut in front of me, sped up when they moved, and accelerated with eerily human-like driving skills amid lane changes when passing vehicles. And it avoided off-ramps when I was in the right lane -- even when there were no markings to separate my lane from the off-ramp.

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Tesla Model S on I-25 South in Colorado Springs. Image source: Author.

All I did was adjust the cruise control speed every now and then and occasionally let the vehicle know I was alert by touching the wheel (but not with enough pressure to take control) every five minutes or so.

I ended the Autopilot experience on a narrow curve on the south end of Pueblo, Colorado. A semi truck beside me encroached my lane and I decided I didn't want to wait to see whether or not Model S would avert a collision. I grabbed the wheel.

With Model S nearly out of Pueblo and onto a long, boring stretch of highway by the time I had to grab the wheel, chances are I could have made it all the way to Colorado City if it wasn't for this interruption. Indeed, if a Tesla owner were to replicate a similar attempt with Autopilot, I wouldn't be surprised if the first interruption they experienced would be because the driver needed to exit the highway to charge.

This performance handily trumps the 29 interruptions experienced by Model S on Car and Driver's challenging route, highlighting just how well Autopilot works when used as it's intended: from highway on-ramp to highway off-ramp.

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The route and approximate distance Model S' Autopilot was enabled before I took control of the wheel. Map source: Google Maps.

Autonomous driving
After letting a Tesla drive me for 61 miles, I'm convinced autonomous production cars may come sooner than we think.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk said earlier this year he believed the company would be able to produce vehicles that could be "summoned" across the country without a driver, even stopping to charge along the way, in just two to three years. Notably, however, Musk said the feat would require a next-generation suite of sensors with more redundancies built in.

While we wait for autonomous vehicles, Tesla's semi-autonomous technology offers a preview of what's to come. And the automaker will probably just keep upping the game even with its current hardware sensor suite as it improves Autopilot and its Summon features with fleet learning technology and more over-the-air updates.
 
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This era of highly advanced electronic technology may provide certain facilities which were unimaginable some decades back.
 
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Slot based algorithms means autonomous cars won't have to stop at intersections.


A Convoy Of Autonomous Trucks Successfully Complete Journey Across Europe

 
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http://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/...deal-make-100-self-driving-minivans/83877878/

Google, Fiat ink deal to make 100 self-driving minivans

SAN FRANCISCO – Google will collaborate with Fiat Chrysler Automobiles to put its self-driving car technology into 100 Pacifica minivans, the CEOs of both companies told USA TODAY.

The vehicles will be used to turbocharge Google's seven-year-old autonomous car program. For Fiat Chrysler, the agreement provides a technological crash course in what it takes to transform a standard vehicle into an autonomous one.

Google and other tech companies "are not my enemy, these are people who will help us shape the next phase of the automotive industry," Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne said by phone. Fiat shares (FCAU) gained 3% to $8.20 after USA TODAY reported on the deal late Tuesday.

The partnership represents the first time Google’s team will be sharing with a major automaker information on how to integrate some of its secretive self-driving-car technology. Its existing fleet consists of a few dozen Lexus SUVs modified by Google staffers as well as a few two-person prototypes built in-house.

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Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne says tech companies such as new partner Google are allies in the ongoing reformation of the automotive industry. (Photo: AJ Mast, AP)

The two companies don't as yet have a plan to put the self-driving technology into new Chrysler vehicles.

John Krafcik, head of Google's car project, said his company liked the "nimble and focused" nature of Fiat Chrysler's engineering team, as well as "the fact that they’re totally aligned with what we need to do at this stage, which is build more vehicles and get more testing miles under our belt."

Fiat's Marchionne has been vocal about the need for car man

ufacturers to embrace partnerships in order to survive the ongoing pivot in the transportation space. The company has achieved some sales success after exiting bankruptcy. But in the car technology research race, seen as the next big differentiator for automakers, rivals Ford, Audi, and BMW have made quick progress with driver-assist technology while Fiat Chrysler has kept a lower profile.

For Google, the deal means it will be able to quickly expand its self-driving car testing program because it will not have to modify 100 minivans from scratch. Instead, it will take delivery of a fleet of 2017 Pacificas that have been tweaked to accommodate the array of on-board radar, laser-radar and cameras that allow cars to drive themselves.

The Alphabet-owned Google car project currently tests in Mountain View, Calif., Phoenix, Austin and Kirkland, Wash., and would be in position to add new cities as soon as the modified Pacificas complete testing at Google’s California test facility later this year. So far, Google cars have logged 1.5 million miles with only one at-fault accident.


DETROIT FREE PRESS

9 reasons why Fiat Chrysler-Google partnership makes sense

Real-world testing is considered integral to both winning over nervous consumers and getting lawmakers to fast-track guidelines to integrate such tech into society.

“That will be a great learning opportunity for us and for FCA,” says Krafcik, a for

mer head of Hyundai North America who was brought on last year to help coordinate just such liaisons. Google execs have long said they have no interest in building their own self-driving cars.

“This is all in service of a key point, which is that it will more than double our fleet of cars and that means more testing miles and more opportunities for people to become familiar with their real-world capabilities," he says.

Krafcik adds that the two companies have been talking “for about a year.” He would not comment on a rumored deal with Ford that surfaced in January, but noted that while “we’re excited FCA will be the first we integrate with, we will be working with many different partners going forward.”

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Fiat 500, which looks not unlike Google's self-driving prototype. (Photo: Damian Dovarganes, AP)

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Google's self-built, self-driving two-person prototype, which looks not unlike a Fiat 500. (Photo: Tony Avelar, AP)

Marchionne has been adamant that automakers must focus on economies of scale, which could mean consolidating or forging new partnerships in strategic areas.

"This announcement is a recognition of the fact we found a sharing of the minds with Google, but we cannot preclude someone else coming in (to help)," said Marchionne.

The auto business has been highly vertical, where carmakers manufactured everything from the seats to the engines, he noted. "But this next phase will disintermediate a lot of those processes. And the only way to survive this is to be nimble and receptive enough to this technology coming in," he said.


USA TODAY

Self-driving car advocates: Feds should set safety rules, not states

Among U.S. automakers, Chrysler is especially accustomed to joining forces with other companies in an effort to stay in the game.

In 1998, Daimler and Chrysler joined forces, but the so-called union of equals quickly saw the German automaker take charge before ultimately selling Chrysler to Cerberus Capital Management in 2007.

The company went through bankruptcy in 2009, and got a bailout from the federal government. That’s when Italy’s Fiat entered the picture; in 2014, Fiat completed its purchase of the company.

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A self-driving Lexus SUV owned by Google's parent company Alphabet struck a bus February 14 while it was testing on the streets of Mountain View, Calif. Wochit

On Tuesday, Fiat Chrysler announced a 6% jump in sales over the same month a year ago, based largely on deep discounting currently being offered on a variety of models. Driving its sales are trucks and Jeep SUVs, while traditional cars remain soft.


USA TODAY

9 reasons why Fiat-Google partnership makes sense

Neither Marchionne nor Krafcik would discuss financial details of their tech agreement. The work on the Pacificas will be carried out by Fiat Chrysler and Google engineers in facilities in both Michigan and California.

Google’s podlike self-driving prototype looks remarkably similar to Fiat’s iconic 500. However, Krafcik says his company was eager to move its technology aboard a minivan because of its design. Chrysler was the first automaker to develop the U.S. minivan market when in 1983 it rolled out its Town & Country, Caravan and Voyager products.

“It’s a cool vehicle for us,” says Krafcik. “It’s more spacious and more flexible, and it being the only hybrid minivan in U.S. is very interesting for us, both because as a company we are environmentally and because of the car’s robust electrical architecture which is critical for self-driving vehicles.”
 
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http://www.theverge.com/2016/9/13/12895690/ford-self-driving-car-ride-detroit-video

We took a ride in Ford's self-driving car


Detroit is changing the world again


Detroit and its suburbs are designed for driving fast. It’s a metropolitan area connected by high-speed freeways and sprawling mile roads, and was purposely designed without a public transportation system to support its predominant export — the automobile. It’s also the city where I learned to drive: uphill with a stick shift, as a student driver, learning how to safely take my life in my own hands.

Detroit is not the city I associate with autonomous cars, but it soon may be. On Monday, Ford Motor Company announced plans to sell autonomous cars to the public by 2025. I hopped in the back seat of a self-driving Ford Fusion at the company’s Product Development Center in Dearborn, Michigan on Monday to get a glimpse into what that autonomous future could feel like.

Unlike the rite of passage of becoming a student driver, taking a ride in an autonomous car means mean putting your life in the hands of the machine. But in actuality, riding in Ford’s well-behaved self-driving car was an unremarkable experience. Ford has programmed its cars to drive in a manner one might expect from a nervous student driver. It took long pauses to wait for pedestrians to cross at the intersection. It braked for several seconds after a full-size F-150 pulled out in front of it. The short ride through Ford’s sprawling campus consisted of a series of turns and speeds under 30 miles per hour, and Google has been giving journalists rides for several years. Except that this was suburban Detroit, a place not known for its groundbreaking software innovation. In a mere two years, Ford employees will be invited to use its autonomous cars to move around the campus.



Autonomous-Vehicle-2.0.jpg


I rode in the backseat while two Ford software engineers rode up front, though the one in the driver’s seat made it a point to keep his hands off the wheel. The other engineer pulled up his laptop where the data and images collected from our trip was processed on the screen. When I asked their thoughts on self-driving cars, they both responded enthusiastically about how their work could change how we live. It’s been a long time since cars from Detroit have reshaped the way the world works.

Self-driving in a company parking lot at low speeds feels like a bit of a parlor trick, and it’s hard to imagine this current system navigating the confusion of big cities. But Ford’s glimpse into the future is meant to show that the company is serious about its plans to bring a self-driving car to the ride-share market in 2021 and eventually to dealerships. Ford is enthusiastic about what self-driving will mean to its future, and plans to grow its presence in Silicon Valley.

The automaker is in the process of recasting itself as a mobility company. By getting in on autonomous vehicles early, Ford is keen to shift its image as an old-world automaker. "We have been system integrating for a long time, hardware, software, and technology," Ford CEO Mark Fields told me after the ride ended. "That’s why we’re so excited about the development and how quickly the development is going forward and that’s why we’re aiming to have the vehicle in the market by 2021."

Asked how Ford’s autonomous car would be accepted by the public, Fields said, "When you stand back and you think about the societal, the safety, the environmental and the economic benefits, I think people are going to warm to it very quickly."

In August, Ford announced intentions to bring a fully autonomous vehicle — essentially cars without steering wheels or brake pedals — to the ride-sharing space in five years. In a speech Monday, Fields told reporters that by mid-decade people could buy self-driving cars and he hopes to make the technology available to millions.

Ford began developing its self-driving technology in 2005, more than 10 years ago, but over the last year has taken an aggressive public approach to be a leader in the autonomous space. It’s far from alone: BMW and Volvo have also made recent announcements about their self-driving platforms, with similar timetables, but their approaches vary. Apple, too, has something in the works.

Autonomous-Vehicle-3.0.jpg


Maps are an essential part of the self-driving car network, and there are several ways to gather and process information in autonomous vehicles. Ford starts with an existing "prior map" that includes things like stop signs and landmarks. A second real-time color map is overlaid to detect changes. It’s designed to function like the human brain and retina do when driving by using a combination of sensors. "If you’re using a prior map and something is not noted, you focus the camera on it. You want to know if it’s stationary and mobile and the potential for it to move," says Randy Visintainer, Ford’s director for autonomous vehicles.

Ford’s system relies on three main types of sensors — LIDAR, radar, and cameras — that operate to gather information about the surrounding environment to achieve both a direct and mediated approach. Radar emits radio frequencies to gather information, whereas LIDAR uses lasers to collect data through lightwaves that project a 360-degree view around the car. Both systems bounce signals off the environment around them, then read what comes back to paint a picture. Cameras work like the human eye to capture what is already there, and are considered more passive sensors.

Ford has also invested in Velodyne, a supplier that is developing its next generation of LIDAR. The improved LIDAR is smaller and more powerful, and will enable the cars to see 200 meters in the distance. It’ll be used to help navigate left hand turns on Ford’s self-driving car by the end of the year. The automaker is also currently investigating using more advanced cameras and is in talks with suppliers to determine its approach.

At the moment, LIDAR sensors are expensive, but by working with a large company like Ford, the costs of Velodyne’s LIDAR sensors are expected to drop. "Over the time prices come down, it’s a technology that hasn’t benefited from economy of scale," Visintainer says. "One of the reasons we invested in Velodyne is that we know how to take something in bring it to mass production. We know how to make hundreds of thousands of something reliably."

It occurred to me as I left the Product Development Center that if Ford is successful, and can make millions of self-driving cars, one day we might not need to worry about nervous student drivers on the road. We won’t let teenagers take their lives in their own hands. We’ll put our trust in the robots doing the driving.
 
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http://www.cnbc.com/2017/02/16/cramer-on-alphabet-and-autonomous-cars.html

Cramer says he was wrong about what autonomous cars mean to Alphabet's future

Jim Cramer was a self-professed skeptic of driverless cars. That opinion changed when he got into the passenger seat of one at Alphabet's headquarters this week.

"I thought they were a pipedream, something that wouldn't be viable until the distant future. Turns out I was wrong, and the future is now," the "Mad Money" host said.

After a short ride in a Waymo with someone chaperoning in the driver seat, Cramer's entire opinion about driverless cars changed. He realized he trusted the technology more than he trusted a driver to not drink, text or fall asleep at the wheel.


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CNBC
Cramer admits he was wrong about what driverless cars mean for the future of Alphabet.
While there are kinks that need to be worked out, Cramer walked away from the experience with a realization that autonomous vehicles represent a huge part of Alphabet's future.

The key, he said, is to get the skeptics to understand how large this market could potentially be.

"By the next decade, it is hard for me to believe they won't be standard equipment for all the automakers," Cramer said.
 
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